Growth to hit 11-year peak

Published April 10, 2018
Employees work at a motorbike assembly line. According to official data, production of tractors went up 18.5pc year-on-year in February, jeeps and cars 7.8pc, trucks 40pc, light commercial vehicles 16.6pc and motorcycles 4.1pc while buses saw a drop of 38.8pc.
Employees work at a motorbike assembly line. According to official data, production of tractors went up 18.5pc year-on-year in February, jeeps and cars 7.8pc, trucks 40pc, light commercial vehicles 16.6pc and motorcycles 4.1pc while buses saw a drop of 38.8pc.

ISLAMABAD: The PML-N government on Monday announced that the economy is going to grow at 5.79 per cent, slightly lower than the target of 6pc for 2017-18, but highest in the last 11 years.

In the meeting of National Accounts Committee (NAC), only 15 out of 20 key growth indicators were found to be on target. The growth rate, however, is provisional as final numbers for the full year will firm up later.

The per capita income calculates to Rs180,204 for 2017-18, higher than Rs162,230 figure for FY17 based on provisional data from Population Census 2017 held in March last year.

The agriculture sector witnessed growth of 3.81pc, exceeding its target of 3.5pc in the outgoing fiscal year.

Important crops went up by 3.57pc against the target of 2pc with growth in the production of rice, sugarcane and cotton is estimated to be 8.7pc, 7.4pc, and 11.8pc, respectively. Decline in production has been estimated in wheat and maize at 4.4pc and 7.1pc, respectively.

Livestock, the second largest sub-sector of agriculture registered a growth of 3.76pc against the target of 3.8.

Per capita income rises to Rs180,000

The fishery sector expanded 1.63pc against 1.7pc last year while forestry grew 7.17pc versus the target of 10pc, reflecting the last year’s trend.

The industrial sector posted a growth of 5.8pc compared to the benchmark set at 7.3pc in 2017-18 while in FY17, it grew by 5.43pc. The mining and quarrying sector recorded growth of 3.04pc against the target of 3.5pc.

Manufacturing recorded growth of 6.13pc against the target of 6.4pc, higher than the 5.82pc last year.

Large-scale manufacturing was up 6.13pc against the target of 6.3pc. Small-scale manufacturing expanded 6.13pc against the target of 8.2pc while slaughtering grew 8.18pc against the target of 3.7pc.

Major contributors to this growth were cement at 12pc, tractors 44.7pc, trucks 24.41pc and petroleum products 10.26pc. Electricity and gas sub sector was up 1.84pc and the construction activity 9.13pc.

Growth in the construction sector was 9.13pc compared to 9.84pc last year, missing its target at 12.1pc for the outgoing fiscal year. Supply of electricity and gas also depicted an increase of 1.84pc against the bar at 12.5pc. The electricity and gas sub-sector, however, showed low growth due to reduced subsidies for K-Electric and Wapda and its companies.

The services sector grew 6.43pc in 2017-18 against the benchmark of 6.4pc while last year, it expanded by 6.46pc. Major contributors were the general government services, which rose 11.42pc against the target of 7pc. It was mainly driven by the increase in salaries and inflation. Other private services also contributed positively.

Finance and insurance increased by 6.13pc against the target of 9.5pc, housing services by 4pc against 3.9pc, transport, storage and communication 3.58pc against 5.1pc.

Wholesale and retail trade sector grew at a rate of 7.51pc against the target of 7.2pc. It is dependent on the output of agriculture and manufacturing and imports. Agriculture increased by 3.81pc, manufacturing increased by 5.80pc and imports increased by 17pc.

Published in Dawn, April 10th, 2018

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