THE 2024 World Risk Index paints a concerning picture for Pakistan, placing it among the top 10 countries most vulnerable to disasters and conflict exposure globally. Ranked 10th in the world for disaster risk, Pakistan’s position holds a mirror to the growing complexities of global crises, where natural disasters, conflicts and economic instability are becoming increasingly interconnected. With Pakistan also ranked among the top three for conflict exposure, our predicament is both a symptom and a warning of these escalating global trends. According to the report, crises are no longer isolated events but deeply interwoven. Extreme weather, pandemics and conflicts increasingly overlap with and amplify one another. For Pakistan, this reality is evident in several climate disasters, such as devastating floods and earthquakes, and is compounded by internal conflicts and political instability. Pakistan’s exposure to such risks is exacerbated by its vulnerability, evidenced by poverty, weak institutions and insufficient disaster preparedness. A notable statistic from the report shows Pakistan ranked alongside countries like the Philippines and Bangladesh, two nations also grappling with severe disaster risks. While these nations are facing increased risks due to climate-sensitive exposure, their ability to manage crises is deeply tied to governance and economic factors. The report emphasises that as the world faces interconnected crises, responses must be holistic and forward-looking. Our struggle to address these risks indicates outdated risk management frameworks that focus on single events rather than the complex, overlapping crises we are faced with.

The recommendations for Pakistan are clear: first, the government must invest in disaster preparedness as a priority. At a time when successive governments are distracted by unending political crises, it is imperative to understand that climate disasters wait for no one. It must also strengthen early warning systems and build robust infrastructure that safeguards both human lives and the economy. Secondly, enhancing institutional capacities to respond to both conflicts and natural disasters simultaneously is crucial. Without strengthening governance and ensuring equitable access to resources, Pakistan will remain trapped in a cycle of reactive crisis management. The complexities of the country’s risk landscape cannot be overstated. It is a country at the epicentre of multiple, interconnected crises and addressing these challenges requires coordinated efforts that span across disaster risk management, conflict resolution, and sustainable development. Failure to act will only see the risks increase in frequency and severity.

Published in Dawn, September 12th, 2024