Oil rises on war fears

Published
0
A worker checks equipment at the Rumaila oil field, as the country cuts nearly 1.5 million barrels per day of output amid halted exports following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in Basra, Iraq, March 4, 2026. — Reuters/File
A worker checks equipment at the Rumaila oil field, as the country cuts nearly 1.5 million barrels per day of output amid halted exports following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in Basra, Iraq, March 4, 2026. — Reuters/File

HOUSTON: Oil prices gained more than two per cent on Monday after attacks by the US and Iran underscored the fragility of their interim peace deal, while cautious hopes of a continued recovery in energy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz limited gains.

Brent crude futures were up $1.18, or 1.64pc, at $73.17 a barrel by 1:35 p.m. EDT (1735 GMT). US West Texas Intermediate crude gained $1.69, or 2.44pc, to $70.92.

Brent crude fell 10.6pc last week in a third consecutive weekly decline after crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz rose to their highest since the US-Israeli war on Iran began in late February.

Outbound Persian Gulf crude exports are quickly rebounding to at least 75pc of pre-war levels, Gelber & Associates analysts said in a note on Monday.

However, analysts cautioned that traffic through the strait is far from being fully recovered, helping keep prices somewhat elevated.

“I think that reality is starting to sink in, not every barrel is going to come out the Gulf in the next week or two, you can’t really jam as many barrels through there as possible to pre-war levels. As long as the situation is risky, anyone owning a boat runs the risk of having that boat attacked as it heads through the strait,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

Mines in the waterway as well as insurance companies not yet being fully on board are also factors weighing on traffic through the strait, according to Yawger. Meanwhile, Middle East producers are pushing ahead with loading oil and LNG despite fresh ship attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and renewed strikes between the US and Iran in recent days, shipping data showed.

Published in Dawn, June 30th, 2026

Follow Dawn Business on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Taliban support
Updated 14 Aug, 2026

Taliban support

THE latest UN monitoring report analysing the activities of several transnational terrorist groups is unequivocal in...
Job policy for youth
14 Aug, 2026

Job policy for youth

STRIPPED of its rhetoric, the prime minister’s announcement of Pakistan’s first National Youth Employment Policy...
Jail improvements
14 Aug, 2026

Jail improvements

THE Punjab government is spending Rs5bn on modernising jail facilities in the province, but to what end? The...
AJK outlook
Updated 13 Aug, 2026

AJK outlook

AS the staggered polls for the AJK Legislative Assembly enter their final stretch, it appears that the PML-N is in a...
Food costs
13 Aug, 2026

Food costs

THE State Bank’s warning that domestic food prices could rise more than expected in the near term deserves urgent...
Denied a future
13 Aug, 2026

Denied a future

FIVE years after the Taliban returned to Kabul, the world is still issuing statements while a generation of Afghan...