Oil rises on war fears

Published
0
A worker checks equipment at the Rumaila oil field, as the country cuts nearly 1.5 million barrels per day of output amid halted exports following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in Basra, Iraq, March 4, 2026. — Reuters/File
A worker checks equipment at the Rumaila oil field, as the country cuts nearly 1.5 million barrels per day of output amid halted exports following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, in Basra, Iraq, March 4, 2026. — Reuters/File

HOUSTON: Oil prices gained more than two per cent on Monday after attacks by the US and Iran underscored the fragility of their interim peace deal, while cautious hopes of a continued recovery in energy shipping through the Strait of Hormuz limited gains.

Brent crude futures were up $1.18, or 1.64pc, at $73.17 a barrel by 1:35 p.m. EDT (1735 GMT). US West Texas Intermediate crude gained $1.69, or 2.44pc, to $70.92.

Brent crude fell 10.6pc last week in a third consecutive weekly decline after crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz rose to their highest since the US-Israeli war on Iran began in late February.

Outbound Persian Gulf crude exports are quickly rebounding to at least 75pc of pre-war levels, Gelber & Associates analysts said in a note on Monday.

However, analysts cautioned that traffic through the strait is far from being fully recovered, helping keep prices somewhat elevated.

“I think that reality is starting to sink in, not every barrel is going to come out the Gulf in the next week or two, you can’t really jam as many barrels through there as possible to pre-war levels. As long as the situation is risky, anyone owning a boat runs the risk of having that boat attacked as it heads through the strait,” said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho.

Mines in the waterway as well as insurance companies not yet being fully on board are also factors weighing on traffic through the strait, according to Yawger. Meanwhile, Middle East producers are pushing ahead with loading oil and LNG despite fresh ship attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and renewed strikes between the US and Iran in recent days, shipping data showed.

Published in Dawn, June 30th, 2026

Follow Dawn Business on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Parliament’s place
Updated 11 Oct, 2026

Parliament’s place

In 2015, the parliament had decided to “maintain neutrality in the Yemen conflict so as to be able to play a proactive diplomatic role to end the crisis”.
Disturbing the peace
11 Oct, 2026

Disturbing the peace

THIS year’s Nobel Peace Prize is well-earned. The winner, South African jurist Dr Navi Pillay, has had an...
A voice in care
10 Oct, 2026

A voice in care

WORLD Mental Health Day this year carries a compelling message. The theme, ‘Lived experiences heard: real voices,...
Midterm break
Updated 10 Oct, 2026

Midterm break

Both the US and Israel need to halt their destructive misadventures in the Middle East.
American barbarism
Updated 10 Oct, 2026

American barbarism

WITH the spectre of defeat in the upcoming midterm elections looming large over the Trump administration, the...