Gold climbs as US-Israel strikes on Iran spark safe-haven demand

Published March 2, 2026 Updated March 2, 2026 03:18pm
UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins in London, Britain—Reuters/File
UK gold bars and gold Sovereign coins in London, Britain—Reuters/File

Gold prices rose on Monday after the US and Israel launched major strikes on Iran that assassinated Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, escalating geopolitical tensions and deepening global economic uncertainty.

Spot gold was up 1.88 per cent at $5,376.44 an ounce, as of 06:32 GMT, after hitting its highest point in more than four weeks.

Earlier in the session, bullion prices had climbed as much as 2pc.

US gold futures rose 2.7pc to $5,389.20 per ounce.

Israel launched a new wave of strikes on Tehran on Sunday, and Iran responded with more missile barrages, a day after the assassination of Khamenei pitched the Middle East and the global economy into deepening uncertainty.

“Unlike previous escalations in this conflict, there is fairly strong incentive here for both sides to continue to escalate potentially — and that runs the risk of leading to a pretty chaotic, uncertain, and, therefore, volatile environment for more than just a few days … the dynamic for gold is pretty positive,” said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.

However, the US dollar index rose 0.27pc, making gold more expensive for overseas buyers and capping the metal’s gains.

Bullion, a traditional safe-haven asset, has hit successive record highs this year due to heightened global political and economic uncertainty.

The latest rally builds on a 64pc surge in 2025, driven by strong central bank buying, robust inflows into exchange-traded funds, and expectations of US monetary policy easing.

“Gold is perhaps the finest barometer to reflect global uncertainty and, to mix metaphors, the mercury is rising. We should expect gold to be repriced higher to fresh records as we enter a whole new era of geopolitical uncertainty,” said independent analyst Ross Norman.

Meanwhile, data on Friday showed that US producer prices rose more than expected in January, suggesting inflation could pick up in the coming months.

Investors will also watch a series of US labor market readings this week, including the ADP employment report, weekly jobless claims, and the non-farm payrolls report.

Spot silver added 1.3pc to $95 per ounce, after registering a monthly gain in February.

Spot platinum was up 0.8pc at $2,383.50 per ounce, while palladium advanced 2.3pc to $1,826.59.

Follow Dawn Business on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Khamenei’s killing
Updated 02 Mar, 2026

Khamenei’s killing

THERE is no question about it: with the brutal assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and...
NFC reform
02 Mar, 2026

NFC reform

PLANNING Minister Ahsan Iqbal’s call for forward-looking reforms in the NFC Award has reopened an important debate...
Migrant crisis
02 Mar, 2026

Migrant crisis

MIGRANT casualties represent the lifelong pain of families left behind. Yet countries do little to preserve ...
A new war
Updated 01 Mar, 2026

A new war

UNLESS there is an immediate diplomatic breakthrough, the joint Israeli-American aggression against Iran launched on...
Breaking the cycle
01 Mar, 2026

Breaking the cycle

THE confrontation between Pakistan and Afghanistan has taken a dangerous turn. Attacks, retaliatory strikes and the...
Anonymous collections
01 Mar, 2026

Anonymous collections

THE widespread emergence of ‘nameless donation boxes’ soliciting charity in cities and towns across Punjab...