RAWALPINDI: Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has predicted normal to slightly above normal rains in upcoming monsoon season in central and southern parts of the country, while northern parts of Punjab and Azad Jammu and Kashmir will face more rains.

In contrast, the northern regions, including northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Gilgit-Baltistan, are likely to experience normal to slightly below-normal rainfall during the forecast period. Monsoon season will likely start in July and end in September. The PMD issued weather outlook for monsoon season from July to September.

It stated that the mean temperatures are expected to remain above normal throughout the country.

Heavy rains can cause flooding in major rivers, with plains and mountainous areas of Sindh, Punjab, AJK, and KP all susceptible to inundation.

Northern Punjab, AJK, and KP also face a particularly high risk of flooding as a result of expected increased snowmelt from higher temperatures in the northern regions, further exacerbating the flood risk by potentially raising river levels.

Beyond rainfall and temperature, the Met department also cautioned about the possibility of strong winds, dust storms, and hailstorms due to temperature changes.

Despite the challenges, the excessive rains are expected to positively impact the country’s water resources, ensuring abundant water availability for irrigation and energy sectors. The rains will also be instrumental in restoring water reservoirs and replenishing underground water resources.

In light of the comprehensive forecast, the PMD has urged provincial and district levels to activate emergency operation centres to ensure the timely deployment of rescue and relief teams throughout the monsoon season.

Moreover, close contact with local administration for evacuation procedures and timely warnings is emphasised.

Published in Dawn, May 31st, 2025