Stocks rise 743 points on expected IMF deal, rupee recovery

Published February 9, 2023
A snapshot of trading activity at the Pakistan Stock Exchange on Thursday. — Photo via PSX website
A snapshot of trading activity at the Pakistan Stock Exchange on Thursday. — Photo via PSX website

Shares at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) continued their bull run on Thursday on expectations that the government and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) would reach an agreement soon, helping the cash starved country avert default.

These expectations had also led to the local currency, which has taken a severe beating in the past few weeks, recovering in the interbank market.

The benchmark KSE-100 index closed at 42,466.59 points, up 743.27 points, or 1.78 per cent. It reached an intraday high of 844.43 points, or 2.02pc, at 3:28pm.

“Stocks showed bullish activity on strong rupee recovery ahead of IMF deal and strong corporate results,” Arif Habib Corporation Director Ahsan Mehanti said.

He added that speculations of strong payouts to companies to settle circular debt and restructuring of debt repayments after the IMF programme’s resumption also played a catalyst role.

Salman Naqvi, head of research at Aba Ali Habib Securities, said the primary reason for the index’s rise was the expected deal with the IMF. “We see improvement,” he said, adding that investors were anticipating that the IMF agreement would resolve some of the country’s economic issues.

The market has been discounted and the earnings-to-price ratio is very attractive, Naqvi said.

“If matters with the IMF are settled smoothly, the stock market will gain further and the rupee will appreciate further.”

A delegation of the IMF, headed by Nathan Porter, is currently in Islamabad for discussions on the completion of the ninth review of a $7 billion loan programme. The review’s completion would not only lead to a disbursement of $1.2bn from the IMF but also unlock inflows from friendly countries and other multilateral lenders that Pakistan needs to stave off default.

Minister of State for Finance and Revenue Aisha Ghaus Pasha told journalists on Wednesday that the government and the global lender were “very close to the finalisation” of a Memorandum of Economic and Fiscal Policies (MEFP).

She said the MEFP would be handed over to Pakistan by the IMF once all issues are finally settled. She said a lot of things had been settled while the lender required clarity on some aspects, which the government team was trying to address.

This was also confirmed by the Ministry of Finance. In a written statement, the ministry said the talks with the IMF continued on Wednesday and “focused on fiscal table, financing, etc. There is a broad consensus on the reform actions and measures”.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Business concerns
Updated 26 Apr, 2024

Business concerns

There is no doubt that these issues are impeding a positive business clime, which is required to boost private investment and economic growth.
Musical chairs
26 Apr, 2024

Musical chairs

THE petitioners are quite helpless. Yet again, they are being expected to wait while the bench supposed to hear...
Global arms race
26 Apr, 2024

Global arms race

THE figure is staggering. According to the annual report of Sweden-based think tank Stockholm International Peace...
Digital growth
Updated 25 Apr, 2024

Digital growth

Democratising digital development will catalyse a rapid, if not immediate, improvement in human development indicators for the underserved segments of the Pakistani citizenry.
Nikah rights
25 Apr, 2024

Nikah rights

THE Supreme Court recently delivered a judgement championing the rights of women within a marriage. The ruling...
Campus crackdowns
25 Apr, 2024

Campus crackdowns

WHILE most Western governments have either been gladly facilitating Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza, or meekly...