DUBAI: A recent Saudi government and security shake-up aims to strengthen King Salman’s increasingly powerful son against the Crown Prince and to bolster ties with Washington, according to analysts and diplomats.

Royal decrees at the weekend saw a number of allies of Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman moved into key positions and another son of the king named as ambassador to Washington.

The goal, a foreign diplomat said, was “to strengthen Mohammed bin Salman and the Salman branch” of the Al Saud family, which has ruled Saudi Arabia since the country’s founding.

Mohammed bin Salman, 31, has risen to prominence since he was named deputy crown prince two years ago, a few months after his father took the throne following the death of King Abdullah.

The king’s nephew Mohammed bin Nayef, now 57, was at the same time named crown prince and is the heir apparent.

Reports of rivalry between the two have spread since, with the bearded Mohammed bin Salman seen in the ascendant.

He already serves as defence minister, head of Saudi Arabia’s main economic policy coordinating body and chairman of a council overseeing state oil giant Aramco.

One of the weekend decrees saw the creation of a national security centre linked with the royal court.

‘Competition’ over security

Details of how the new centre will operate have yet to emerge, but the foreign diplomat said its creation reflects “competition” for succession between Mohammed bin Salman and Mohammed bin Nayef, who is interior minister and heads an existing body, the Political and Security Council.

Another decree also named a new national security adviser, Mohammed bin Salih Alghfaili, who foreign diplomats say will play a lead role on the council.

He too is linked with Mohammed bin Salman and the new arrangement shows that the crown prince “is losing his power”, another foreign diplomat said.

Another decree named Major General Ahmed Assiri, who the diplomats said is also a loyalist of the defence minister, as deputy chief of the General Intelligence Presidency.

Peter Salisbury, a research fellow at London’s Chatham House, said the moves appeared “a lot like Mohammed bin Salman has taken another step towards consolidating his control over the security services”.

Security matters are especially important to Mohammed bin Nayef, who made his name and won wide respect abroad for having led Saudi efforts against Al Qaeda and other militants.

Analysts and diplomats said other moves made at the weekend appeared aimed not only at boosting King Salman’s branch among the thousands-strong royal family but also at continuing to improve ties with Washington.

King Salman named another son, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, as state minister for energy affairs, and one more, Prince Khaled bin Salman, as ambassador to Washington.

Building US ties

The new ambassador Prince Khaled, believed to be below 30, is a former fighter pilot who flew missions as part of the US-led coalition bombing the militant Islamic State group in Syria and Iraq.

Another change saw Fahad bin Turki, a former head of the Saudi special forces, promoted to lieutenant general to head the army.

These appointments appear to involve people “well-placed... to build relationships with senior military and administration officials in the US”, Salisbury said.

Ties between Riyadh and Washington became increasingly frayed during the administration of president Barack Obama.

Riyadh has found a more favourable ear in the Washington of President Donald Trump, who has echoed Saudi concerns about Iranian influence in the region.

Mohammed bin Salman met Trump in Washington last month, a visit followed last week by US Defence Secretary Jim Mattis’s trip to Riyadh.

Key for Riyadh will be US support for the Saudi-led coalition that for two years has been fighting in support of Yemen’s government against rebels supported by Iran.

The United States has backed the coalition with intelligence, weapons, and aerial refuelling for its warplanes, but Obama’s government blocked the transfer of precision-guided bombs in December because of concerns over civilian casualties.

Under Obama, “things were really bad” between the two countries, the second diplomat said.

Saudi officials realised that “they cannot survive on their own” and must depend on American security support, he added.

Published in Dawn, April 27th, 2017

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