MANAMA: Moscow’s intervention in the Syrian conflict will have the unintended consequences of drawing Russia into a quagmire and alienating Muslims across the region, US Deputy Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Saturday.

The United States has waged an air campaign against the self-styled Islamic State while also backing some rebel groups against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Russia’s own air strikes aim to keep Assad in power.

“The quagmire will spread and deepen, drawing Russia further in. Russia will be seen as being in league with Assad, Hezbollah, Iran, alienating millions of Sunnis in Syria, the region and indeed in Russia itself,” Blinken said at a security conference in Manama.“One month has passed since the Russian occupation. More than 1,400 are killed, all civilians, in parts of Syria. And these are areas which are outside the control of Daesh,” Syrian opposition leader Khaled Khoja said in Manama, using an Arabic name for IS.

Talks in Vienna on Friday provided the first occasion on which Saudi Arabia and Iran, the region’s two main backers of opposing forces in Syria, put aside their bitter rivalry to discuss the possibility of a peaceful solution.

However, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir said in a television interview that Russia and Iran had to agree on dates and means for both Assad to leave power and for foreign forces backing him to quit Syria.

Asked in Manama when that should take place, he replied: “He should leave this afternoon. The sooner the better.” Jubeir added that Riyadh was meanwhile considering intensifying support to moderate Syrian rebels by providing them with “more lethal weapons”, but gave no further details.

Blinken said that while Russia’s involvement might increase Moscow’s leverage over Assad, the conflict would also create “a compelling incentive for Russia to work for, not against, a political transition”.

“Russia cannot afford to sustain its military onslaught against everybody opposed to Assad’s brutal rule. The costs will mount every day in economic, political and security interests,” he added.

Meanwhile, the United States remained “laser focused” on what Blinken called objectionable Iranian actions in the region, including support of terrorism, in the wake of its nuclear deal with major powers.

Addressing the Manama Dialogue regional security conference in Bahrain, he said US engagement in the Middle East, while deeper than ever, was broad and went beyond the military aspect, adding that there was no military solution to Syria’s war.

On Friday, the United States disclosed plans to station its first ground troops in Syria for the war against IS.

Washington has sought to reassure Gulf allies that its reluctance to actively participate in military efforts to push Assad from power does not mean it is turning its back on the region or on its traditional Arab partners.

Delegates at the Manama conference, a rare talking shop on security, included ministers, diplomats and intelligence officials from countries in the Middle East and north Africa, Gulf Arab states as well as the United States and Britain. Gulf-based Russian diplomats were also present.

Published in Dawn, November 1st, 2015

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