LONDON: Commodities mostly sank this week, with many hit by sliding equities, demand concerns, ample supplies, geopolitical worries in the Middle East and Ukraine and Argentina’s default, dealers said.

Star performers coffee and cocoa, however, forged significant peaks on frenzied speculative buying interest, they added.

Heading into the weekend, traders digested Friday’s tepid non-farm payrolls data in the United States, the world’s largest economy and a major consumer of most raw materials.

OIL: Crude oil prices in New York tumbled to their lowest level since early February, with the market awash with supplies, dealers said.

New York’s light sweet crude sank Friday to $97.09 per barrel, last seen on February 7, and London’s Brent oil touched the lowest level since mid-July.

“Crude oil prices have suffered as of late due to ample supply and weak demand fundamentals,” said Chloe Bradley at British-based energy consultancy Inenco.

“African and European supply is expected to outweigh demand for this year, offering bearish sentiment to contracts going forward.

Commerzbank analysts agreed that investors were focussed on adequate supply levels.

By Friday on London’s Intercontinental Exchange, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in September had fallen to $104.85 per barrel from $107.78 one week earlier.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate or light sweet crude for August dropped to $97.30 a barrel from $101.66.

PRECIOUS METALS: Gold and other precious metals retreated as many traders opted to cash in recent gains, pushing prices to multi-week troughs.

Gold was also hit by news of easing inflationary pressures in the eurozone, because the metal is traditionally regarded as a safe store of value in times of rising inflation.

July inflation dropped to 0.4 per cent from June’s 0.5pc, hitting its lowest level since late 2009 and sparking renewed deflation worries.

The yellow metal was also pulled lower as the dollar strengthened on hopes of US monetary policy tightening from the US Federal Reserve.

“The (gold) price slide was partly due to the very low inflation rate in the eurozone, which fell year-on-year in July... thereby giving an additional boost to the US dollar,” added Commerzbank analysts.

The stronger greenback makes US-denominated gold more expensive for buyers using weaker currencies. That tends to hit demand and prices.

By Friday on the London Bullion Market, the price of gold fell to $1,291.25 an ounce from $1,294.75 a week earlier. Silver decreased to $20.34 an ounce from $20.46.

On the London Platinum and Palladium Market, platinum declined to $1,462 an ounce from $1,473.

Palladium dipped to $871 an ounce from $876.

BASE METALS: Base or industrial metal prices largely fell, in line with global equities, as dealers fretted over Argentina’s debt default and fast-moving geopolitical crises in Gaza and Ukraine.

The move lower came despite an upbeat start to the week, in which aluminium, lead and zinc scored multi-month highs on speculative buying.

“Metal prices found themselves under considerable pressure... as a result of weak global equity markets,” Commerzbank analysts said.

“This is doubtless attributable to the much higher risk aversion exhibited by market participants on account of the numerous geopolitical risks and Argentina’s payment default.”

By Friday on the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three months declined to $7,103 a tonne from $7,177.75 a week earlier.

Three-month aluminium dropped to $1,987 a tonne from $2,030.50. Three-month lead reversed to $2,223 a tonne from $2,271.25. Three-month tin rose to $22,480 a tonne from $22,411. Three-month nickel sank to $18,500 a tonne from $19,299. Three-month zinc slid to $2,353.50 a tonne from $2,408.75.

COCOA: Prices were catapulted to a 3.5-year pinnacle at £2,028 per tonne in London, on the back of solid demand and intense speculative buying.

“Strong demand continues to keep the market well-supported,” said Citi analyst Sterling Smith.

The key chocolate ingredient has jumped by almost a fifth in value since the start of the year.

“Demand remains a primary driver of the market and stronger demand is expected to continue well into next year,” added Price Futures Group analyst Jack Scoville.

By Friday on LIFFE, cocoa for delivery in September climbed to £2,019 a tonne from £1,984 a week earlier.

On ICE Futures US, cocoa for September nudged down to $3,196 a tonne from $3,198 a week earlier.

COFFEE: Prices leapt on Friday to a three-month peak at 207.40 US cents per pound, driven by expectations of a poor crop in top producer Brazil.

The market also zoomed to $2,139 per tonne in London, the highest level since mid-May.

On ICE Futures US, Arabica for delivery in September rallied to 196.90 US cents a pound from 179.50 cents a week earlier. On LIFFE, Robusta for September rose to $2,114 a tonne from $2,018 a week earlier.

SUGAR: The market struck multi-month lows, at $436.40 per tonne in London and 16.40 US cents per pound in New York, as prices were weighed on by abundant supplies.

By Friday on LIFFE, London’s futures exchange, the price of a tonne of white sugar for delivery in October had sunk to $436.50 compared with $446.70 a week earlier.

On the ICE Futures US exchange, the price of unrefined sugar for October dropped to 16.41 US cents a pound from 17.03 US cents a week earlier.

RUBBER: Prices in Kuala Lumpur drifted higher as a weaker Malaysian ringgit against the US dollar attracted foreign buyers in a holiday-shortened trading week.

The Malaysian Rubber Board’s benchmark SMR20 ended at 170.10 US cents a kilo, up from 169.05 cents a week earlier.

Published in Dawn, August 3rd, 2014

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