Lifting lockdown

Published May 17, 2020

IN some respects, Pakistan appears to be moving with the times in dealing with the pandemic.

On Friday, Prime Minister Imran Khan at a press briefing said the country would have to learn to live with the contagion. His words echo those spoken recently by David Nabarro, WHO’s special envoy for Covid-19. The world has come to realise that even the strictest of lockdowns, such as in China and Italy, have not prevented local clusters of Covid-19 from emerging later when even nominally routine life is allowed to resume. And the prospect of a vaccine against the disease, most experts agree, is at least a year away.

While indicating the lifting of the lockdown in the near future, the Pakistani government says that the required SOPs to check uncontrolled transmission of the virus will remain in place. In fact, the federal government, like Sindh and KP earlier, has now declared it mandatory for everyone to wear a mask in public.

However, conspicuously missing in the government’s seemingly reasoned stance is the concept of ‘flattening the curve’, which has been the priority for most countries around the world in their fight against the coronavirus. When the rate of transmission slows (or ‘flattens’ instead of rising), there is less stress on medical services on any given day, and there are more ICU beds and equipment available for those who need them.

This critical turning point prevents health systems from being overwhelmed by a deluge of Covid-19 cases and affords governments breathing space to plan relief operations, etc. And it can only be achieved — as international experience proves — through strict lockdowns. Most nations have waited until that juncture before starting to even ease their lockdowns, let alone lifting them.

In this country, however, we seem determined to ignore this caveat — which seems eminently foolhardy given what we have seen over the past few days. For, even in the midst of the ‘smart’ lockdown across the country, the Pakistani nation — heedless, inclined to conspiracy theories or divorced from rational thought — has been going about its business as though the coronavirus has either never existed, or has already been successfully eradicated.

People rushed pell-mell to markets the instant they were opened on Monday, and Friday saw religious processions taking place in several cities with nary a thought to social distancing. Even masks were an exception rather than the rule.

The prime minister’s apprehensions about the survival of millions of low-income families are valid, but they do not take into account a very relevant fact. In countries where coronavirus data subsets are being analysed, it is evident that people in the lower socioeconomic strata fall sick and die in far greater numbers than others. The more pragmatic, and perhaps ultimately more humane, course of action may be to institute a strict lockdown at least until infection rates start declining.

Published in Dawn, May 17th, 2020

Opinion

Editorial

Ties with Tehran
Updated 24 Apr, 2024

Ties with Tehran

Tomorrow, if ties between Washington and Beijing nosedive, and the US asks Pakistan to reconsider CPEC, will we comply?
Working together
24 Apr, 2024

Working together

PAKISTAN’S democracy seems adrift, and no one understands this better than our politicians. The system has gone...
Farmers’ anxiety
24 Apr, 2024

Farmers’ anxiety

WHEAT prices in Punjab have plummeted far below the minimum support price owing to a bumper harvest, reckless...
By-election trends
Updated 23 Apr, 2024

By-election trends

Unless the culture of violence and rigging is rooted out, the credibility of the electoral process in Pakistan will continue to remain under a cloud.
Privatising PIA
23 Apr, 2024

Privatising PIA

FINANCE Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb’s reaffirmation that the process of disinvestment of the loss-making national...
Suffering in captivity
23 Apr, 2024

Suffering in captivity

YET another animal — a lioness — is critically ill at the Karachi Zoo. The feline, emaciated and barely able to...