Gold soars to 4-month high

Published January 16, 2018

LONDON: Gold prices hit a four-month peak on Monday as the US dollar index slumped to its lowest in three years but analysts said the greenback’s slide could be short-lived as it was not driven by fundamentals.

Spot gold was up 0.2 per cent at $1,341.92 an ounce by 1238 GMT after touching its strongest since Sept 8 at $1,344.44.

The precious metal rose for a fifth straight week last week, gaining 1.4pc. US gold futures were up 0.6pc at $1,343.20 an ounce.

“The weakness in the dollar is not justified by fundamentals. It’s a little bit weird considering the divergence in monetary policy should play in favour of a stronger dollar,” Capital Economics analyst Simona Gambarini said.

The dollar index was down 0.5pc at 90.516, having reached its weakest since January 2015 at 90.421.

A weaker US currency makes dollar-denominated assets such as gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, while higher rates could dent demand for non-interest-paying gold.

“The main reason for the tight relationship between the dollar and gold is a lack of physical demand on the gold side in terms of ETFs (exchange-traded funds) and Indian and Chinese jewellery,” said Carsten Menke, a Julius Baer commodity analyst.

Adding a touch of bullishness to gold was data from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday, which showed hedge funds and money managers raised their net long positions in COMEX gold and silver in the week to Jan 9.

Spot silver rose 0.3pc to $17.31 an ounce, after touching a near three-month high at $17.42. Platinum was up 0.4pc at $997.20, after touching its highest since Sept. 11 at $1,001.40.

Published in Dawn, January 16th, 2018

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