S&P lifts India rating despite US tariff risks

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MUMBAI: S&P upgraded India’s long-term sovereign credit rating on Thursday, with the agency citing New Delhi’s “commitment to fiscal consolidation” and its “buoyant economic growth”.

The US ratings agency said it was upgrading the world’s fifth-largest economy from BBB- to BBB, adding that it expects the impact of US President Donald Trump’s tariff blitz on India to be “manageable”.

The outlook on the long-term rating, S&P noted, is “stable”.

“The upgrade of India reflects its buoyant economic growth, against the backdrop of an enhanced monetary policy environment that anchors inflationary expectations,” S&P said in a statement.

“Together with the government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation and efforts to improve spending quality, we believe these factors have coalesced to benefit credit metrics.” While India remains the world’s fastest-growing major economy, there has recently been a slowdown in urban demand and muted government expenditure.

The Indian economy expanded at its slowest pace in four years in the fiscal year that ended in March 2025.

New Delhi’s economic outlook has also been darkened in recent weeks by Trump’s decision to punish its purchases of Russian oil by threatening to increase tariffs from 25 to 50 per cent.

But S&P believes that India’s growth prospects won’t be thrown off course as a result of Trump’s chaotic trade policies, noting that even the 50pc tariffs would not “pose a material drag on growth”.

“India is relatively less reliant on trade and about 60pc of its economic growth stems from domestic consumption,” the agency’s statement said.

Published in Dawn, August 15th, 2025

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