Oil prices rebounded by about one per cent on Friday after a meeting between Saudi Arabia and Russia calmed markets amid strong China demand expectations, after a banking crisis sparked a sell-off in global financial and oil markets this week.

Brent crude futures rose by 81 cents to $75.51 a barrel by 0400 GMT, having snapped three days of losses to settle 1.4pc higher on Thursday.

US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed 78 cents to $69.13 a barrel, after closing 1.1pc higher in the previous session.

Both contracts hit their lowest in more than a year this week and are set to post their biggest weekly falls since December at about 10pc. Oil and other global assets were undercut this week as the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank sent the US and Swiss governments scrambling to shore up liquidity at banks.

“Oil demand is being repriced, but we see little change in fundamentals and are inclined to ride out financial sector volatility, keeping our price forecasts unchanged for now as we await updates on potential policy actions in the coming weeks,” JPMorgan analysts said in a note, referring to an Opec+ (Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies including Russia) meeting and Washington most likely moving to start refilling strategic reserves.

The advisory committee of Opec+ will meet on April 3.

Further decline in prices may prompt Opec+ to reduce supplies to prevent a forecast inventory build in the second quarter, analysts at National Australia Bank said in a note.

WTI fell under $70 a barrel for the first time since December 2021, possibly making prices attractive enough for the US government to start refilling its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which is sitting at record low levels, stimulating demand.

Analysts’ expectations on China’s demand recovery supported the end-week price rebound, with US crude exports to China in March headed for their highest in nearly two and a half years.

China’s demand rebound will be positive for oil prices if upcoming data shows a good recovery of the country’s economy, said analyst Tina Teng of CMC Markets.

“Road traffic and air travel in China are growing strongly while signs of improvement have emerged in developed economies,” ANZ analysts said in a client note.

However, contagion risks among banks are still keeping investors on edge, curbing their appetite for assets such as commodities, as they fear a further rout could trigger a global recession and cut oil demand.

“The recent banking turmoil may continue to weigh on the demand outlook. These issues regarding inflation, the central bank’s rate hikes, and confidence in financial systems cannot be settled quickly,” Teng said.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Editorial

Ominous demands
Updated 18 May, 2024

Ominous demands

The federal government needs to boost its revenues to reduce future borrowing and pay back its existing debt.
Property leaks
18 May, 2024

Property leaks

THE leaked Dubai property data reported on by media organisations around the world earlier this week seems to have...
Heat warnings
18 May, 2024

Heat warnings

STARTING next week, the country must brace for brutal heatwaves. The NDMA warns of severe conditions with...
Dangerous law
Updated 17 May, 2024

Dangerous law

It must remember that the same law can be weaponised against it one day, just as Peca was when the PTI took power.
Uncalled for pressure
17 May, 2024

Uncalled for pressure

THE recent press conferences by Senators Faisal Vawda and Talal Chaudhry, where they demanded evidence from judges...
KP tussle
17 May, 2024

KP tussle

THE growing war of words between KP Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur and Governor Faisal Karim Kundi is affecting...