MUMBAI: At a time when most money managers are steering clear of India’s crisis-hit shadow banking firms, veteran emerging markets fund manager Mark Mobius is exploring aggressive contrarian bets on the sector.

Mobius’ bet comes at a time when investors have been selling holdings in non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) after a series of defaults by India’s leading infrastructure finance company in September triggered contagion fears and prompted the government to step in and take control of the company.

“Believe it or not we are looking at non-banking finance companies,” Mobius told Reuters on Tuesday. “It looks crazy but everybody knows that the banking sector is in trouble.” “Now is the time to start looking because the prices are down but that requires research. You got to look at these companies carefully.”

Mobius, who quit as head of Franklin Templeton’s emerging market funds in January, has started his own London-based Mobius Capital Partners that aims to pick up direct equity stakes in companies instead of buying exchange-traded funds to generate higher returns.

The fund, which has $160 million of assets under management so far since May, plans to invest $30m to $40m in India, said Mobius, 81, who has bet heavily on Indian assets in the past.

Mobius, who is awaiting for approval of registration of the investment firm by India’s market regulator, says he has already spoken to five NBFCs.

“It’s still very early days. We’ll have to visit them, sit down with them person to person and get a feel for what their thinking is.”

The debt woes of India’s Infrastructure Leasing & Financial Services led to a massive sell-off in finance companies which lost 32.7 per cent since September dragging the broader BSE stock index down 11.7pc.

Mobius Capital will earmark 20pc of its investments each in India and Brazil followed by Turkey, Mexico, Vietnam, Taiwan and Korea which could see about 5-10pc allocation each, Mobius said on the sidelines of Morningstar’s investment conference in Mumbai.

Mobius is looking to invest at a time when several foreign investors are pulling out of India due to uncertainties in the financial sector, rising oil prices, a weaker rupee, and fiscal worries ahead of general elections next year.

Foreign investors have pulled out $13 billion out of India’s debt and stock markets since the start of 2018.

Despite this, Mobius said the investors in his company are bullish on India’s growth prospects and expect annual returns of 15-20pc from equities in the next five years.

“All you have to do is tell them India is growing at 7pc and they’re sold.”

Published in Dawn, October 24th, 2018

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