NEW YORK: Iraqi strongman Saddam Hussein told US interrogators after his capture:

“You are going to fail in Iraq because you do not know the language, history, and you do not understand the Arab mind.”

And now President Obama and president-elect Donald Trump believe the United States should have never invaded Iraq in 2003 (or, at least, Trump claims he now does).

The invasion of Iraq and its chaotic aftermath in many ways prefigure the present moment in the Middle East; it triggered a sectarian unraveling that now haunts both Iraq and Syria and looms large in the minds of an Obama administration wary of further intervention in the region’s conflicts.

In a new book coming out this month, John Nixon, a former CIA officer who interrogated Saddam Hus­sein after he was captured by the US-led forces in Dec 2003, details his encounter with him and the discussions that followed.

Saddam Hussein warned that the occupation of Iraq wouldn’t be the “cakewalk” Washington’s neoconservatives assumed at the time.

From an excerpt published on Time magazine’s website: When I interrogated Saddam, he told me: “You are going to fail. You are going to find that it is not so easy to govern Iraq.”

When I told him I was curious why he felt that way, he replied: “You are going to fail in Iraq because you do not know the language, the history, and you do not understand the Arab mind.”

Nixon now reckons Hussein had a point and that a ruthless strongman like him was necessary to “maintain Iraq’s multi-ethnic state” and keep both Sunnis and the power of Shia-led Iran at bay.

“Saddam’s leadership style and penchant for brutality were among the many faults of his regime, but he could be ruthlessly decisive when he felt his power base was threatened, and it is far from certain that his regime would have been overthrown by a movement of popular discontent,” he wrote.”

Likewise, it is improbable that a group like the militant Islamic State (IS) would have been able to enjoy the kind of success under his regime that they have had under the Shia-led Baghdad government.”

This may all be rather true. Trump himself insists that regime change should no longer be on Washington’s agenda and has embraced dictatorial leaders such as Egypt’s President Abdel Fatah al Sissi.

Published in Dawn, December 19th, 2016

Opinion

Editorial

‘Missing’ LGs
29 Jun, 2026

‘Missing’ LGs

Across the world, successful civic governance is made possible through effective, responsive local bodies, which are closest to the voter.
Audit or ritual?
29 Jun, 2026

Audit or ritual?

THE AGP’s latest audit report of federal civil accounts is a detailed record of governance failures and...
Al Aqsa under threat
29 Jun, 2026

Al Aqsa under threat

NOT satisfied with the genocidal violence it has unleashed in Gaza, the current Israeli administration is doing all...
Truce tested
Updated 28 Jun, 2026

Truce tested

The latest US-Iran exchange should therefore be treated not as proof that dialogue has failed, but as a warning of how easily it could.
Paper promises
28 Jun, 2026

Paper promises

WHAT is a UNSC resolution worth if it is never implemented? Pakistan and China felt compelled to convene an informal...
Still the masters
28 Jun, 2026

Still the masters

CRISTIANO Ronaldo and Lionel Messi do not seem to be going away quietly. At least, not yet. The duo might have left...