Gold recovers as oil firms

Published June 25, 2008

LONDON, June 24:Gold recovered on Tuesday after the previous session’s sharp sell-off as oil rose for the third straight day and the dollar eased from highs against the euro.

Rising crude prices typically underpin gold, which is often bought as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

Gold rose to $888.20/889.20 an ounce from $882.85/884.05 in the US market late on Monday.

We had a nice bounce as Europe opened. That was mostly driven by crude, which jumped higher as we started trading, said Tom Kendall, an analyst at Mitsubishi.

Certainly that bit of a recovery in the euro and easing back in the dollar has helped as well, he added.

Bullion prices shed almost 3 per cent on Monday to their lowest level in nearly a week as a bounce in the dollar against the euro sparked a spate of fund selling.

A stronger dollar often pressures gold, which is bought as an alternative investment to the US currency.

Rumours that a hedge fund liquidated about 2 million ounces of gold also contributed to the losses, according to some dealers.

Appetite for gold is muted, however, ahead of the rate-setting meeting of the Federal Reserve starting Tuesday, which is expected to give fresh impetus to the dollar.

Traders widely expect the Fed’s Open Market Committee to leave interest rates on hold at 2 per cent.

However, they will be closely watching the FOMC’s accompanying statement for clues as to their future bias towards rates.

Gold is likely to take its cue from the Fed statement, said HSBC analyst Jim Steel in a note.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and other Fed officials stepped up their flow of hawkish rhetoric in recent weeks, and it stands to reason... that at least some of this rhetoric will appear in this week’s FOMC statement.

If the market takes the statement as a signal a hike in rates is imminent, it could support the dollar, pressuring gold.

Investment demand remained firm on Monday, with the amount of bullion held by the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, New York’s SPDR Gold Trust, rising by 2 per cent or 12.26 tons to 628.21 tons.

The fund’s silver holdings are now at their lowest since May 13.

Spot silver edged up to $16.85/16.91 an ounce from $16.72/16.80 late in New York.

Among other precious metals, spot platinum was little changed at $2,035.00/2,055.00 an ounce from $2,033.50/2,053.50 late in New York.

Near-term prices could remain under pressure as the weaker German IFO confidence index alludes to a possibility of slower European industrial demand, said Standard Bank analyst Manqoba Madinane in a note.

We expect prices to remain well supported between $2,024 and $2,010 today with a primary resistance band developing between $2,058 and $2,078.

Spot palladium firmed a touch to $466.00/474.00 an ounce from $464.00/472.00.—Reuters

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