ECB set to hold rates steady with eye on Iran crisis

Published April 27, 2026 Updated April 27, 2026 10:00am

The European Central Bank is expected to hold interest rates steady again this week as it waits to see if the inflation spike triggered by the Middle East war will prove temporary or begin to weigh on growth, reports Reuters.

Inflation in the 21-nation single currency area jumped to 2.6 per cent in March, above the ECB’s two-percent target, and the bank has warned it could surge far higher in a worst-case scenario.

ING economist Carsten Brzeski said the ECB’s mantra before the war — that it was in a “good place” on rates — was “no more”.

“The bank is back in crisis mode, shifting its focus from longer-term projections to actual developments and back to a ‘driving at sight’ approach,” he said.

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