Annual inflation, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), spiked to a decades-high level of 27.55 per cent in January, compared to 24.5pc in the previous month, as prices of food and transport continued to remain elevated.

Arif Habib Limited said it was the highest CPI figure since May 1975, when it stood at 27.77pc.

In January 2022, inflation was recorded at 13pc.

According to data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS), inflation in urban and rural areas increased to 24.38pc and 32.26pc year-on-year, respectively.

Inflation increased 2.9pc on a monthly basis, PBS data showed.

The inflationary trend was driven by a double-digit increase in almost all sub-indices, especially food and transport, prices of which have rapidly increased.


Index-wise increase in inflation YoY:

  • Perishable food items: 61.63pc
  • Recreation and culture: 44.14pc
  • Non-perishable food items: 40.34pc
  • Transport: 39.1pc
  • Alcoholic beverages and tobacco: 36.33pc
  • Restaurants and hotels: 30.1pc
  • Furnishing and household equipment maintenance: 29.9pc
  • Miscellaneous goods and services: 28.69pc
  • Health: 18.73pc
  • Clothing and footwear: 16.76pc
  • Education: 10.58pc
  • Housing and utilities: 7.83pc
  • Communication: 1.57pc

The CPI figure was higher than the government’s expectation of 26pc, which itself was more than double the budgeted 11.5pc target.

“The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation on a year-on-year basis for January is forecast in the range of 24-26pc,” said the Ministry of Finance in its Monthly Economic Update & Outlook, adding that the recent political and economic uncertainties both were causing inflationary expectations upward.

The ministry also made an upward revision in its inflation forecast to 24-26pc for the year, from 21-23pc it had estimated in December.

Late last month, the government removed an unofficial cap on the USD-PKR exchange rate, as a result of which the local currency lost Rs38.74 between Jan 26-30. Separately, it also hiked petrol prices by Rs35 a litre. The full impact of these measures is yet to be reflected in the CPI.

Follow Dawn Business on X, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Collective security
Updated 12 Mar, 2026

Collective security

Regional states need to sit down and talk. They must also pledge and work towards collective security.
Spectrum leap
12 Mar, 2026

Spectrum leap

THE sale of 480 MHz of fifth-generation telecom spectrum for $507m is a major milestone in Pakistan’s digital...
Toxic fallout
12 Mar, 2026

Toxic fallout

WARS can leave environmental scars that remain long after the fighting is over. The strikes on Iran’s oil...
Token austerity
Updated 11 Mar, 2026

Token austerity

The ‘austerity’ measures are a ritualistic response to public anger rather than a sincere attempt to reform state spending.
Lebanon on fire
11 Mar, 2026

Lebanon on fire

WHILE the entire Gulf region has become an active warzone, repercussions of this conflict have spread to the...
Canine crisis
11 Mar, 2026

Canine crisis

KARACHI’S stray dog crisis requires urgent attention. Feral canines can cause serious and lasting physical and...