BEIJING: The International Monetary Fund on Thursday warned of brewing risks in China’s banking system as it found dozens of crucial lenders needed to beef up their defences against possible financial crises.

The IMF report comes a day after regulators in Beijing drafted new rules to strengthen bank funding, and follows a number of alerts about a ballooning debt problem in the world’s number-two economy.

Near the top of the list in the IMF study on the stability of China’s financial system is the need for banks to increase their capital to ward off risks from mounting debt.

China has largely relied on debt-fuelled investment and exports to drive its tremendous economic growth, but the Fund said this model has reached its limits.

Part of the problem lies in high growth targets, the IMF said, which incentivise local governments to extend credit and protect failing companies.

“We recommend the authorities to de-emphasise the GDP (growth),” Ratna Sahay, deputy director of the IMF’s Monetary and Capital Markets Department, said during a news conference. China should “incite local governments to strengthen supervision on risks”, she added.

Abundant credit allows local governments to hit high growth figures but now each extra dollar of debt is producing diminishing returns.

The ballooning debt - estimated at 234pc of gross domestic product by the IMF - adds financial risk and may weigh on China’s future economic growth.

Published in Dawn, December 8th, 2017

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