Threats from two borders
By Mahmood Shah
THE government’s warning that it would have to withdraw troops from its western border in case of a threat on its eastern frontier with India was not only uncalled for, it was unrealistic as well. The continuous harping on this issue on TV talk shows is creating a negative impact in the NWFP and Fata.
Such tendencies in the past, including an overemphasis on the Kashmir issue, and without any tangible results created negative feelings in the former East Pakistan. Although East Pakistan’s population was larger than that of West Pakistan, not only did the issues discussed concern the interests of the western wing but most of our troops were also deployed in West Pakistan.
Without meaning to sound parochial, the fact is that there are similar feelings in the NWFP and Fata at this point of time. Defending territory and ensuring the security of its people is the foremost responsibility of the state. Unless it is proactive in ensuring that it is fulfilling this responsibility, other countries and non-state actors (an increasing phenomenon presently in Fata and the NWFP) will be encouraged to encroach upon the security foundations of a neglectful state.
Pakistan’s views on the subject of moving troops from one border to the other were meant more for US consumption and discussing these on TV talk shows would be tantamount to encouraging non-state actors and creating negative feelings among the people of the NWFP and Fata.
Meanwhile, the reported views of some security officials that Baitullah Mehsud and Maulana Fazlullah are patriotic Pakistanis are laughable. The kind of demoralising effect this has had on local law-enforcement agencies and elders (who should be in the forefront when it comes to checking the enemy from within) is not difficult to imagine. If Baitullah and Fazlullah are patriots, how should one categorise our law-enforcement agencies and local elders who are pitted against them and are losing their lives to attacks on a daily basis?
The assertion that our tribes will defend the western border is doubtful because they have been overrun by a superior and motivated force. It is no longer 1948 or 1965 when these tribesmen with rustic weapons but superior motivation and fighting techniques in the mountainous area were able to add to our fighting strength. We are living in 2008 and must keep the battlefield of the 21st century in mind. Our tribals are not cannon fodder just to be thrown into these battlefields. If their services are required we must work out a proper plan on how to use these. In any case, they are not available at this point of time and we must not deceive ourselves.
Even after the Mumbai attacks, the threat on our eastern border is not a credible one. Given Pakistan’s nuclear status, India would not want to commit the blunder of attacking the eastern border. Core areas like Sialkot, Lahore and Rahimyar Khan are perilously close to our eastern border. It is no longer possible to have a limited war between India and Pakistan without provoking a nuclear response from Pakistan. Therefore, any threat emanating from our eastern border is largely taken care of by the country’s nuclear status.
In the present day, no country in the world can afford a nuclear war or should even think about it. The real purpose of having nuclear weapons is the deterrent value which these provide and we could exploit this by reducing the deployment of conventional forces along the eastern border.
NWFP and Fata inhabitants ask that if all politicians can unite when faced with a threat from India even when the forces have not been moved, why can’t they sit together to debate the threat emanating from our western border and give it the same degree of importance.
Understandably the Indian government and media overreacted to the unfortunate incident in Mumbai but there is no reason for the same response on our part. The NWFP and Fata are already under attack and the enemy is within our territories. Our complacent attitude towards the enormous threat on our western border is not understandable. Our military and political leadership appears to suffer from some kind of mental fixation and seems equipped to handle only threats from India. We cannot reorient ourselves to respond effectively to a new situation.
US drones are attacking our tribal, even settled, areas and even then we are unable to stop our enemies from whatever it is doing. In case we pull out our forces from the western border they will simply walk into our territories. Therefore the warning that in case of a threat on our eastern border we would have to pull out forces from our western border is not only unrealistic, it is also making the people of the NWFP and Fata feel demoralised. The government must re-evaluate the threats on both borders and carry out a major redeployment of our forces as per this new threat perception.
The writer is a retired brigadier and former secretary, Fata.
mahmoodshah@mahmoodshah.com


Death of village life
By Jason Burke
All over France it is the same story. Changing social habits, rural depopulation, the recently introduced ban on smoking, strict laws prohibiting fruit machines, inflation, static salaries and the economic crisis are forcing thousands of cafes and bars to the wall.
In the big cities, the sheer weight of population and prices are keeping business buoyant. ‘We’ve no problems here,’ said Michel Gineston, owner of Le Barricou bar in Paris’s fashionable 3rd arrondissement, but in the small villages it is a ‘catastrophe’.
Meurquin has been in the business for 20 years. Vendresse, a classic cluster of grey-roofed homes around a fortified Gothic church, does not suffer from the loss of inhabitants like so many rural settlements in France, because it is a dormitory for nearby Charleville-Mezieres. But that has brought its own problems.
‘People do not have the sense of rural life these days. There’s no conviviality,’ she said. ‘About five of my regulars are from the village. My revenue is down 20 per cent on last year. I feel like I’ve failed, but I know it’s time to do something else.’
But no cafe means no social life in the village. On Saturday, Meurquin hosted the local firemen’s annual lunch: ‘Even if you don’t go there all the time, a village needs a cafe. You don’t talk to people in a supermarket. You can’t hold a lunch there,’ said Jean-Louis Lenoir, 58. ‘It’s where everybody — young and old, from all social classes — mixes.’
The figures speak for themselves. In 1960, France had 200,000 cafes and bars. Now there are just over 40,000. So far this year, another 500 have closed. Studies suggest that the rate of bankruptcy among cafe owners could be up to 56 per cent higher than last year.
‘The hotel and restaurant business has already been undermined by a host of factors before the economic crisis,’ said Herve Lambel, of union Cerf. ‘For 30 years there has been the competition from takeaways, dropping alcohol consumption and the advent of television, which means people go out less. And in a crisis, it’s beers and cigarettes that are first hit.’
Herve Novelli, France’s tourism minister, contested the bankruptcy figures. According to the national institute of statistics, bankruptcies in the sector are only up by 11 per cent. But Lambel fears cafes will soon become relics, catering just to tourists and the nostalgic.
‘We have to save a few before we end up just pointing tourists at those which are still there, saying, “Look, that’s what it was like in a bygone era”,’ he said.
The wave of closures has made French bar-room grumbling even darker than usual. ‘It’s bad for us all,’ said Didier Baton, of the Cafe du Chene, the only one left in Grandfresnoy in the Oise, 60 miles north of Paris.
Many cafe owners are resorting to extreme measures, tolerating smoking, running illicit lotteries, bingo and even gambling. On the door of the only bar tabac in Dresny, a small village in the Loire-Atlantic, a sticker welcomes smokers. Yet Joel Lailler — Jojo the rebel to his fellow bar owners — has now hoisted the white flag.
Even a hunger strike and an interview with French president Nicolas Sarkozy has not held back the inevitable. ‘I opened a breach, but no one followed me,’ Lailler said. ‘If the government can’t let us decide ourselves whether to let our clients smoke, then I’ll take a decision for them and close.’
In the Ardennes, cafe owners complained that, as their Belgian counterparts faced no ban on smoking or on staying open later than 1am, local youths simply drive across the border to spend their evenings there.
‘There is no freedom any more,’ said Jacky Valente, the 44-year-old owner of Le Sedanais in Sedan, where on Friday afternoon only two clients, one Valente’s nephew, sipped beers. ‘You can sell cigarettes, but not smoke; buy alcohol, but not drink; buy a car that can go at 150kph, but not drive it faster than 110.’
There are now moves to change the law on games in bars to help cafes attract a new clientele, but the owners say it is too little too late.
— The Guardian, London

