BEFORE the beginning of the Iraq War, two of the most popular hosts of the late night shows here made the following comments:

“President Bush may be the smartest military president in history. First, he gets Iraq to destroy all of their own weapons. Then, he declares war,”—Jay Leno-The Tonight Show-NBC

“President Bush has said that he does not need approval from the UN to wage war, and I’m thinking, well, hell, he didn’t need the approval of the American voters to become president, either,”—David Letterman- Late Night-CBS show.

Indeed, their observations were more profound than they had meant them to be.

The Bush Administration officials — led by Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld — have been gloating on the American electronic and print media over the quick success they had achieved in crushing Iraq’s forces, when they entered Baghdad after three weeks of battle

But it should come as no surprise, that the Iraqi government crumbled under the onslaught of the heavily armed US-led coalition so quickly. After all, what chance did Saddam Hussein’s hapless army have against state-of-the-art weaponry, innumerable missiles, over 3,000 sorties and over 300,000 American and British troops.

Iraq’s army was debilitated in 1991 when the international coalition drove it from Kuwait and then made it to surrender and sign an armistice which entailed United Nations sanctions which are still in place. Iraq had no air power, no missiles, no weapons of mass destruction — at least not used, tanks were barely in working condition, the air defences were battered by the US and British forces much before the start of the war.

The American public was scared, believing that the Iraqi regime had connections to Al Qaeda who would in turn attack the United States. A case for war. But there have been no terrorist attacks on America. Iraq hasn’t demolished any holy site and blamed its destruction on the West. And while Iraqi soldiers have disguised themselves as civilians, the Pentagon says there have been no reports, as initially predicted, of troops donning look-alike US and British uniforms to commit atrocities against Iraqis.

The Scud missiles and nerve gas attacks which Israelis claimed would be launched against them never happened. President Bush in anticipation of chemical and biological weapon attacks on his armies had signed an executive order authorizing the use of all and every means to destroy the Iraqi army including nuclear weapons.

“The war against Iraq has become one of the clearest examples ever of the influence of the military-industrial complex that President Dwight Eisenhower warned against so eloquently in his farewell address in 1961. This iron web of relationships among powerful individuals inside and outside the government operates with very little public scrutiny and is saturated with conflicts of interest,” observed Bob Herbert in a column in the New York Times on Friday.

Herbert says, “their goals may or may not coincide with the best interests of the American people. Think of the divergence of interests, for example, between the grunts who are actually fighting this war, who have been eating sand and spilling their blood in the desert, and the power brokers who fought like crazy to make the war happen and are profiting from it every step of the way.”

The Center for Public Integrity, a private watchdog group in Washington, recently disclosed that of the 30 members of the Defence Policy Board, at least nine are linked to companies that have won more than $76 billion in defence contracts in 2001 and 2002. Richard Perle was the chairman of the board until just a few weeks ago, when he resigned the chairmanship amid allegations of a conflict of interest. He is still on the board as a member.

Another member is the former CIA director, James Woolsey. He is also a principal in the Paladin Capital Group, a venture capital firm that, as the Center for Public Integrity noted, is soliciting investments for companies that specialize in domestic security. Mr Woolsey is also a member of the Committee to Liberate Iraq and is reported to be in line to play a role in the postwar occupation.

“The Pentagon and its allies are close to achieving what they wanted all along, control of the nation of Iraq and its bounty, which is the wealth and myriad forms of power that flow from control of the world’s second-largest oil reserves,” said Herbert.

DOMINO THEORY: The domino theory being espoused by some Bush administration’s hawks holds that bringing democracy to Iraq could promote the spread of democracy throughout the Middle East where that form of government is currently rare.

Emboldened by the US military’s rapid advances in Iraq, some American conservatives are now actively promoting the idea of “regime change” — advocated by Mr Bush in Iraq — in Iran and Syria.

The Secretary General of the Arab League, Amr Moussa, advised the United States to shift its focus after the war on Iraq to ending Israel’s occupation of Palestinian lands rather than targeting more Middle east governments.

“The next step, if there should be a next step after what happened in Iraq, is to concentrate on the Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, and should deal with this occupation and move ahead as quickly as possible to put an end to it.”

Moussa warned that trying to apply the domino theory in the Middle East “would be adding fuel to fire” after the US-led invasion of Iraq.

Many experts in Washington and elsewhere believe that the Bush Administration would not act on the promises made to the Palestinians and would rather leave them to fight it out with Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who must be the happiest man on earth right now, seeing the total disarray in the Arab world after the fall of Saddam Hussein in Iraq.

WILL CHALABI GOVERN IRAQ?: But what about Iraq? Who will be picked by the Bush Administration to head the so called democratic government?

It is apparent that declaring victory and ruling Iraq while trying to introduce democracy in Iraq is not going to be an easy task. The Iraqis who came out on the streets welcoming the coalition armies are skeptical about American motives. The leader chosen by Washington, Ahmed Chalabi, has lived outside Iraq for most of his adult life. Despite White House assurances last weekend that indigenous Iraqis will play a dominant role, no one believes that the ambitions and influence of Ahmed Chalabi, the wealthy head of the London-based Iraqi National Congress (INC), who until recently was regarded as the front-runner in any future prime minister stakes, will be quashed. Chalabi has been lobbying Bush Administration officials for the post.

Chalabi’s relationship with key figures in the Bush administration has been often noted, and his supporters are said to include Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, Vice President Dick Cheney, and Deputy Defence Secretary Paul D. Wolfowitz, says the Village Voice a liberal New York weekly.

However, the CIA, and especially the State Department, both oppose any real position of leadership for Chalabi and the exile groups he represents in postwar Iraq.

This disapproval, along with international calls (including British) to broaden the leadership base to include Iraqis from beyond the exile groups, may explain the White House’s distancing itself the INC as details about postwar plans start to trickle out.

Chalabi told CBS’s 60 Minutes last Sunday, “I’m not a candidate for any position in Iraq, and I don’t seek an office. I think my role ends with the liberation of the country.” Whether he has flown to Nassiriyah for a vacation remains a question. The State Department will say only that “Chalabi is a private citizen and can do as he pleases.”

But US government sources told the Village Voice that Chalabi is still very much a Wolfowitz favourite, and that it is hard to imagine he’ll be sidelined in any new government. Recent reports suggest that Chalabi may have found a post as an adviser to the postwar finance ministry, seemingly a useful place for the MIT and University of Chicago-educated mathematician, whose business experience includes starting what was, at one time, Jordan’s second largest bank.

But it is precisely this business experience, and Chalabi’s indictment in 1992 for embezzlement and fraud (among other charges), that worry many in the Jordanian financial community who have had dealings with him.

The details of this story are of, course, in dispute, with Chalabi saying charges brought against him in the wake of his Petra Bank’s collapse in 1989 were “political,” and were due in part to his opposition to Saddam Hussein, who Chalabi says put pressure on Jordan’s King Hussein to close Petra Bank and indict him and his associates.

Opinion

Budgeting without people

Budgeting without people

Even though the economy is a critical issue, discussions about it involve a select few who are not really interested in communicating with the people.

Editorial

Iranian tragedy
Updated 21 May, 2024

Iranian tragedy

Due to Iran’s regional and geopolitical influence, the world will be watching the power transition carefully.
Circular debt woes
21 May, 2024

Circular debt woes

THE alleged corruption and ineptitude of the country’s power bureaucracy is proving very costly. New official data...
Reproductive health
21 May, 2024

Reproductive health

IT is naïve to imagine that reproductive healthcare counts in Pakistan, where women from low-income groups and ...
Wheat price crash
Updated 20 May, 2024

Wheat price crash

What the government has done to Punjab’s smallholder wheat growers by staying out of the market amid crashing prices is deplorable.
Afghan corruption
20 May, 2024

Afghan corruption

AMONGST the reasons that the Afghan Taliban marched into Kabul in August 2021 without any resistance to speak of ...
Volleyball triumph
20 May, 2024

Volleyball triumph

IN the last week, while Pakistan’s cricket team savoured a come-from-behind T20 series victory against Ireland,...