PMI fell to a seven-month low of 50.2 in June, industry group the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said Sunday, but manufacturing activity has not contracted since November last year. - AFP photo

SHANGHAI: China's manufacturing activity contracted for the eighth consecutive month in June, British bank HSBC said Monday, which analysts say will prompt more government moves to boost the flagging economy.

The bank's purchasing managers' index (PMI) for China, which gauges the manufacturing sector, fell to 48.2 in June from 48.4 in May, according to an HSBC statement.

A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 points to contraction. A preliminary reading for June was 48.1.

The weaker manufacturing came despite an interest rate cut last month.

The government has been trying to avert a hard landing for the world's number two economy, which has been hit by weakness in key export markets such as the United States and Europe.

China's economy grew an annual 8.1 per cent in the first quarter of 2012 -- its slowest pace in nearly three years. The government will release the gross domestic product (GDP) figure for the second quarter next week.

“As external demand has weakened and domestic demand hasn't shown a meaningful improvement in response to earlier easing measures, growth is likely to be on track for further slowdown,” HSBC's co-head of Asian economic research, Qu Hongbin, said in a statement.

HSBC forecast GDP growth could slow to 7.8 per cent in the second quarter, before rebounding later this year.

“Beijing has plenty of room and policy ammunition to avoid a hard landing. We expect more decisive easing efforts to come through in the coming months,”Qu said.

The June 8 rate cut was China's first in more than three years. The People's Bank of China, or central bank, cut the benchmark one-year lending rate by 0.25 per centage points, while the one-year deposit rate fell by the same amount.

Analysts also expect the government to further trim reserve requirements for banks, following three such moves since December last year.

China's official PMI has painted a slightly better picture of the economy.

PMI fell to a seven-month low of 50.2 in June, industry group the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said Sunday, but manufacturing activity has not contracted since November last year.

Analysts say the divergence in the PMI measures is caused by HSBC giving more weighting to small firms, which have suffered more than state-owned giants in the current economic downturn.

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

Editorial

Ties with Tehran
Updated 24 Apr, 2024

Ties with Tehran

Tomorrow, if ties between Washington and Beijing nosedive, and the US asks Pakistan to reconsider CPEC, will we comply?
Working together
24 Apr, 2024

Working together

PAKISTAN’S democracy seems adrift, and no one understands this better than our politicians. The system has gone...
Farmers’ anxiety
24 Apr, 2024

Farmers’ anxiety

WHEAT prices in Punjab have plummeted far below the minimum support price owing to a bumper harvest, reckless...
By-election trends
Updated 23 Apr, 2024

By-election trends

Unless the culture of violence and rigging is rooted out, the credibility of the electoral process in Pakistan will continue to remain under a cloud.
Privatising PIA
23 Apr, 2024

Privatising PIA

FINANCE Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb’s reaffirmation that the process of disinvestment of the loss-making national...
Suffering in captivity
23 Apr, 2024

Suffering in captivity

YET another animal — a lioness — is critically ill at the Karachi Zoo. The feline, emaciated and barely able to...