ISLAMABAD, Sept 3: Almost 80 per cent of the world’s population aged 15 years and over is literate, says a Unesco press release issued here on Tuesday in connection with the International Literacy Day, falling on September 8. including more women than ever before,

The new estimates and projections, collated by the Unesco Institute for Statistics, show a steady fall in the number of illiterate adults from 22.4 per cent of the world’s population in 1995 to 20.3 per cent in 2000. This means that the number of illiterate adults fell from an estimated 872 million in 1995 to 862 million in 2000.

On current trends, the institute estimates that this should drop to 824 million or 16.5 per cent by 2010.

Best performances came from Africa and Asia, which, despite some disparity between countries in these regions, saw the overall percentage of their illiterate populations shrink by 5.4 and 2.8 percentage points respectively.

The figures also show that though women still make up two thirds of the world’s adult illiterates, in all regions they are gaining access to education and literacy, and at a faster rate than men. The Institute reports that the proportion of illiterate women aged 15 and over fell from 28.5 per cent to 25.8 per cent.

This trend was most evident in Africa, where the percentage of illiterate women over the age of 15 fell by 6.4 percentage points to 49.2 percent. This means that for the first time, the majority of women in this part of the world are now literate.

Progress was also made in South and West Asia, and the Arab States and North Africa where the percentages of illiterate women are now 56.4 and 52.2 per cent respectively.

While these latest figures clearly show an increasingly literate world, they also show that progress is excruciatingly slow: one adult in five remains illiterate and meeting the goal set by the World Education Forum (Dakar, April 2000) to halve adult illiteracy by 2015 will clearly be an uphill battle: the estimates that unless an extraordinary effort is made, the percentage of illiterate adults will fall by only another five percentage points by that date.

According to the data, only about 26 developing countries stand a good chance of reaching the Dakar goal, including China, Indonesia, Jordan, Kenya, Oman, United Republic of Tanzania and Zimbabwe. Another 39 countries are on the track to improve their literacy rates by 40 to 50 per cent. Among them are Algeria, Bahrain, Bolivia, Chile, Ecuador, Namibia, Turkey and Zambia. And a further 28 states, including Brazil, El Salvador, Lao PDR, Togo and Uganda could possibly improve their literacy rates by between 30 and 40 per cent.

However, there are still around 30 countries that, by 2015, are unlikely to achieve any more than a 30 per cent improvement over their 2000 literacy rates. On this list are: Bahamas, Bangladesh, Benin, Burkina Faso, Cambodia, Comoros, Cote d’lvoire, Dominican Republic, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guatemala, Haiti, India, Iraq, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Myanmar, Nepal, Nicaragua, Niger, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Senegal, Solvenia, Untied Arab Emirates, Vietnam. Without major additional efforts to fight illiteracy, these countries will account for 92 per cent of the world’s illiterate population in 2015.

Despite the difficulties, “We must do more and better,” insists Unesco director-general, Koichiro Matsuura. “It is intolerable that around one in five of the world’s adults are illiterate,” says Mr Matsuura, in his message on International Illiteracy Day. “How can we build equitable information societies or thriving democracies if so many remain without the basic tools of literacy? How can intercultural dialogue and mutual understanding prosper when the literacy divide is so great? And how can poverty be eradicated when the roots of ignorance are left undisturbed?