Sales of new homes in US decline

Published December 30, 2007

WASHINGTON, Dec 29: Sales of new US homes fell in November to the lowest rate since 1995, but business activity perked up this month, according to reports on Friday that showed pockets of strength in the economy despite a housing sector meltdown.

New single-family home sales dropped 9 per cent to an annualrate of 647,000 in November from a downwardly revised pace of 711,000 in October, the Commerce Department said.

Analysts polled by Reuters were expecting a seasonally adjusted annual sales rate of 720,000.

Rising mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures have roiled financial markets in recent months as a host of securities tied to those failing loans lost value. Banks have written off tens of billions of dollars worth of bad debts, and lending terms have tightened, which threatens to stall US economic growth.

The US Federal Reserve has lowered its benchmark interest rate three times since mid-September in an effort to insulate the economy from the housing and credit market turmoil.

Economists widely expect further cuts in early 2008.

Friday’s housing report suggested the new home market may have more room to fall as the inventory of houses for sale rose to 9.3 months’ supply from 8.8 months in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in November dipped to $239,100 from $240,100 a year earlier.

“Demand for new homes continues to fall in an environment of price uncertainty,” said Joseph Brusuelas, chief US economist at IDEA Global in New York.

Sales in the US Midwest were particularly weak, tumbling 27.6 per cent to the slowest pace since July 1991.

The new home sales report has a margin of error of plus or minus 13.9 per cent, which makes it vulnerable to large revisions from month to month. Like October, the figures for August and September were also revised lower.

Outside of housing, the economy looked somewhat brighter as business activity expanded in the US Midwest and in New York City in December, separate reports showed.

The National Association of Purchasing Management-Chicago’s business barometer rose to 56.6, its strongest since June, from 52.9 in November. Economists had forecast a reading of 51.8.

Anything above 50 indicates expansion.

The National Association of Purchasing Management-New York’s index rose to 449.1 in December from 445.0 in November, rising for a third straight month.

The report on Midwest business activity, in particular, helped ease concerns raised by a report on Thursday that showed weak orders for US-made durable goods in November.

Analysts said it suggested the heartland’s many export-related businesses are getting a boost from the weak US dollar, even as domestic demand weakens.

“You can say that the manufacturing sector is not falling off the cliff, and although we are seeing a slowdown (in the overall economy) at least the industrial side is going to keep supporting the economy,” said Kurt Brunner, portfolio manager at Swarthmore Group in Philadelphia.

—Reuters

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