Equities post modest gains amid high volatility

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KARACHI: The Pakis­tan Stock Exchange (PSX) eked out modest gains on Monday after sharp swings in the benchmark KSE-100 index. Selective buying helped the market close in positive territory despite persistent volatility.

Amid diplomatic efforts, geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures continued to weigh on sentiment. High energy import costs and supply disruptions also challenged macroeconomic stability.

Topline Securities Ltd said the index traded range-bound, fluctuating bet­ween an intraday high of 166,989 points and a low of 165,585 points before closing slightly higher at 166,564.07 points, up 154.81 points or 0.09 per cent.

Investors maintained a cautious stance, weighing domestic inflationary concerns against easing international crude oil prices.

Refinery stocks crash on PDL shift

Buying interest was primarily seen in select heavyweight stocks from the commercial banking and cement sectors, while selective profit-taking capped the broader market’s gains.

Ali Najib, Deputy Head of Trading at Arif Habib Ltd, said the PSX recorded a flat session as the market remained volatile, trading in both directions amid cautious investor sentiment despite easing international oil prices.

The index initially fell 824 points to an intraday low of 165,585 before staging a mid-session recovery of 581 points to 166,990. However, renewed selling pressure in the final hour trimmed the gains, leaving the index below 167,000.

On the sectoral front, the government chose to absorb the Rs14.71 per litre increase in petrol import costs by reducing the petroleum development levy (PDL) from Rs80 to Rs65.29 per litre, keeping consumer prices unchanged, while diesel pricing remained unchanged.

This effectively shifts the burden to refineries, resulting in an estimated PDL impact of Rs49.02 per litre on refinery-supplied petrol, with no change in the levy’s collection.

The development triggered panic selling across the refinery sector, with At­­t­­­­ock Refinery, Pakistan Refinery, National Refin­ery, and Cnergyico PK all clo­­sing at their lower circuits, down 10pc, 9.7pc, 10pc, and 10pc, respectively.

On the macroeconomic front, headline inflation eased to 9.6pc year-on-year in October from 10.3pc in September, driven mainly by a modest 0.25pc month-on-month increase in the housing component.

Meanwhile, the transport index rose 28.6pc year-on-year and 1.8pc month-on-month, while food inflation increased 7.7pc year-on-year and 2.3pc month-on-month, indicating continued pass-through of higher fuel costs to food prices.

Attock Refinery, Oil and Gas Development Company, PSO, Cnergyico PK and Pakistan Petroleum were the major laggards, collectively eroding approximately 466 points. Conversely, Mari Energies, Fauji Fertiliser, Engro Holdings, Pakistan Services and Hub Power provided some support, adding a cumulative 631 points to the index.

However, investor participation weakened sharply, with trading volume plunging 46.28pc to 443.4 million shares and turnover falling 23.31pc to Rs17.6bn.

Published in Dawn, November 3rd, 2026

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