ISLAMABAD: Incomes could triple in Pakistan by 2050 if the country ensures faster implementation of structural reforms, according to the World Bank Group’s latest Pakistan Development Update.
Titled Attaining Escape Velocity, the report said that following progress on macroeconomic stabilisation, Pakistan has an opportunity to achieve faster and sustained economic growth and create more jobs.
Sound macroeconomic policies in recent years have helped stabilise the economy and preserve growth despite the impact of the Middle East conflict.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) growth increased to 3.7 per cent in FY26 from 3.2pc in FY25.
Policy improvements could lift annual growth to 6.9pc
Revenue growth and expenditure restraint supported record primary fiscal surpluses, which reached 2.9pc of GDP in FY26, while strong remittances enabled the country to rebuild its foreign exchange reserves.
“Pakistan has made real progress in restoring stability, and markets have taken notice,” World Bank Country Director Bolormaa Amgaabazar said.
“But real per capita growth — the rate at which the income of the average Pakistani increases — remains stuck at around 1.6pc. Reforms to drive faster growth are now urgently needed,” she added.
The report finds that higher growth is possible if Pakistan follows the path taken by other successful countries in pursuing ambitious economic reforms.
Upgrading policies and institutions to the standards of the average middle-income country could drive sustained annual growth of 6.2pc to 6.9pc, allowing Pakistan to reach Vietnam’s current income level by 2050.
The report outlines an ambitious set of reforms that could enable Pakistan to attain by 2050 the per capita income levels of countries currently at the upper-middle-income threshold.
Published in Dawn, October 23rd, 2026
