China is emerging as a major supplier of water technology to parched countries across Asia, the Middle East and Africa, as shrinking natural supplies at home push Beijing to invest heavily in manufactured freshwater, industry experts say.

Chinese firms are selling desalination membranes, filtration equipment and engineering services to Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, often through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), which connects Chinese capital and infrastructure projects to developing markets.

Even Gulf states, long desalination pioneers, are turning to Chinese manufacturers to produce equipment at scale.

China exported more than $2 billion of water filtering and purifying machinery in 2025, up 25 per cent from $1.6bn in 2020, according to UN Comtrade.

Vontron Technology said it shipped more than 30,000 seawater desalination membranes to BRI countries last year, enough for more than 300,000 tons of daily capacity. In January, PowerChina said it was building a water supply project in Tanzania to serve more than 450,000 people.

At home, Beijing has made water security a strategic priority.

Spending on water conservancy has grown faster than military spending since 2015, according to China Water Risk (CWR), a Hong Kong-based think tank. It now exceeds 1.2 trillion yuan ($170bn) a year, which CWR says rivals China’s central military budget.

A crisis at home

The push is rooted in domestic risk. In August, a massive collapse of ice and rock near the border between Nepal and Tibet showed how volatile natural water sources are becoming.

Tibet’s “water towers” feed headwaters for nearly 2bn people across South, Southeast and East Asia, and climate change is eroding them. Meanwhile, severe over-extraction in northern China has depleted groundwater and left key farming regions with systemic deficits.

“We could see peak water by 2050 across 10 major river systems that provide water to one in two Asians as glacier melt peaks and river flows decline,” CWR said.

Peak water is the tipping point where flows from natural water sources reach a maximum and thereafter enter continual decline.

“This will put almost half the GDP of 16 countries at risk, including China, CWR said.

Benjamin Horton, dean of the School of Energy and Environment at City University of Hong Kong, said China’s ability to develop water technology at scale could cut costs for other water-stressed countries. He said Beijing could become Asia’s leading provider of practical water security solutions.

“Through the Belt and Road Initiative, there is likely to be continued demand for hydropower, desalination, flood forecasting, irrigation, wastewater treatment, and climate-resilient infrastructure,” he said.

Water as national security

In July, China rolled out new regulations under its Five-Year Plan that treat water as a pillar of national security and economic self-reliance, not just an environmental issue.

Surface water supplies about 80pc of China’s freshwater, while recycled water, desalinated seawater and harvested rainwater provide just 3pc to 4pc. Authorities have pledged to raise that share.

The South-North Water Transfer Project moves billions of cubic meters from the Yangtze to the dry north, but it is constrained by energy costs and shrinking surpluses in the warming Yangtze basin.

Saleh Al Khabti, China president of Saudi developer Acwa, said costs are rising and quality is deteriorating in some areas.

China operated 167 seawater desalination projects at the end of 2025, with total capacity of 3,076,805 tonnes a day, up 221,283 tonnes from 2024, according to the Ministry of Natural Resources. State media put the average production cost at 4 to 8 yuan per cubic meter.

Industry reports expect the market to grow from $1.84bn in 2024 to $4.66bn in 2033, or about 11pc a year.

Hurdles remain, including the scale of investment and the central planning needed for multi-city conveyance grids, while public attitudes also pose a challenge.

Khabti said many Chinese still view drinking desalinated water as taboo, though local governments are keen to build capacity.

Foreign players buying in

Khabti said more than 90pc of the renewable equipment Acwa procures comes from Chinese manufacturers, and the company buys about 70pc of its global water equipment from Chinese suppliers.

Acwa has pledged to invest up to $30bn in China by 2030, working with firms including PowerChina and China Energy Engineering Corporation. It plans to spend at least $15bn a year on Chinese equipment over the next three years across renewables, green hydrogen and desalination.

Khabti expects Chinese membrane makers to catch up fast.

“It took us 15 years to reach where we are today with our partners,” he said.

He thinks Chinese original equipment manufacturers could match that level in two to three years, and he expects desalination to follow wind and solar as “a big area of exports.”

“We’re very bullish about China,” he said. “Once it’s there, China will be the leader.”