NEW DELHI: India’s consumer prices rose faster than expected in May due to higher food costs, official figures showed on Monday, which will likely lead the central bank to hold off lowering interest rates.

The inflation rate increased to 5.76 per cent from a year earlier, substantially higher than the 4.8pc recorded in March and 5.4pc in April, reported the statistics ministry.

The jump was mostly driven by higher food prices, economists said, after two back-to-back droughts. A survey of 28 economists by Bloomberg had forecast the May inflation rate would be 5.6pc.

“The recent pickup in Indian inflation is due to higher food prices, not a pickup in overall inflationary pressures,” Bill Adams, senior international economist at PNC Financial Services Group, said in a statement.

“Nevertheless, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to leave interest rates on hold for the rest of 2016 after its 25 basis point cut in the repo rate to 6.5pc on April 5,” Adams added.

Central bank governor Raghuram Rajan, who has made taming India’s once-runaway prices a priority of his tenure, has set a medium-term goal of limiting inflation to 5pc by March 2017.

The April rate cut, designed to lower the cost of borrowing and provide a boost to the economy, took the key interest rate to its lowest level since early 2011.

Economists are now looking ahead to the imminent monsoon, a key factor in food price inflation owing to its outsize impact on India’s farmers, whose crops are highly dependent on the annual rains.

Published in Dawn, June 15th, 2016

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Editorial

Ominous demands
18 May, 2024

Ominous demands

THE cash-strapped government opened talks with the IMF this week in search of a larger and longer bailout. Nobody...
Property leaks
18 May, 2024

Property leaks

THE leaked Dubai property data reported on by media organisations around the world earlier this week seems to have...
Heat warnings
18 May, 2024

Heat warnings

STARTING next week, the country must brace for brutal heatwaves. The NDMA warns of severe conditions with...
Dangerous law
Updated 17 May, 2024

Dangerous law

It must remember that the same law can be weaponised against it one day, just as Peca was when the PTI took power.
Uncalled for pressure
17 May, 2024

Uncalled for pressure

THE recent press conferences by Senators Faisal Vawda and Talal Chaudhry, where they demanded evidence from judges...
KP tussle
17 May, 2024

KP tussle

THE growing war of words between KP Chief Minister Ali Amin Gandapur and Governor Faisal Karim Kundi is affecting...