US loan crisis may worsen in 2008

Published November 22, 2007

WASHINGTON, Nov 21: US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said mortgage defaults will worsen in 2008 and that lenders should act “aggressively” to offer new loan terms to avert an economic calamity, the Wall Street Journal online said on Wednesday.

Paulson said in an interview with the Journal that mortgage lenders should quickly set up new loan programmes for homeowners facing higher payments, and that a case-by-case evaluation would not be enough to avoid a wave of defaults.

The Treasury chief said he expects more mortgage failures in 2008 because of the high number of looming “resets” on adjustable-rate loans that were given with little verification during the housing boom.

Paulson, who up to now had encouraged lenders to work with borrowers on an individual basis, said his outlook has evolved as he has learned more about the scope of the problem.

“The nature of the problem will be significantly bigger next year because 2006 (mortgages) had lower underwriting standards, no amortisation, and no down payments,” he told the Journal.

“We’re never going to be able to process the number of workouts and modifications that are going to be necessary doing it just sort of one-off ...

I think most of the (banks) we’ve talked to agree with that -- this is just encouraging them, aggressively encouraging them, to move quicker.” Economists have been warning of a wave of defaults that will impact as many as two million American homeowners, and lead to massive losses for the banking and finance sector that could damage the overall economy.

Paulson said Congress must play a role in alleviating the crisis as well as government-sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

“I see this as being important to the individual homeowners and I start there but it’s got a macroeconomic effect, it’s got a neighbourhood effect and it’s clearly got a capital markets effect,” he said.

Paulson said Congress should temporarily allow Fannie and Freddie to purchase mortgages larger than their current limit of $417,000, a move some believe would improve the availability of so-called jumbo mortgages.

—AFP

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