April 04, 2008	Friday	Rabi-ul-Awwal 26, 1429

UNITED NATIONS, April 3: Global rice production is expected to increase by 1.8 per cent — or 12 million metric tons — this year, easing a tight supply situation in key cultivating countries, the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) said on Wednesday.

Assuming normal weather conditions, sizable production increases are expected in all the major Asian rice-producing countries — Bangladesh, China, India, Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines and Thailand, where supply and demand are currently rather stretched.

“The international rice market is currently facing a particularly difficult situation with demand outstripping supply and substantial price increases,” said Food and Agriculture Organisation Senior Economist Concepcion Calpe.

She added that higher rice production in 2008 could reduce the pressure, but short-term volatility will probably continue, given the very limited supplies available from stocks. “This implies that the market may react very strongly to any good or bad news about crops or policies,” she stated.

Production is also expected to rise in Africa, Latin America and the European Union, while it may contract in Japan, one of the few countries where producer prices fell last year, the agency said.

Meanwhile, the forecast for Australia is “dismal,” in light of extremely low water availability, and a decrease is also expected in the United States, owing to competition from more profitable crops.

According to Food and Agriculture Organisation, global rice prices have risen by about 20 per cent since January, reflecting the limited supplies available for sale.