Playing ducks and drakes with the water issue
By Ameer Bhutto
THE opponents of Kalabagh dam have been accused of turning a “technical” matter into an emotional political debate. They stand charged of whipping up paranoia, fostering secessionist tendencies and using the issue to achieve political objectives. It is even claimed that the opponents of the dam have put the federation at risk. Our rulers always find it convenient to label any opinion which clashes with their own designs as a threat to the state.
Emerson pointed out that “Patriotism is the last refuge of scoundrels.” The supporters of the dam wish to portray it as a benign non-issue, which it most certainly is not. When fertile fields become barren for want of water and people yearn for a drop of drinking water, which is what will inevitably happen in Sindh if dams are built upstream, how can this be called a “technical” issue? This is like telling the passengers of a crashing aeroplane not to get emotional because the aeroplane is merely experiencing a “technical” problem. The water issue has direct and far-reaching repercussions on the life of every man, woman and child in Sindh.
The fact is that the bone of contention is not just Kalabagh dam, but the very principle of damming the Indus river to create water reservoirs up north. By giving priority to Bhasha and Munda dams, the president has not abandoned Kalabagh and other dams not have only put them on hold. The objection is threefold and applies to the creation of any reservoirs:
Firstly, there is not enough surplus water available on a regular annual basis to justify the creation of reservoirs. Secondly, it is feared that water will be siphoned off to Punjab for irrigation purposes by canals from these reservoirs, particularly from Kalabagh dam, at the expense of the share of water of the smaller provinces. Thirdly, there is a yawning gap of trust, created by a wilful breech of previous understandings and assurances.
The Technical Committee on Water Resources reached the conclusion that the availability of requisite surplus water essential to fill new reservoirs cannot be counted upon every year. In other words, the 117 million acre feet water around which the 1991 accord was put together is not available every year since floods are a rare occurrence. Even the supporters of new dams agree that in recent years there has been, on average, a water shortage of up to 40 per cent because of which vast tracts of fertile land has been left uncultivated, not only in the ‘pukka’ area but even in the ‘kachcha’ area located on the banks of the Indus.
This being the case, it is hard to see how one can arrive at the conclusion that the solution lies in creating more reservoirs. Where will the surplus water come from to fill these reservoirs when there is already a shortage and our current requirements are not being met? This is like Marie Antoinette suggesting that peasants eat cake if they don’t have bread.
One look at the official figures reveals that a dam at Skardu would go further than one at Kalabagh in achieving the objectives which the supporters of the dams are supposedly promoting. For instance, at Skardu a reservoir of 35 MAF can be created and 15,000 MW electricity can be produced. By contrast, at Kalabagh a reservoir of only 6.1 MAF will be created and only 3,600 MW electricity will be generated.
But since, unlike Kalabagh, canals cannot be dug at Skardu to supply water to Punjab, so far even a feasibility study has not been conducted for a dam at Skardu. When, under pressure from the smaller provinces, it was proposed by the government that the design of Kalabagh dam be modified to eliminate the canals, Punjab refused to accept any such modifications, thereby revealing their true intentions.
This is why the President refrained from scrapping Kalabagh dam and instead tried to sugarcoat the bitter pill by giving priority to Bhasha and Munda dams. But if all five dams are to be completed within ten years, then construction work on all five will have to proceed simultaneously. The question of prioritizing the dams is, in practice, purely academic.
Inter-provincial confidence is a currency that is in short supply and it will take positive action rather than useless assurances to remedy this situation. Assurances were given that the Chashma-Jehlum link canal would only be operated in the event of floods. But now this canal is operated throughout the year. The president has offered to give constitutional guarantees that every province will receive its full share of water.
Need we remind him that Article VI of the Constitution stipulates the charge of high treason for anyone who abrogates or in any way subverts the Constitution? How many times has this provision been implemented? Such hollow and cosmetic constitutional guarantees are not worth the paper they are written on.
If the government really is concerned about meeting the demand for water in the future rather than just appeasing a specific clique, would it not be wiser, in the face of vociferous public opposition to the dams, to carry out the desilting and raising of Tarbela and Mangla Dams instead?
This, along with the lining of canals and watercourses and introduction of modern irrigation techniques, would not only save more water than can be stored in the reservoirs, but it would incur a lesser financial burden on the state.
Large dams come at too heavy a financial, social, environmental and political cost for them to be deemed as being feasible, a view shared by the World Commission on Dams in their report issued in 2000.
Unfortunately, the government has made it a habit of late to land on the wrong side of every important issue. The whole nation is in a state of furious uproar over the American bombing in Bajaur that caused the death of at least 18 innocent citizens.
But our rulers’ innate propensity to capitulate before the Americans compelled our prime minister to be seen smiling and shaking hands with the American president just a few days after the bombing, despite having failed to extract even a token apology from him.
There is widespread uproar against the operation in Balochistan, but the government persists in perpetuating this folly. The recently announced NFC award has been rejected by the smaller provinces, but the government is adamant. The Sindhi, Baloch, Pashtoon and Saraiki people oppose the construction of Kalabagh dam, but we are told that we shall have not just one but five dams within the next ten years.
We have learnt absolutely nothing from history. Our rulers feel that if they have the blessings of America and the World Bank, there is paradise on earth and they need not heed the call of a hundred and forty million Pakistanis who inhabit this land. Many a fallen dictator has made the same mistake in the past.
Having found no reputable popular politician in Sindh to support the building of dams, the government has now been constrained to rely on a handful of ministers, nazims and assembly members of dubious repute to launch a movement in favour of the dams.
This bunch comprises of well known turncoats and political mercenaries who thrive by making personal capital out of every situation at the expense of principles and the common good and habitually bow to the rising sun.
How they intend to live on the soil they are brazenly betraying for personal gain and look fellow Sindhis in the eye with a shred of self-respect and dignity remains to be seen. But that a government which once boasted that it would wipe out all undesirable elements from politics and introduce ‘real’ democracy should be compelled to solicit the help of such an unsavoury lot speaks volumes not only about how desperate it is to find some foothold in Sindh to promote its highly unpopular projects, but also about the extent to which it has deviated from its original seven point agenda.
The leviathan is often slow to stir. But, after enduring years of injustice and inequity, it has finally opened its eyes. The people of Sindh are united on the water issue as never before and they are on the move. Mammoth public rallies in Karachi on December 22, in Hyderabad on January 18 and in Larkana on January 28 have clearly shown that the people of Sindh have come together to raise a voice in unison on the water issue because it is a matter of their survival.
Any genuinely democratic government, or at least one sympathetic to the aspirations of the people, would see the pitfalls of flying in the face of public opinion. On the one hand, we boast of having a “real” democracy but, on the other, we turn a deaf ear to the cry of the masses on the instigation of a handful of technocrats and vested interests.
In a democracy, all executive power is exercised in the name of the people, not in deliberate opposition to their wishes. The voice of the people will have to be heard and respected. Therein lies our salvation as a nation. Those who choose to ignore the voice of the masses do so at their own peril.


