Whenever the leaders of our government speak to clarify an issue they further confuse it. Too many speak too often, even those who have no concern with the subject, and leave the people guessing whether what they have said is their personal view, the party's position or government policy.
Its most recent and best illustration came in the statements and views that flowed freely and glibly, and still do, on a question which has far-reaching implications but is yet far away: Will President Musharraf quit his army command before the end of the year?
There appeared no occasion for it but some ministers said he wouldn't while others said he shouldn't. In a scene reminiscent of the colonial era, the breakaway Patriot PPP ministers called on the president one day in a glare of publicity to persuade him not to leave his army post for the stability and good of the country. The secretary-general of the Q League and other ministers followed with the same plea.
The issue was carried to a higher plane on a spate of protests and legal opinions from politicians and lawyers who were justifiably puzzled or rattled, by this campaign at a time when the National Security Council bill was being rammed through the lower and upper houses of parliament. Yet the milder among its dissenters were finding some comfort in the thought that when the council came into full play its head would be a civilian president.
Last Tuesday, the prime minister intervened to say that Musharraf's military uniform was a "non-issue". On the same day, his and the government's spokesman, Sheikh Rashid, called a press conference to affirm that the president would not go against the seventeenth amendment to the Constitution and that he would hold only one office after December 31.
Then on Wednesday came the last word from the man who matters and decides. What the prime minister had dismissed as a non-issue, Musharraf told his BBC interviewer, was indeed a "very contentious issue" and he had to consider many other issues before quitting the army command.
Now that everybody has spoken on this fateful issue, nobody can still make out whether General Musharraf will, as it has generally come to be described, take off his uniform before the end of the year. The world, too, shall have to "wait and see" with him for it pays heed only to what Musharraf has to say and not what is said in the Constitution. For the world, Musharraf's uniform has indeed become a non-issue.
He is judged and recognized not for his standards of democracy or respect for human rights but for his personal and total commitment to the war against terror. If the United States, China, Russia, India and almost every other country determine now or at any time later that his capacity to wage this war will be impaired if he were to take off his uniform all of them, like his ministers, too might agree to persuade him to keep it on. The United Kingdom might feel compelled to keep Pakistan out of the Commonwealth but would act no differently.
The repercussions at home, however, will be varied and serious. First, by not relinquishing his army post he will be seen to be acting in anger, for the religious parties did not give him a vote of confidence nor did they vote for the NSC. All along he has been flouting democratic norms to please and strengthen the religious and reactionary elements. He will be still doing that now that he has decided to give them a rap on the knuckles. The victims then were pluralism, civil rights and liberal values. So will they be once again.
Second, the NSC which is already seen by the people as a denial of democracy or, at the very least, the institutionalization of the role of the army in civilian affairs, when headed by a president who is also the army chief would not be a mere consultative council. In fact, it would reduce parliament to the status it had under Ziaul Haq before the 1985 election.
That might well be Musharraf's intention as it was Nawaz Sharif's through his Shariat Bill. Both of them, while undoing many of Zia's amendments and making more of their own, did not find it necessary to abolish the name "majlis-e-shura" that Zia gave to the parliament. A consultative assembly cannot be supreme - which a parliament must be - in a democracy. It is an appendage to autocracies.
Third, if the president on his own, or goaded by insecure and defecting supporters, decides to keep his army rank and command beyond December 31 it would create a crisis of a proportion which might once again result in the suspension of the Constitution. It is difficult to foresee a two-third majority in both houses of the parliament supporting the repeal of the seventeenth amendment.
But in times of shifting loyalties and crumbling institutions when even the Senate which is expected to be less partisan and more objective in considering national issues takes just three and a half minutes to pass a legislation it can also be made to repeal it. Then there are ingratiating ministers like Ejazul Haq who think Musharraf could become the president of the Muslim League while remaining army chief.
The bar lies in the army rules and not in the Constitution. Such weird thinking finds no limit in Pakistan's politics when power is at stake. Experts are always around to provide the necessary devices.
Besides Musharraf's uniform, the nervousness and contradictions in government ranks show themselves in the impending return of Shahbaz Sharif. Ministers, one after the other, express a variety of thoughts on how to keep him out of the country or in prison but no one provides the suggestion of facing him politically.
The guts and brains of a horde of ministers, advisers and parliamentarians are falling apart on the prospect of the return of just one politician opposed to the regime. How they would face the bigger challenges arising up to and beyond December should cause some anxiety to both the president and the common man.
It is a romantic notion to expect a democracy to develop and function in the absence of robust administrative, legal and judicial systems relying only on political parties serving the interests not of the people but of their leaders alone. All these systems were staggering under the blows given by successive governments. The coup de grace has come from this one.
The permanent institutions of the state were much more caring and assertive in the colonial times than they are now in independent Pakistan. The new systems introduced have not taken shape in three years nor does it appear that they ever will. With the president, the prime minister and all their bureaus intervening, it is not yet clear who is responsible for maintaining law and order. Obviously, a democracy cannot work in a state of lawlessness.
Scepticism of the ineffectiveness of the current system shows itself no better than in the tributes being showered on the judiciary, not for giving any relief to Shahbaz Sharif but just for telling him that he can return to his country. Imagine, even this inherent right of a citizen can be denied to him unless it is confirmed by the highest court of the country. The Sharifs can afford the long and costly legal proceedings to get this confirmation but how many other citizens can?
Democracy under military tutelage is a price being paid for remaining silent when the systems - legal, judicial, administrative and the rest - were being destroyed and the political parties chose to serve the interests of their leaders rather than of the people. Now unless there is a mass upsurge for their revival (and there is no sign of that) the centrepiece of governance will not be parliament but the army which, as Musharraf observed in his television interview on Wednesday, is the only institution left which is able to enforce its writ.
In the concluding part of the interview Musharraf also propounded a principle that no one had the right to claim that he is a better Muslim than him or his interviewer Mehreen Khan.
He should make this principle into a law. He would be remembered by it and not by his NSC or devolution process. The roots of terrorism in Pakistan lie in the state becoming a judge of the beliefs and morals of the people.