February 27, 2003	Thursday	Zul Hijjah 25, 1423

NEW YORK: As the diplomatic bargaining over a second resolution gathers pace at the United Nations, American public opinion remains strongly in favour of delaying war plans to give the weapons inspectors more time and to build an international coalition before embarking on military action against Iraq.

A Washington Post-ABC poll found that 56 per cent of the public is willing to wait in order to win UN endorsement for war, with only 39 per cent believing that the United States should “move quickly” without the UN Security Council’s backing.

A poll by the non-partisan Pew research centre at the end of last week revealed a sharp increase in the number who believe the US does not yet have sufficient international support for war, up from 52 per cent to 58 per cent.

With the figure for those who back military action standing at above 60 per cent, the polls do not suggest a huge growth in anti-war sentiment. Approval of US president George Bush’s handling of the crisis remains high even though it has dropped six points to 55 per cent, and his overall job approval ratings are down from 64 per cent to 60 per cent.

But on the crucial issues of how to proceed in the crisis most of the polls are edging slightly in his favour.

Only a minority (38 per cent) believe that the US should push ahead with war without allies, but that figure has grown significantly since January when it stood at only 28 per cent.

The US public remains even more sceptical about the performance of the UN, with 56 per cent saying they disapproved of how the UN was handling the crisis. Those who believe that Mr Bush has explained clearly why the US might use military force has grown from 42 per cent to 53 per cent and an even larger number think that the US secretary of state, Colin Powell (61 per cent) has explained clearly what is at stake.

While most would prefer a war to be supported by the United Nations, most (57 per cent) would also support an attack without it, if America was flanked by key allies such as Britain, Australia and Italy, according to the Washington Post. Three-quarters believe that war is inevitable.

Overall, while polls show a considerably higher proportion opposed to war than usual at such times it remains a minority and past evidence suggests that support for military action hardens considerably once war starts.

According to Peter Feaver of Duke University, co-author of a forthcoming book on public opinion and war, since the Korean war 10 per cent of Americans have opposed all military action who can never be won over and one third support all wars. Of the remaining 50 per cent, around half are “casualty-phobic”. One Pew poll suggests the prospect of mass casualties drives support down sharply.

Those who would like to see a second UN resolution remains steady at 57 per cent. Those who believe that there has been a direct link between Saddam Hussein and the terrorist attacks of September 11 has fallen (from 66 per cent to 57 per cent) along with the number who think the inspectors have proof that Iraq is hiding weapons of mass destruction.

Only a third believe the US is winning the war against terrorism, and less than half feel that Mr Bush has a coherent plan for dealing with terrorism.

They also show sharp differences both in race and gender. Women are far less likely to support war than men (63 per cent to 73 per cent) while only 44 per cent of African-Americans support a war, compared with 73 per cent of whites and 67 per cent of Hispanics. —Dawn/The Guardian News Service.