Election 2018 survey results: And the winner is...

PTI voters once again truly believe their party will win the 2018 elections. See all results now.
Published July 17, 2018

With polls just around the corner, Dawn.com invited readers to share their thoughts and predictions regarding the 2018 general elections in an online survey.

The snapshot, non-scientific survey that ran from July 4-9 was taken by 18,136 respondents.

Results are below.

Respondent demographics

  • Majority aged 18-44
  • Almost half from Punjab
  • Nearly 20% expats

1. Do you believe the upcoming elections will be free and fair?

  • Only 41% are convinced the elections are free and fair
  • Trend: The older you are, the more likely you are to say not free

2. Do you plan to vote in the upcoming elections?

A majority do

3. Did you vote in the 2013 elections?

Just over half voted last time

4. If you did vote in 2013, which party did you vote for?

PTI over-represented in this survey, reflective of site visitors

  • Trend: The younger you are, the more likely to vote PTI

5. If you have to pick a party to vote for, which party would you choose?

Charts below show whether respondents who voted in 2013 opted to change alliances

  • A large majority of those who voted PTI last time plan to do the same in 2018
  • Of those who switched, most plan to vote for PML-N

  • A majority plan to vote PML-N again
  • Almost 1/3 of those who voted PML-N last time plan to vote PTI in 2018

6. Which party do you believe will ACTUALLY win a majority in the elections?

What those who voted PTI in 2013 think

  • A large majority of those who voted PTI believe PTI will win in 2018

What those who voted PML-N in 2013 think

  • A significant number of those who voted PML-N believe PTI will win this time

What those who voted PPP in 2013 think

  • Those who voted PPP in 2013 are divided in their opinion
  • The largest % see PTI winning the elections

Responses by age and location

  • Trend: The older you are, the more likely you believe PML-N will win
  • KP and FATA have the highest % believing PTI will win

7. To what extent will the following impact the outcome of the elections?


Armed forces seen to have biggest impact on the elections out of all institutions/organisations


Almost half believe the judiciary has an impact on the elections

Traditional media

Just over 50% believe traditional media shapes the elections

Social media

Social media is seen to have more impact than traditional media

Election observers (local and international)

Religious organisations

Global powers