NEW DELHI: India’s economy ex­panded 7.3 per cent in the third quarter of the financial year, official data showed on Monday, suggesting it remains on track as the world’s fastest-growing major economy.

The year-on-year expansion in GDP for the three months to end-December represented a slowdown from the previous quarter but beat a 7.1pc median estimate forecast by economists in a Bloomberg survey.

The robust data will provide a boost for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, coming as India’s rightwing leader nears two years in power amid mounting calls to enact promised reforms.

India’s statistics ministry on Monday also forecast the economy would grow 7.6pc over the full year 2015-16.

It sharply revised up the growth rate for the previous two quarters, including raising the figure for the July-September quarter to 7.7pc, up from 7.4pc reported earlier.

However, several experts questioned the data, saying it did not tally with the signals coming from many sectors of the Indian economy.

“I’m absolutely surprised by this,” said Kunal Kundu, India Economist at Societe Generale in Bangalore, of the upward quarterly data revision.

“The growth they are talking about becomes all the more untenable on the face of what we are seeing in the coal sector, roads, freight, exports contracting for 13 months in a row,” he told AFP.

Modi has made boosting economic growth a priority since sweeping to power in May 2014 and has been buoyed in recent months by a growth rate that has exceeded that of powerhouse China.

But investors have raised concerns about the pace of promised economic reforms needed to create jobs for India’s tens of millions of young people.

The rupee is Asia’s worst-performing currency so far this year as global funds have pulled out of Indian stocks, according to Bloomberg.

“At face value these are extremely strong figures. The bigger doubts arise when we try to align the GDP data with what we know of the economy’s health from other sources,” analysts at Capital Economics said in a note, following Monday’s data.

“We should take the official GDP data, and the rate of growth they are suggesting, with a pinch of salt,” they said.

Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party-led government will present its next budget on February 29, with the private sector clamouring for tax reforms to simplify the current regime, among other demands.

Published in Dawn, February 9th, 2016

Follow Dawn Business on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram and Facebook for insights on business, finance and tech from Pakistan and across the world.

Opinion

The Dar story continues

The Dar story continues

One wonders what the rationale was for the foreign minister — a highly demanding, full-time job — being assigned various other political responsibilities.

Editorial

Wheat protests
Updated 01 May, 2024

Wheat protests

The government should withdraw from the wheat trade gradually, replacing the existing market support mechanism with an effective new one over the next several years.
Polio drive
01 May, 2024

Polio drive

THE year’s fourth polio drive has kicked off across Pakistan, with the aim to immunise more than 24m children ...
Workers’ struggle
Updated 01 May, 2024

Workers’ struggle

Yet the struggle to secure a living wage — and decent working conditions — for the toiling masses must continue.
All this talk
Updated 30 Apr, 2024

All this talk

The other parties are equally legitimate stakeholders in the country’s political future, and it must give them due consideration.
Monetary policy
30 Apr, 2024

Monetary policy

ALIGNING its decision with the trend in developed economies, the State Bank has acted wisely by holding its key...
Meaningless appointment
30 Apr, 2024

Meaningless appointment

THE PML-N’s policy of ‘family first’ has once again triggered criticism. The party’s latest move in this...