EU’s new focus on Pakistan
By Shadaba Islam
AS recent visits to Pakistan by the European Union’s most senior foreign policy official, Javier Solana, and British Foreign Secretary David Miliband illustrate, building a stronger, more comprehensive and sustained relationship with Pakistan is — finally — climbing up the 27-nation bloc’s agenda.
Both Solana and Miliband have voiced enthusiastic support for the country’s new democratically-elected leaders and said Europe will help Islamabad face up to the challenge of consolidating democracy and fighting extremism. Assistance to tackle economic problems has also been promised.
Europe’s new focus on Pakistan is clearly to be welcomed. The EU is Pakistan’s biggest market and while European aid levels are not as impressive as the billions of dollars in assistance provided by the US, EU funds are spent on health and education, not military equipment.
Pakistan’s new leaders could also learn a great deal from the EU’s success in encouraging political and economic reform in eastern European states, its spotlight on developing civil society organisations and focus on human rights.
However, neither side should be under any illusion: building strong political and economic ties between the EU and Pakistan will require time, energy and effort. Creative and innovative thinking will be necessary. Both sides will also have to keep their eye on the bigger picture even in the event of short-term problems and disappointments.
The challenge for policymakers in Islamabad is to shift the focus from the US to Europe. Clearly, Washington will continue to loom large on Pakistan’s political landscape. However, Pakistan stands to gain both politically and in economic terms if it succeeds in forging a strong partnership with the EU.
EU officials and European foreign ministries must also make a determined effort to enlarge their view of Asia to include not only China and India but also Pakistan, Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia — Asian nations whose profile in Europe is often dwarfed by the long shadow cast by Beijing and Delhi.
Certainly, the current mood in EU capitals favours both a quick rapprochement as well as long-term engagement with Pakistan. The European Commission and EU governments believe that the Feb 18 elections were an important step in Pakistan’s democratic development, that the country has a pivotal role to play in combating global terrorism and fighting religious extremism — including in Afghanistan — and that greater attention now needs to be given to building and reforming Pakistan’s institutional structures.
As Solana told this correspondent before leaving for Islamabad, a stable and democratic Pakistan, which respects the rule of law, will be a key long-term partner for the EU and has a very important role to play as a stabilising factor in the region.
As Solana pointed out, the EU is ready to engage more with Pakistan in all fields and to intensify its cooperation in areas such as internal stability, regional relations, security sector reform, migration, human rights, counter-terrorism and non-proliferation.
EU foreign ministers are scheduled to review the bloc’s relations with Pakistan on April 28 amid demands from several states that EU-Pakistan ties should climb higher up the European agenda.
“Pakistan is an important partner for the European Union in many fields; including in the efforts to tackle terrorism which are vital not only for the stability of Pakistan itself but for the whole region,” said Solana, adding that international efforts to promote stability at a regional level — notably in Afghanistan — also required stronger ties and cooperation with Pakistan.
Aides say Solana was impressed and encouraged by his meetings in Islamabad with the country’s new political leaders, believing that they are committed to deliver on promises on democracy and the need for a more comprehensive approach — involving military, economic and political measures — to fight militants.
While clearly rejecting any unconditional concessions to extremists, both Miliband and Solana made clear that reconciliation efforts should be pursued with militants who renounce violence. For Britain, the stakes are very high. As Miliband underlined, about 70 per cent of the terrorist plots currently under investigation in Britain can be traced back to Pakistan.
Similarly, Solana insisted that the EU backed reconciliation with militants, provided it was “under the umbrella of the rule of the country and the Constitution”.
The EU is also listening carefully to Islamabad’s repeated warnings on the economic challenges facing the country in the wake of high fuel costs and rising food prices. Solana and others in Brussels agree that Pakistan’s short- and long-term needs are most pressing in the economic area and that economic development is the key to fighting radicalism, insurgency and terrorism.
No promises have been made to increase EU aid or trade benefits. But the EU is sensitive to Pakistan’s argument that its access to the European market should be improved in view of the duty-free import regime granted to Bangladesh and the free trade agreement being negotiated with India. Any changes in trade policy towards Pakistan will, however, have to wait until the second half of 2008 when the results of an EU study on the impact of the bloc’s trade policies on Pakistan are available.
EU aid to Pakistan worth 50m euros a year is not expected to be increased in the coming years. But the bloc is aware of the need to better target such assistance to include the tribal areas and further focus aid on health, education and job training.
Having taken a key role in monitoring the February elections, the EU is also pushing for improvements in the electoral framework and officials say they are very heartened by the new government’s determination to follow up on European calls for reform in this sector.
Other areas of cooperation worth exploring include potential EU help in police and judicial reform and border management. European governments also want to encourage the development of Pakistan’s civil society and ensure long-term freedom and independence for the media.
More generally, policymakers in the EU and in Islamabad have to work out how to cooperate in key areas such as consolidating democracy, improving the rule of law and ensuring good governance.
The time is ripe for such cooperation. Both the EU and Pakistan are looking at each other with more interest than at any time in the recent past. The challenge for the two sides is to move from goodwill and promises to effective, results-oriented cooperation.
The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Brussels.


Moving on the road to peace
By Babar Ayaz
A CROSS-SECTION of the Indian intelligentsia is convinced that the momentum in the normalisation of relations with Pakistan is likely to continue even if Musharraf has no role to play in the country in the coming years.
While Pakistan’s misadventure in Kargil has now been all but forgotten, President Musharraf’s bold peace initiative, the positive statements of PPP leader Asif Zardari and PML-N’s Nawaz Sharif have been quite reassuring for Delhi opinion-makers.
But this does not mean that the president’s distant dream to exit the political scene after ‘solving’ the 60-year-old Kashmir imbroglio is in sight.
Certain previous government insiders had confided that much progress had been made on the Kashmir issue between the two governments. According to them, “The differences have been narrowed and a quasi-independent Kashmir is possible with joint management by Pakistan and India allowing free movement and trade between the two parts.” The president, they said, would give this as a parting gift, thanks to his friend George Bush who is facilitating the move.
Most journalists, former diplomats, retired civil servants and corporate leaders I talked to on my recent visit to Delhi, however, pointed out that no major breakthrough should be expected in the coming 18 months, as the election process in the Indian states is starting from May 2008 and the Lok Sabha elections are due in spring next year.
Veteran journalist and president of Safma (South Asian Free Media Association) in India, K. Katyal, says that no political party in India can afford to take a major decision on the Kashmir issue in the election year. A keen Pakistan-India relations watcher for the last three decades, Katyal feels that the normalisation process is not reversible now and the Musharraf factor will not interrupt the momentum of the peace process. His view is that the Indian government has consciously kept itself aloof from the domestic political conflict between the president and the coalition parties.
But Ashok Jaitly, who has served as the chief secretary of Indian Kashmir, feels that Musharraf had taken a bold stand by offering an out-of-the-box solution to the Kashmir issue despite the failure of the Agra summit. “This opportunity was not utilised by us,” he lamented. Jaitly thinks that India and Pakistan could not focus on the Kashmir issue in the last one year because of the domestic political situation in Pakistan and now the Indian leadership would find it difficult to move ahead because of its own elections.
A counter-question asked by most Indian intellectuals is whether the solutions to the Kashmir dispute offered by the Musharraf regime have the backing of the new military establishment and the leading coalition government political parties. My contention was: firstly, the normalisation policy with India has the support of our ruling classes, which are now led by a majority of the big industrialists. They have been pushing for better trade and economic relations since the nineties.
Secondly, the military leadership also realises that in the post 9/11 world, Kashmir cannot be kept bleeding by encouraging jihadi organisations to destabilise the Indian-held state. The time has come to disassociate the government from these organisations. They have already started to convince these organisations that the final solution would have to be negotiated at the table and will have to be acceptable to the Kashmiris.
From his experience in the Valley as chief secretary, Ashok Jaitly also thinks that fatigue is setting in as far as the Kashmiri indigenous movement is concerned and its supporters are looking for a workable solution.
As far as the major coalition government partners — the PPP and the PML-N — are concerned, both have a history of moving forward towards normalisation with India as evident when they were in power in the 1990s. Ms Bhutto made a breakthrough with Rajiv Gandhi and Nawaz Sharif’s moves got a positive response from BJP Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee. Their parties have now hinted at de-linking the normalisation process from the resolution of the Kashmir issue.
A CEO of an Indian company raised the question about what corporate India should do to push forward the peace process between the two countries. I suggested that it should lobby to break the inertia in the institutions which are afraid of change. After all, it was the corporate lobbies in India and Pakistan which managed to get the land routes opened to facilitate the export and import of cement and cotton.
By and large, it seems only around 20 per cent of the people on both sides of the border are actually concerned about what is happening in Kashmir. The Indian youth, now comprising 60 per cent of the population, is too busy climbing up the social ladder in the highly competitive market. Areas further south are bogged down in issues like the Dalits’ uprising. Interestingly, UP Chief Minister Mayawati is spearheading the trend.
The Maoist upsurge in almost 200 districts of central India, the immigrants’ issue in Assam, and now the number one issue in all developing countries, the spiralling food prices, are top Indian concerns, not Kashmir.
The big question is whether ‘lateral thinking’ can replace the traditional approach at South Block in Delhi and GHQ in Rawalpindi. My friend Adit Jain, who runs an 800-member strong Indian CEOs forum, thinks that the present ruling generation in India is not ready to change its mindset. He may be right as the average age at the top government level in India is over 50 at least. But we have to shrug off the burden of history. Former Indian Ambassador Fabian, who recently led a delegation to Pakistan, said it well: “People have moved on with excellent relations, but the governments on both sides of the divide have to catch up with them.”
The urge to break these shackles of history is being felt in India as much as it is in Pakistan. The need is to find an accommodating and creative solution. Decision-makers, please rise to meet your appointment with history!
ayazbabar@gmail.com


