EU’s focus on our polls
By Shadaba Islam
THE United States and the European Union may not see eye to eye on the root causes and solutions for the many wars and conflicts raging across the globe. But policymakers on both sides of the Atlantic agree on one key issue: Pakistan today is the “world’s most dangerous place”.
Attention on both sides of the Atlantic remains on Pakistan although domestic issues have climbed to the top of the agenda. The US media is clearly focused on the fluctuating fortunes of the Democratic and Republican presidential candidates following the recent primaries in Iowa and New Hampshire. In the EU, attention is centred on the very public love life of the newly-divorced French President Nicolas Sarkozy who now appears to have found everlasting love with the glamorous Italian model/singer Carla Bruni.
Despite the competition, however, Pakistan remains a focus of attention as both Washington and Brussels worry about rising lawlessness in the country, Pakistan’s toxic mix of terrorism, religious extremism and economic deprivation and the grim political future facing the country in the aftermath of the tragic murder of Benazir Bhutto.
Americans and Europeans also fret equally over fears that Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal could fall into the hands of Islamic militants, a concern expressed most recently by none other than Mohamed ElBaradei, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
There are other points of trans-Atlantic consensus on Pakistan. US and EU officials share the view that Pakistan’s success or failure in tackling extremism will be a determining factor in America’s so-called “war on terror”. Americans and Europeans were similarly fascinated by Bhutto as a pro-western, secular democrat. And stability in Pakistan is seen as vital not only for the country’s immediate neighbours — particularly Afghanistan where Nato has deployed over 30,000 troops — but also for the wider region and possibly the Islamic world.
But coming back to Brussels after an eventful and often sombre two-week winter break in Pakistan, this correspondent was struck by the very different EU and US perspectives on how best to bring sanity back to a very troubled Pakistan. Put simply, while the US still seems to be backing President Pervez Musharraf as the sole and stalwart soldier against extremism, Europeans remain wary of both the president and the military’s over-arching role and influence in the country.
Mr Musharraf’s star never shone very brightly in Europe’s heavens. His blundering efforts to keep his grip on power through the declaration of emergency rule in November, the sacking of judges and heavy-handed repression of lawyers, human rights activists and reporters, has further sullied his reputation in many EU capitals.
While Pakistani diplomats struggle to portray the Pakistani leader as an affable man — and a reluctant dictator courageously leading the battle against terrorism — few in Europe believe such spin. In fact, Mr Musharraf’s public image has taken a further battering following the Bhutto assassination, with many friends and EU officials asking over and over again not only whether the government had a hand in the murder but also how the authorities could have so badly mishandled the immediate aftermath of the slaying.
As one colleague pointed out, not only did the authorities issue “daft” statements on the causes of Bhutto’s death but the president himself appeared to be disconnected from events and seemed to be dealing with the crisis as if it was happening in a faraway foreign land. Musharraf’s consistent refusal to recognise any responsibility for growing extremism and terrorism in the country is seen as particularly bizarre. “If the president of Pakistan isn’t in control of the country…then who is?” an old friend and colleague asked me on my return from Karachi.
Public sympathy and fascination for Bhutto remains high across Europe, with most people genuinely saddened by the disappearance of one of the world’s more charismatic leaders. However, admiration for Bhutto’s courage as a modern Muslim woman in a country dominated by macho male politicians — not to mention her bravery in going back to Pakistan despite the terrorist threat against her — is mixed with disappointment at her failure to help either the cause of Pakistani women or promote democracy and good governance in the country.
Bhutto is seen therefore as William Dalrymple described in the Observer several weeks ago as a “flawed and feudal princess” rather than the paragon of virtue as portrayed in several US — and Pakistani — newspapers. There is an equal measure of dismay and disappointment at Bhutto’s legacy, including her apparent decision to pass the baton of leadership of the Pakistan People’s Party to her discredited husband Asif Zardari — who then magnanimously handed it to their son, Bilawal.
While dynastic politics are seen as a chronic problem in South Asia, many had erroneously believed that a modern female politician would have opted for merit and democracy rather than maintaining the so-called “bloodline” of her clan.
First and foremost, however, the EU’s focus now is on ensuring that the upcoming elections are free, fair and transparent, a demand made repeatedly by Michael Gahler, the head of the European Observer Mission (EOM) which will monitor the long-awaited polls on Feb 18. Gahler’s task looks set to be tough, however. The EU will not endorse an election if there are suspicions of rigging and if the polls do not conform to international standards.
EU policymakers are convinced that stability in Pakistan and its contribution to wider anti-terror efforts require rapid transition to legitimate civilian government. There is also increasing focus on building the country’s fragile political institutions, restoring the independence of the judiciary and encouraging moves towards the rule of law.
While personalities are obviously seen as important, many in Brussels argue that to stop the cycle of short civilian rule followed by years of military government, the focus must be on building stronger Pakistani institutions and working hard to improve governance. The focus is also on fighting extremism through development, a strategy only recently espoused by the US.
In short, while America is putting its money, arms and energy in boosting Pakistan’s military hard power — which unfortunately is currently being used only to suppress democratic forces within the country — Europe’s soft power focus is on encouraging progress and democracy by investing in the people of Pakistan. Three guesses which route is likely to reap long-term dividends.
The writer is Dawn’s correspondent based in Brussels.

