Iraq’s bleak future
By Ghayoor Ahmed
THE latest poll in the United States shows that 59 per cent of the Americans want US troops withdrawal from Iraq as soon as possible even if conditions there are not completely stable. However, President Bush, while speaking at the US naval academy in Annapolis, Maryland, declined to set a date for US pull-out from Iraq where, he warned, there would be violence for many years.
He also said that the decision about troop levels in Iraq will also be driven by the conditions on the ground there.
It may be pointed out that the US-led coalition forces failed to provide adequate security to the people of Iraq following their invasion of that country in 2003. They were not even able to impose some semblance of law and order in the country that was occupied by them. According to a recent Amnesty International report, the US-led forces in Iraq themselves have committed serious human rights violations, including unlawful killings and arbitrary detention, and evidence have emerged of torture and ill-treatment.
Thousands of Iraqi civilians have been killed during armed clashes between the coalition forces and Iraqi security forces on one side and Iraqi armed groups on the other. The US forces even used ‘white phosphorous’ against the civilians in November last year. (White phosphorous causes painful burn injuries to exposed human flesh and in some cases can prove fatal).
A recent United Nations report on Iraq has also painted a grim picture of civilian bloodshed and rights abuses fuelling a pervasive climate of fear in that country. The report has noted that the on-going military and security operations by multinational forces and the Iraqi security forces, including resort to aerial bombardment, negatively affected human rights. These operations also displaced more than 10,000 families in Al Anbar and Ninewa governates.
The report has also stated that the price paid by the civilians, including women and children, during military action currently underway, calls for further reflection on the nature and conduct of the conflict and on the quantum of the use of force.
Thus, abundant evidence is available to prove that the US forces in Iraq are involved in serious human rights violations, including war crimes. They resorted to political violence on the one hand and failed to exercise adequate controls on the conduct of security operations on the other and have, therefore, forfeited the right to maintain the law and order in Iraq which is under their illegal occupation.
Irrefutable evidence is also available to the effect that, contrary to the US public posture in favour of territorial integrity of Iraq, it is actually fanning the flames of religious and ethnic differences only to prolong its stay in that country with the aim of promoting its political and economic designs there and to expand its sphere of influence and control over other countries in the region. Thus, peace will remain an illusion in Iraq with the continued presence of the occupying forces.
After the long tyrannical and ruthless rule of Saddam Hussein, the people of Iraq are now looking forward to a democratic and cohesive future. The foundation for any system of governance is the rule of law which alone can address the legitimate interests of all the components of society and weld them into a single coherent entity ensuring territorial integrity of the country, which has to be placed above all other considerations.
Regrettably, the relentless cycle of violence in Iraq has produced debilitating consequences for the country and its people. For obvious reasons, democracy cannot take roots in Iraq if the simmering insurgency and factional fighting continue unabated.
The vast majority of the Iraqi people is against the continued occupation of their country by the United States and its allies and has put up a fierce resistance to them, which not only continues but has increased in intensity with the passage of time. The daily statistics of deaths and destruction so shocking that one finds it hard to get reconciled to them. The United States and its allies need to realize that in Iraq the desire for complete national independence and sovereignty has already begun to manifest itself and, therefore, their prolonged stay in that country on the pretext of maintaining law and order was fraught with serious implications and would create insurmountable difficulties for them.
It is, therefore, in the allied forces’ own interest to immediately announce a time-table for their withdrawal from Iraq leaving that country in the hands of a democratically elected government that is expected to be in place after December 15 elections. The new government should assume the responsibility for the maintenance of the law and order in the country without too much delay. If necessary, an international “peacekeeping” force, under the auspices of the United Nations, may help the new government in maintaining peace and public order in the country till such time that Iraq’s own security forces are able to undertake this onerous task. It may be noted that the Iraqi National Accord Conference which was held in Cairo on November 19-21, under the auspices of the Arab League, and attended by all the Iraqi political factions, important political figures and representatives of the Iraqi clans, not only unanimously demanded a timetable for the withdrawal of the multinational forces but also gave implicit support to the on-going resistance to them by calling it “a legitimate right” so long as it does not involve terrorism and acts of violence against civilians, institutions and places of worship.
The importance of a national dialogue among all parties for a united and stable Iraq can hardly be overemphasized. The Arab League’s initiative in bringing together a wide range of Iraqi leaders to share their perspectives, though belated, was an important step in conducting a broad national dialogue and reconciliation in Iraq, with full respect for Iraq’s national sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence.
It is hoped that all the political entities in Iraq will demonstrate greater perception in their assessment of the situation in and around their country. They must also show determination and vision to preserve the unity of their country. They should not remain oblivious of the fact that a break-up of Iraq is being openly suggested in the western media and the vested interests are purposely fanning the flames of ethnic and sectarian tension in country.
The writer is a former ambassador.

