Peace prospects after Gaza
By Maqbool Ahmad Bhatty
THE Israeli withdrawal of 8,000 Jewish settlers from the Gaza strip has been given high publicity in the western media, which has built up a veritable drama over the resistance put up by Jewish hardliners, the last of whom had to be dragged out one by one.
At the concluding stage, the resistance encountered in getting Jewish settlers to vacate settlements recently set up on the West Bank was also included in the news coverage, highlighting the same resistance by settlers. However, it was clear that only 30 families were being evicted from each of the four settlements, whose numbers had been swollen by diehards from other parts of Israel.
Mahmoud Abbas, President of the Palestinian Authority, has welcomed the implementation of the commitment made by Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. While appealing to the Palestinians to avoid any violence, he has made it clear that the establishment of durable peace in Palestine will be achieved after Israel withdraws from other territories occupied in 1967, namely the West Bank and East Jerusalem. Many Palestinian groups, notably Hamas and Islamic Jihad, believe that militancy in pursuit of their aims is the only way to ensure that the “roadmap” of 2002 which was agreed on by the US, the UN, the EU and Russia is implemented.
Ariel Sharon’s own history in the saga of Palestine does not inspire confidence that he will go as far as is necessary to finally resolve the issue which is believed by many to be the main cause of the resort to terrorism by militants in the Arab and Muslim countries. All existing indications point to a slowing down of the process of implementation of the roadmap, as Sharon copes with Jewish hardliners who are adhering to his own erstwhile policy of ignoring justice and Palestinian rights.
The sad part is that the US has encouraged and militarily backed Israel’s aggressive and frequently ruthless policies. Indeed, Sharon, in moments of candour, has claimed that US policies on the region are made by Israel, because AIPAC, the powerful pro-Jewish lobby in Washington virtually dictates the policies of the US Congress.
The 9/11 attacks on the US enabled Sharon to treat the Palestinian freedom fighters as “terrorists”, and to ride roughshod over the occupied territories. Despite sympathy for the US over the terrorist attack, the conscience of the world was not ready for a scale of atrocities at par with what the Jews bemoaned as the “holocaust”. By 2002, President Bush had to come forward with a “roadmap”, based on a two-state solution for Palestine.
Israel under Sharon continued to show contempt for the roadmap, and despite the positive response from the Palestinian side continued to target innocent Palestinians, ostensibly to eliminate “terrorists”. Israel also began building a fence along the West Bank border, locating it in such a way as to take over another 10 to 15 per cent of Palestinian lands. Though the UN and the World Court ruled against the fence, Israel kept on building it. The process of building new settlements on the West Bank, and enlarging existing ones also continued. No wonder, violence in Palestine broke out again, with Israel besieging elected Palestinian President Arafat in his own compound at Ramallah.
As disaffection in Arab and Islamic countries for Washington’s pre-emptive methods in the Middle East, has grown, European leaders Tony Blair in particular, have been urging the US to recover its credibility by making greater efforts farwards resolving the Palestinian problem. The passing away of Yasser Arafat has brought to the helm a leader, Mahmoud Abbas, who has always opposed the militant approach to dealing with Israel, and who has called for peaceful dialogue instead.
President Bush has demonstrated his approval for the change by getting Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice more actively engaged in the Arab-Israel imbroglio. He has repeatedly called for a “viable” Palestinian state, which suggests he stands for substantial Israeli withdrawals from the West Bank.
The Gaza strip accounts for only two per cent of Palestinian territory occupied by Israel in 1967. Over 1.5 million Palestinians are crammed into it, the majority housed in refugee camps. A viable Palestinian state would have to involve Israeli withdrawals from the West Bank of the type offered by Prime Minister Ehud Barak in the 2000 Camp David talks promoted by then President Clinton. At that time, the onus for the failure of the peace process had been placed on Arafat for lack of progress on two key issues, namely Jerusalem, and the right of Palestinian refugees to return.
In assessing the prospects for peace in Palestine, these issues, and most importantly the negotiations for the final settlement that are to provide the “grand finale” of the roadmap and involve large-scale Israeli withdrawals from occupied territories are at the heart of the matter. Can we expect the kind of US pressure on Israel that will compel it to abandon dozens of illegal settlements on the West Bank, and to pull down the protective fence it has built? Will Israel be ready to meet the Arab demand for the control of East Jerusalem, that is fully backed by the OIC?
The withdrawal from the tiny Gaza Strip has already cost Sharon the support of factions of his own Likud Party, and other conservatives, and he has had to team up with Labour to maintain his majority. The hawkish former prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, resigned from the cabinet prior to the Gaza withdrawal, and Israeli domestic politics is likely to make further progress required by the roadmap highly controversial. As such, one has to be not only cautious, but even sceptical, about whether peace will prevail in Palestine.
The attitude of the US needs to be watched. Russia has called for a conference on Palestine to rally support for further progress through international pressure. Britain and the EU may step up their involvement. The UN will certainly hear references to the problem during the forthcoming General Assembly this month.
It is time the Islamic countries stepped up their support for a just settlement, if there is to be peace in this tortured region. Gaza may prove to be a meaningless gesture, unless the real issues of Palestinian rights, and of access by the Muslim world to Al-Quds, are addressed. If further progress on the “roadmap” is not maintained, Mahmoud Abbas will find himself in an untenable situation. A return to militancy by the Palestinians will generate the usual excessive show of force by Israel that will mean more killings, more misery, and a general worsening of the militancy in other parts of the Muslim world.
The outlook is that if the Constitution agreed between the Shias and the Kurds is imposed on Iraq, the resultant reaction will be to intensify operations in central Iraq, with extremists getting a renewed lease of life in other countries. President Bush has to demonstrate his seriousness in using America’s undoubted clout to promote peaceful solutions of problems that lie at the roots of Islamic militancy.
President Musharraf has been urging a western role in the fight against terrorism by facilitating solutions of long-standing disputes in the Islamic world. Palestine is becoming an acid test, and the Gaza withdrawal is not enough to satisfy the Palestinians, or the Arab and Islamic world. Indeed the global community must engage itself forcefully through the UN.

