As a welcome prelude to the South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation (Saarc) summit meeting beginning on Sunday in Islamabad, the tensions between India and Pakistan are already beginning to ease.
Although the Saarc charter does not provide for bilateral issues to be brought up, there is a general air of expectancy that this summit is going to be somewhat different: it will hopefully set into motion a peace process which could mark the beginning of a new, tension-free phase in India-Pakistan relations.
While the baggage of nearly 54 years of extremely strained relations cannot be expected to be swept aside in a short meeting, a sort of "crisis fatigue" appears to be setting in on both sides of the divide.
Cognizant of this reality the governments of both India and Pakistan have already taken steps designed to defuse tensions. A number of confidence-building measures (CBMs) already taken in hand by the two governments have largely restored many of the communication links which had remained suspended for two years.
The Lahore-Delhi bus service has resumed its shuttle twice a week and there is talk of the number of return journeys being enlarged. The Samjhota Express will start operating next month and the air services too would be soon resumed.
Hopefully, the coming weeks will see a substantive easing of the relations between India and Pakistan and, if bilateral talks between the leaders of the two sides materialize in any significant form during the Saarc summit, a beginning may also be made on a roadmap for peace and normalization.
However, the CBMs so far taken in hand in the military sphere have largely been confined to land-bound problems: the violence in the occupied Kashmir, disquiet on the LoC, India's accusation of Pakistan's involvement in perceived cross-border infiltration of the terrorists.
The armed forces have been directly involved: the directors-general of military operations in the headquarters on the two sides have had an exchange of views, the commanders of army/rangers units at the Wagah checkpoint have met and discussed the modalities of border crossing with the resumption of traffic between the two countries.
Parallel patrolling along the LoC has commenced. However, in the military sphere it has been noted that all this basically means the involvement of the land forces. Naval CBMs have been conspicuous by their absence.
There is no hot-line link between the navies of Pakistan and India even though the risk of an incident at sea is no less than what it is on land. As much as 95 per cent of Pakistan's foreign trade is sea-borne and this includes oil imports which constitute 90 per cent of the country's world trade.
Even more alarmingly, navies are known to have blocked sea lanes of communication of adversary nations without the formality of a declaration of war.
As a result of the pioneering efforts of a retired rear- admiral of the Pakistan Navy, Hasan Ansari, in collaboration with a retired rear-admiral of the Indian Navy, Ravi Vohra, a set of naval/maritime CBMs have now been outlined.
The two were engaged in a four-month joint study earlier this year under the auspices of the cooperative monitoring centre (CMC) of the US Sandia National Laboratories.
Both committed to the objective of peace between India and Pakistan have jointly conducted the research along the lines of some of the most advanced systems. Rear-Adm Ansari made a most incisive and educative presentation recently at Admiral H.M.S. Choudri's Pakistan Institute of Maritime Affairs in Karachi.
Adm Ansari headed the Logistics Cell of the Pakistan Navy before retirement while Adm Vohra who served with the technical branch of the Indian Navy before retirement was connected with the development of missile technology in India.
At his presentation Adm Ansari pointed out that there are some substantive issues in the maritime sphere that "have the potential to flare up and raise the political temperature at a future date." He maintained that these issues had remained "simmering in the background" despite bilateral discussions over a period of time.
Three notable "simmering issues" identified in the joint study concern the Sir Creek dispute, maritime boundary and trade, and fishing in the respective economic zones of the two countries and the open sea as well as the plight of the fishermen of the two countries.
The joint India-Pakistan research into maritime CBMs has revealed that the Sir Creek first became a point of dispute around 1908 between various princely states of Sindh (on the west coast) and Kutch (now merged with the Indian state of Gujarat). It was raised by the newly established states of Pakistan and India in 1965 but became the focus of an armed conflict between the two countries in March-April 1965.
In their joint study the Pakistani and Indian rear-admirals propose that the two countries should aim at placing Sir Creek under their joint management. While ways and means to demarcate the maritime boundary in the area are being worked out, both countries should try to increase political awareness of a boundary through joint professional meetings.
However, before a precise boundary is demarcated a complete hydrographic survey should be conducted and ecological co- operation be initiated to identify the mangroves and fish resources. There should also be joint workshops to exchange information and identify other areas of cooperation.
In regard to fishing and the problems of the fishermen, the joint study has made six specific recommendations. These include a meeting of hydrographers from both countries to delineate a 'zone of disengagement' (ZOD) and the use of modern technology for locating the fishing vessels of the two countries. Jointly agreed steps would also need to be taken for purposes of licensing, catch limits, surveillance and for determining fishing restrictions in the ZOD.
The joint study spells out the need to minimize hardships of fishermen and particularly stresses an 'arrest avoidance' policy to be adopted by the authorities in both countries. In any case, whenever inevitable, penalties should be imposed on vessel owners rather than on the impoverished fishermen.
In the interest of maritime peace and a greater understanding between India and Pakistan the joint study points out that the present lack of navy-to-navy contact tends to breed mistrust and a sense of estrangement.
While there have never been any exchange of goodwill visits between the two navies or their senior officers, in the early 'fifties the naval ships belonging to the two countries used to get together regularly for joint exercises under the Commonwealth's arrangements.
Even this came to an end some time ago. It is also important to create an understanding on the avoidance of incidents at sea. It is even more critical to jointly revise and update the outdated law of naval warfare.