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DAWN - the Internet Edition


October 30, 2008 Thursday Shawwal 30, 1429


Editorial


Welcome peace moves
Communal card in Kashmir?
Balochistan quake
Being secular and a Muslim
China well placed to weather storm
OTHER VOICES - Middle East Press



Welcome peace moves


WHILE it is too early to talk about the move toward peace gaining momentum, one can nevertheless detect war fatigue on the part of all those involved in fighting on both sides of the Durand Line. A few years back — notwithstanding the way in which Islamabad bungled the job — Pakistan was demonised for talking to the Taliban. Washington believed that putting pressure on Pakistan to step up the war on terror was the most feasible strategy. The American view was that the Taliban insurgency would evaporate overnight by turning the heat on Pakistan. The media had a field day, speaking of ‘safe havens’ in Pakistan — which evidently were linked to the ambivalence of some elements in the army vis-à-vis the terrorists. Now ground realities — that may have something to do with the softening of the Taliban’s stance brought about by a change in Pakistan’s policy — seem to be making the diplomats and generals do some re-thinking.

America’s European allies were the first to exhibit their distaste for a long war by sending small contingents for record’s sake, and adopting a strategy which placed premium on avoiding casualties. Then last month Karzai went public with the disclosure that he had asked Saudi Arabia to intercede on his behalf and start talks with the Taliban. Riyadh later confirmed that peace talks involving the Taliban and Afghan officials had taken place in Makkah. The indication that the Bush administration, too, is not averse to negotiations became official earlier this month when Defence Secretary Robert Gates told reporters that America was ready to ‘reconcile’ with the Taliban. Now the State Department has offered to talk to the Taliban if they distance themselves from Al Qaeda. Taking the cue from the administration, the American media has modified its tone distinctly and ‘direct talks’ with the Taliban are no longer anathema to it. The generals who stand for peace talks include

Gen David McKiernan, commander of the US forces in Afghanistan, and Gen David Petraeus, the new Centcom chief. Most surprisingly, Taliban leader Mullah Omar has indicated his willingness to distance himself from Al Qaeda.

How should Islamabad react? It must support a broad based dialogue without which no settlement can be achieved. Hence Pakistan must also be on board at every stage of the negotiations which must be conducted from a position of strength so that the final settlement takes into consideration Pakistan’s stakes in peace on both sides of the Durand Line, the historic and sensitive nature of Pakistan’s responsibility in Fata, and its traditional role as Afghanistan’s neighbour. Whether it is insurgency, Afghan refugees, poppy cultivation or peacetime trade, whatever happens in landlocked Afghanistan affects Pakistan. It is also important that we do not succumb to the far-fetched demands of the terrorists.

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Communal card in Kashmir?


THE heavy Indian military presence in the deserted streets of Srinagar on Monday, that marked the 61st anniversary of New Delhi’s rule in Kashmir, is a reminder of a festering territorial dispute that continues to gnaw at the roots of India-Pakistan ties. While the latter have often been under strain on account of a long history of wars and unresolved differences, it is the people of Kashmir that have suffered the most. They have had to deal not only with the Indian army’s excesses but also with militant Islamists — whose operations have thankfully abated to a large degree — which many believe had Islamabad’s support. It is no wonder that the resultant damage to everyday life in the Kashmir Valley has led to anger and despair among its inhabitants. The temporary calm that they experienced following improved Indo-Pakistan ties has once again been disrupted, and this time the protests are tinged with communal feelings.

The trigger for large-scale protests, blockades and riots that began in June was the decision to transfer several hectares of forest land to a Hindu shrine trust. The decision was revoked following anger among Muslim Kashmiris, many of whom saw the move as an attempt to alter the demographic composition in the area. Communal tensions flared as certain media outlets and political elements played on religious sentiments, leaving Muslim and Hindu minorities in Jammu and the Valley feeling vulnerable.

Now with elections scheduled for November-December in Kashmir, there is a very real possibility of the religious card being played once again by vested political interests. Should this happen, the communal rift is likely to widen, with angry protests once more prompting the Indian security personnel to crack down on demonstrators with as much ferocity as they did recently, and arresting political leaders and resorting to excesses. As it is, there is a deep sense of alienation from New Delhi in the Valley, where major political groups are getting ready to boycott the polls. In the wake of the shrine dispute, there is also danger of greater polarisation between the Hindus and Muslims. It is time for India to rethink its Kashmir policy and actively examine, rather than ignore, options leading to peace in the area, including the demilitarisation of the Valley. This is necessary not only for overall peace and progress in the region but, under the current circumstances, also to nip communal anger in the bud.

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Balochistan quake


IT will be some time before we know the actual number of casualties — over 160 at the time of writing — and the extent of the damage caused by yesterday’s earthquake in Balochistan that mainly affected the Ziarat district. This calamity may not be anywhere close in the quantum of its destruction to the 1935 earthquake that had destroyed Quetta totally and killed 30,000. But in the 21st century when the latest technology for disaster rescue and relief is available and the authorities have experience of the October 2005 earthquake that killed about 75,000 in Azad Kashmir and the NWFP, it is difficult to believe that the authorities haven’t really learned their lesson. Otherwise it wouldn’t have taken a number of hours for aid and rescue teams to start reaching the affected spots where scores were believed to be buried under the rubble caused by fallen homes and buildings hit by landslides that were triggered by the quake measuring 6.5 on the Richter scale. No doubt, distances are long in this vast but sparsely populated province, and many people live in remote, often hilly areas making access difficult. However, this should be no excuse for the slow response of the National Disaster Management Authority, especially when it is well known that the affected areas lie in a high-risk seismic zone. It goes without saying that in the aftermath of the 2005 temblor, the requisite infrastructure for coping with disasters in the country’s quake-prone areas should have been in place by now. That it is not testifies to the apathy of the authorities concerned.

For now, rescue and rehabilitation efforts must be speeded up. The dead have to be buried, animal carcasses to be disposed of before disease sets in and the people to be provided with warm clothing, tents, food and medical aid. Balochistan is experiencing cold weather which is sure to exacerbate the miseries of the uprooted unless immediate measures are taken to provide them with proper shelter. There is also a political dimension to the quake. There is an acute feeling in the under-developed province of its marginalisation from the rest of the country. Failure to respond to its needs at a time of crisis will only intensify such feelings of alienation.

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Being secular and a Muslim


By Aneela Babar

IF Pakistan had an annual Eid address to the nation, much like the Queen’s Christmas address, the president would not have been amiss in quoting her in referring to the past year as Pakistan’s annus horribilis.

As Pakistanis at home and overseas witnessed the bloodshed that has engulfed their country, they wondered how long will be the wait for dawn to break? In this era of globalisation some have attempted to articulate the tragedy befalling our nation this Ramazan in the very New York-words of ‘Pakistan’s 9/11’, however it is very clear that the crisis that faces our country is one unlike any other.

So, at such a difficult time in Pakistan’s history as we are battling numerous domestic and international crises, would it be a case of misplaced priorities on my part if I revisit the long-debated argument on whether it is possible to be secular, Muslim and Pakistani today?

I am confronted with the same barrage of queries every time there is an act of violence in our part of the world, “do many Pakistanis want to be fundamentalist?” Every time I fumble to explain that it is just not religion but a smorgasbord of ethnicity, history, deprivation and location that drives some to violence, so yes it still remains pertinent to return to some debates that we have long abandoned.

It is not that our leadership has abandoned these questions, in fact it is the first exercise that any Pakistani head of state undergoes to exhibit the ‘urbane face’ of Pakistan to the rest of the world. It is the sign of the times and the deterioration of the quality of our leadership that these attempts have corroded from Jinnah’s astute observation of the difference between a country for Muslims that maintained a secular spirit and an Islamic nation that was a theocracy per se. This as elaborated in his much quoted address to the Constituent Assembly when he asked of us to embrace our freedom to frequent our places of worship in the new state of Pakistan and told us how our caste, religious or ethnic affiliation was outside the purview of the state.

It is our misfortune that in more recent times our leaders have shown less imagination. So for President (then Chief Executive) Pervez Musharraf a ‘secular Muslim’ meant posing with his pet dogs. This to assure the world that unlike other military men who took to wooing the clergy to bolster their popular support, this general could afford to be a bit daring.

President Zardari might have thought he could accomplish it by conducting his charm offensive in New York. That his attempts towards being the sophisticated man about town became the stuff that enrages women everywhere and that makes late-night talk show hosts rub their hands in glee is another story.We have suffered the lack of a coherent debate on this issue because for one we have absorbed an authoritarian and one-dimensional narrow definition of Islam. For another there has been state control of any kind of dissent towards the ‘official definition’ of Pakistani Islam, whether it has been the particularly Wahhabi shades of the ’80s or the post-9/11 diktat that today we are all Sufis.

This has coincided with the religious extremists controlling any available platform to conduct such a debate. For instance, what would one mean by a secular Pakistani? This is crucial, for religious elements in Pakistan read secularism as ladeeni (having no belief system at all).

In today’s times we have to lower our expectations of the Pakistani public’s perception of secular Islam, suffice to say it would be enough if they interpret it as not approving acts of violence in the name of defending their Muslim brethren.

There are many voices, especially amongst young Muslim men that I encounter in my classroom lately, with their own common-sense perception of what being Muslim means. They are of the thought that being violent or militant comes naturally to Muslims. Hence the urgency to bring to their attention alternative spaces and definitions where one can be both a good Muslim and non-violent and identify an ethic of self- reform that makes legitimate other readings of Islam.

Amartya Sen’s work on inter-communal dialogues in the recent past has shown that “tolerance towards diversity of opinion was not alien to the South Asian region” (this is Sen, 2005 in The Argumentative Indian). Episodes where our leaders have sponsored and supported dialogues to address difficult problems of religious upheaval should be dusted off the cobwebbed library shelves and be shared with the larger public.

Even if they are the ubiquitous tales of Akbar’s “pursuit of reason” rather than “reliance on tradition” and his “visionary insistence on the need to have conversations and interchanges among holders of different convictions”. (All this as Sen impresses on us in a time when “Giordano Bruno was being burnt at the stake in Rome for heresy, in the public space of Campo dei Fiori.”)

However it was the father of our nation who impressed upon us in his much-censored and diluted address of 1947 how he believed that: “History shows that in England conditions some time ago were much worse than those prevailing in India today. The Roman Catholics and the Protestants persecuted each other. Even now there are some [s]tates in existence where there are discriminations made and bars imposed against a particular class.

“Thank God we are not starting in those days. We are starting in the days when there is no discrimination, no distinction between one community and another, no discrimination between one caste or creed and another. We are starting with this fundamental principle that we are all citizens of one state.”

Words to remember and stand by in the long, difficult months ahead as we turn upon particular ethnicities within our nation accusing them of sponsoring violence, accuse a particular class and ‘liberal ideology’ for being the bane of all our woes, and emulate an ostrich head in the sand in our declaration that abandoning a particular alliance will resolve our current woes. Yes, an absence of the background noise of drones might simplify our conflict but it is not the only solution. May we be blessed with wisdom and prudence today and tomorrow.

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China well placed to weather storm


By Linda Yueh

RECORD falls in Asian stock markets show that confidence, or the lack of it, knows no borders in a globalised world. This does not, however, mean that Asia is without its own growth drivers in the shape of China and, to some extent, India.

The start of the week on Monday saw Asian markets from the Philippines to China fall dramatically. Japan announced a substantial increase in the recapitalisation funds to help its banks.

For much of developing Asia, the US remains the main export market. And yet, while no country is immune from financial contagion, Asia does have independent engines of growth.

India, for instance, only accounts for about one per cent of world merchandise trade and its own consumers provide much of its growth. More telling, however, is China, given its importance in the global economy. The IMF estimates it overtook the US as the largest engine of growth in 2007, and contributed about a third of global economic growth in the first half of 2008.

Recent years have seen a growing emphasis on Chinese trade surplus. Despite official estimates recording a halving of exports in the third quarter, however, real economic growth was recorded at 9 per cent per annum — that is, the halving of exports cut the growth rate by 1.2 per cent. It follows, therefore, that were Chinese exports to fall to zero, China would still grow at 7.8 per cent. Such a figure is inevitably imprecise, but it squares with China’s strong growth rate before the big economic opening of the 1990s.

Consumption in China accounts for half of GDP, which has room to increase particularly if the government pays more attention to consumers in rural areas — the majority of the population — where better social welfare provision would reduce the motive for precautionary saving. Saving is likely to remain high in China, but a modest reduction will help decrease the investment rate, which is fuelling asset bubbles in the country.

The state ownership of China’s banks means recapitalisation can be rapid. Indeed, nearly all of the large banks have received sizable injections in the past from China’s foreign exchange reserves, shrinking the bad loans on their books. (ICBC’s profit might have been down, but it was still 25 per cent.)

Burgeoning Chinese domestic demand will serve as an engine of growth, boosting the countries and companies in Asia and elsewhere that are selling to its market. Although the crisis will cause concern in China, its government also has the funds to support its economy after several years of impressive growth.

No country is immune from the financial crisis, but some will be better sheltered. China may well emerge with a strong set of domestic growth drivers as a result.

— The Guardian, London

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OTHER VOICES - Middle East Press


Livni’s failure a blow to peace

Arab News

ISRAEL is to have fresh elections next spring. This follows prime minister-designate Tzipi Livni’s inability to form a new coalition government…. Early elections had appeared likely since Friday, when the ultra-[o]rthodox Shas party announced it would not join a Livni-led government.

Shas declined Livni’s offer because she refused to pledge that the future status of Jerusalem would not be on the agenda in negotiations with the Palestinians.

Though Livni needed the ultra-[o]rthodox party to secure a solid majority in the 120-seat [p]arliament, reaching an agreement with Shas is not the same thing as reaching a peace deal with Palestinians. A heterogeneous Livni government would not have been able to pursue meaningful peace talks. The failure to form a coalition may have freed Livni from spending time and energy trying to appease an extremist partner. But there are fears that the next elections would be won by right-wing parties.

Benjamin Netanyahu’s possible victory would put a definite end to any search for peace…. He also strongly rejects the idea of a state for Palestinians. — (Oct 27)

Peace cannot come from war

Gulf News

ANOTHER drone attack by the US forces has resulted in escalation of ‘collateral damage’ in the war on terror in Afghanistan. Tensions between Washington and Pakistan are rising and the former needs to take a serious overview of its methods of tackling militancy in the highly agitated areas bordering Afghanistan.

The Pakistani parliament’s call, therefore, to take a serious ‘overview’ of the current operations led by US forces inside their country and on the borders is a step in the right direction. A resolution passed late on Wednesday placed greater emphasis on dialogue between officials and tribal leaders than on force.

The mandate of ‘dialogue and peace’ adopted by parliament would at least stress the true intentions of the government provided they follow it in letter and spirit while hoping that those taking recourse to violence would eventually shift their positions.

Already the violence is beginning to give rise to a new movement: [Pashtun] nationalism. Confidence building measures must be put in place. — (Oct 25)

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