Do US polls really matter to us?
By Hasan Zaidi
“The United States has essentially a one-party system and the ruling party is the business party.” — Noam Chomsky
SINCE the nominations for the US presidential elections kicked off last year, there has been an inordinate amount of discussion in Pakistan’s media about which candidate is, or would be, more sympathetic to Pakistan.
Of course, there is a tremendous amount of ambiguity in the basic idea of what being ‘sympathetic’ to Pakistan actually means. Generally, this is understood to mean being liberal with the aid dollars, supportive at international forums and indulgent about our real or perceived follies. Whether previous such ‘sympathetic’ US presidents — Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush being the most recent incarnations — have actually been a blessing or a curse is an entirely debatable issue.
However, putting aside this valid question for the time being, the debate about the merits of various American presidential candidates has focused almost completely in the Pakistani media on one of two factors — their personal history or chemistry with Pakistan on the one hand, and the relative stance of their political parties regarding our country on the other. Both of these issues are trivial and of no consequence, and the Pakistani media has hardly added a whit to the cumulative understanding of its audiences. Let’s take a look at them one by one.
In the current match up, much has been made of the Democratic Party’s nominee Senator Barack Obama’s statements that he would support unilateral American action inside Pakistani territory to attack Al Qaeda leaders. Such has been the chorus of disapproval from Pakistanis both within Pakistan and in the US, that it has drowned out the earlier (muted) euphoria over the discovery that Mr Obama had close friends from Sindh whose homes he had visited during his college days (the personal connection we are so fond of).
But if any Pakistani had any illusions about Obama’s rival, the Republican Party candidate John McCain, having a greater concern for Pakistani territorial sovereignty, they were certainly disabused of such notions during the presidential debates. McCain attacked Obama for his pronouncements about Pakistan, but mainly over style. “You do what you have to do,” he told the American public, “but you don’t say it publicly.” So, basically, the choice for us is between someone who supports disregarding Pakistani sovereignty on the one hand, and on the other, someone who also supports the same line but just doesn’t want us to know.
Of course, it would be entirely legitimate to question how either Messrs Obama or McCain’s line would be any different in substance from what the US is already pursuing under President George Bush. With Predator-Hellfire missile attacks every day — whether with the tacit acquiescence of the Pakistani government or not — and tribal areas that are under the state’s writ only in name at best, the very idea of ‘Pakistani sovereignty’ seems a laughable one. In any case, so much for the personalities affecting their attitudes to Pakistan. Let’s now take a look at another great myth — the difference between the two main American political parties vis-à-vis Pakistan. The conventional wisdom is that the Republicans are pro-Pakistan, while the Democrats are pro-India. The source of this fairytale is traceable to the line propagated by Gen Zia’s administration that was the beneficiary of American largesse during the Afghan war and the perception is fairly strongly tied in with the flow of aid.
Since Ronald Reagan and his Republicans held sway through most of Gen Zia’s tenure at the helm, and aid to Pakistan dried up during Clinton-the-Democrat years, only to be resumed during Republican George Bush’s tenure, this perception has almost assumed a position of unchallenged fact.
You could poke holes in this argument by pointing out that Pakistan was recognised as a state in 1947 by a Democratic US president, Harry Truman. That it was during the Republican administration of Richard Nixon that half of Pakistan’s territory seceded. Or that the Pressler Amendment (drafted by Republican Larry Pressler) and military and economic sanctions were enforced under the Republican administration of George Bush the Senior. But one cannot argue with this perception without questioning the entire basis of the ‘pro-Pakistan’ argument as espoused by the Pakistani establishment.
Does anyone other than Hamid Gul or Qazi Hussain still believe that Zia pushing Pakistan head first into the Afghan quagmire at the behest of the American CIA was in Pakistan’s long-term interests? Was having Pakistani society overrun by cheap Kalashnikovs, sectarian mafias and heroin a good trade for the aid the Americans pumped in? In more recent times, whatever opinion one may have about Gen Musharraf, would most Pakistanis consider their country becoming a frontline ally of George Bush’s neocon ‘war on terror’ a prudent move in the best interests of the country? If anything, has it not tainted our own necessary battle against Talibanisation?
But lest this be taken as arguing the case for the Democrats, the corollary to the above bit of conventional wisdom is that the Republicans favour military rule in Pakistan while Democrats are more, well, pro-democratic. Let’s cast a brief glance at history. Aside from Gen Ayub Khan’s coup in 1958, which took place during Republican President Dwight Eisenhower’s tenure, all subsequent coups in Pakistan have taken place during Democratic administrations. Ayub had very cordial relations with both the Democratic administrations of John F. Kennedy and Lyndon Johnson despite the folly of Operation Gibraltar in 1965.
Regardless of the Republican support to latter Pakistani military dictators, one can even argue that all military dictatorships in Pakistan have only met their end during Republican administrations — Ayub and Yahya Khan during Richard Nixon’s tenure, Ziaul Haq during Ronald Reagan’s tenure and Pervez Musharraf during the current Bush administration.
The point is this: it really does not matter to us which party is in power in the US. American interests — or at least the perception of American interests — is what drives American policy towards Pakistan, or anywhere else in the world. We would do well to remember that it was under Bill Clinton that American cruise missiles hit Afghanistan for the first time, and a most crippling economic embargo was imposed on Iraq that reportedly led to the death of hundreds of thousands of children. The differences between the Republicans and Democrats are limited to their domestic arena, and at best to the style of international diplomacy. Yes, Obama being quite possibly the first black president does send a good message to the world about America. Yes, his early schooling in Muslim lands may give him a better understanding of cultures other than American.
But to believe that his ethnicity, his parentage or his party affiliations are going to fundamentally alter real American geopolitical interests with regards to places such as Russia, China, the Middle East or Central Asia is to live in a make-believe world. It’s time Pakistan’s media woke up, and as Americans are fond of saying, ‘smelled the coffee’.


Sarkozy’s court battle
By Lizzy Davies
IF there is one thing that Nicolas Sarkozy likes even more than eyeing up Rolexes or single-handedly saving Europe from the financial abyss, it has to be a good, old-fashioned court battle. His threat to sue a company producing a voodoo doll in his image, complete with glowering expression, has sparked derision both from the firm responsible, which denounced it as “totally disproportionate”, and from the media, which has made no secret of wholeheartedly enjoying it.
But if there is a curious sense of deja vu about the affair, it is perhaps because it is by no means the first time Sarko has turned to legal action to avenge his despoiled image or hurt pride. Sarkozy is by far the most litigious president in his country’s recent history, and the French have become wearily accustomed to seeing their diminutive head of state throw his toys out of the Elysee’s gilt-encrusted pram.
In January, shortly before his wedding to Carla Bruni, the president decided to sue the low-budget airline Ryanair for using a picture of the couple in an advertisement. Just weeks later it was the turn of magazine Le Nouvel Observateur to face his wrath after it published an article claiming Sarkozy had begged his ex-wife to come back to him by text message. (The reporter subsequently apologised and the case was dropped.)
This month the Elysee’s legal team have been especially busy after Sarkozy announced he was suing the country’s former head of the intelligence services over leaked extracts from the top spy’s diary and a slew of unsubstantiated allegations concerning the president’s sexual and financial exploits.
Some say Sarko’s unusual behaviour stems from the fact that he has put his personal life on display in a manner unprecedented for any French leader. Others blame the coming together of a quick temper and an ego the size of Mont Blanc.
— The Guardian, London


