Now Europe is looking to Asia
By Shadaba Islam
PAKISTAN’S formal entry into the 43-nation Asia-Europe club at the seventh ASEM summit in Beijing this week is good news for a country whose international power and prestige is flagging. But while membership of the Asia-Europe Meeting is certainly not to be scoffed at by a country seeking to expand its network of foreign friends, Pakistan can expect little immediate economic and political gain from joining the forum.
All is not lost, however. ASEM is about public relations, diplomacy and strategic discussions. As such, while he may not receive cash or credit in Beijing, if he plays his cards right Pakistani Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani can use the meeting — and his planned bilateral contacts with Asian and European leaders — to draw attention to Pakistan’s economic plight and struggle against extremism.
Launched in 1996 in Bangkok at the height of the East Asian economic miracle, ASEM was meant to deepen and widen Europe’s relations with the Asian tigers. Twelve years on, however, ASEM is almost universally viewed as a high-level talk shop which has yet to deliver real change in relations between Asian states and the European Union.
Proponents of ASEM argue that the informal forum was never meant to be more than it is: a platform where Asian and European leaders could meet regularly to discuss regional and international hotspots, build mutual trust and confidence, and discuss ways of improving their economic and trade relations. Critics insist, however, that ASEM has systematically failed to live up to expectations: summits between leaders of the two sides are held only every two years and have turned into ritualistic affairs, with pre-prepared speeches and little real interaction and exchanges. Asia and Europe still disagree on key trade and climate change issues and are often at loggerheads over questions like Iran, Afghanistan and the Middle East.
The reality, as is often the case, is more nuanced than either ASEM supporters or critics would like.
True, ASEM is often only a talkfest but in diplomacy, conversation — especially between leaders — is important. ASEM may be a multilateral forum but most heads of state and government use the occasion to hold a series of bilateral meetings which often make more headlines than the plenary sessions. This time round, the global financial crisis makes the ASEM summit especially significant.
The 40 or so Asian and European leaders in Beijing will not take any concrete decisions. But officials are hopeful that a joint statement issued by ASEM will send a reassuring sign of unity to world markets. This in turn should help prepare for the meeting of the G20, which includes major industrial nations and big emerging economies such as China, India and Brazil, in the US on Nov 15.
Jose Manuel Barroso, the president of the European Commission, insisted this week that unprecedented levels of global coordination were required to deal with the financial meltdown. “We need a coordinated global response to reform the global financial system. We are living in unprecedented times and we need unprecedented levels of global coordination,” Barroso said, adding: “It’s very simple. We swim together or we sink together.”
Backing calls from French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Barroso said a solution needed to be based on principles of transparency, responsibility, cross-border supervision and global governance. The worst global financial crisis in seven decades pointed to the need for a “major reform” of the world’s financial system, he said. “The latest events have made clear that the current model of financial regulation and supervision needs to be revamped at the international level,” Barroso said. “We need Asia to be on board,” he argued.
EU officials say they are encouraged by China’s decision to issue a joint ASEM statement on the financial crisis, viewing this as a sign that the Asian economic giant is determined to behave responsibly in the coming months. There is concern in Europe, however, that although Asian economies have had less direct exposure to the toxic sub-prime mortgages that are wreaking havoc in US and European markets, they will take a major hit from a drop in exports and foreign investment.
Significantly, the vice-president of the Bank of China, the country’s central bank, has said he expects the crisis to start to bite over the next six months. “We shouldn’t think this is going to be over soon. The key issue for Asian countries is to prevent the banking crisis from turning into to a currency crisis,” Zhu Min said in remarks to the Asia-Europe Business Forum in Beijing. “This is going to be a long and cold winter,” he added.
While Pakistan appears to be hardest hit by the financial crisis, South Korea’s stock market has also slumped to a three-year low amid heavy selling by foreign investors. Ironically, the meeting in Beijing comes exactly 10 years after the ASEM summit in London in 1998 which was also dominated by economic difficulties — the financial meltdown in East Asia.In fact, the financial storms in East Asia came very soon after ASEM’s 1996 launch. The region’s economies hit rock bottom, with countries forced to seek International Monetary Fund bailouts to keep their heads above water. European governments were shocked by the enormity of the financial wreckage in East Asia but, much to Asia’s dismay, few offered any immediate assistance, or even words of sympathy.
Many in Asia denounced Europe as little more than a fair-weather friend, a charge that European policymakers fiercely denied. The EU has tried hard over the years to correct that image by negotiating strategic partnership deals and forging closer trade ties with Asian states.
This time, however, it is Europeans who want Asian help in coping with the financial crisis. Fortunately in today’s interdependent world, Asia’s economic powerhouses appear ready to take up the challenge.
The writer is Dawn’s correspondent in Brussels.


Pointless security checks
By Bruce Schneier
AIRPORT security found a bottle of saline in my luggage at Heathrow Airport last month. It was a 4oz bottle, slightly above the 100 ml limit. Airport security in the United States lets me through with it all the time, but UK security was stricter. The official confiscated it.
In a sense, this is a dumb game anyway; it’s an overly specific reaction to tactics instead of threats. We take away guns and bombs, so the terrorists use box cutters. We confiscate box cutters and corkscrews, so they put explosives in their sneakers. We screen footwear, so they use liquids. We take away liquids, and they’re going to do something else.
So why are we even playing? We’re playing because it’s politically impossible not to defend against the particular tactic the terrorists tried last year. But because we know that liquids aren’t really dangerous which makes confiscating them completely ineffective.
There are two classes of contraband at airport security checkpoints: the class that will get you in trouble if you try to bring it on an aeroplane and the class that will cheerily be taken away from you. This difference is important; making security screeners confiscate anything from that second class is a waste of time.
Let me explain. If you’re caught at airport security with a bomb or a gun, the screeners aren’t just going to take them away from you. They’re going to call the police and you’re going to be stuck for a few hours in an isolated room answering a lot of awkward questions. You may be arrested, and you’ll almost certainly miss your flight. At best, you’re going to have a very unpleasant day.
This is why articles about how screeners don’t catch every gun and bomb that goes through the checkpoints don’t bother me. Perfection is impossible. We can’t keep weapons out of prisons, how can we possibly keep them out of airports?
But the screeners don’t have to be perfect; they just have to be good enough. No terrorist is going to base his plot on getting a gun through airport security if there’s a decent chance of getting caught.
Contrast that with a terrorist plot that requires a 12-ounce bottle of liquid. There’s no evidence that the 2006 liquid bombers actually had a workable plot, but assume for the moment that they did. If some copycat terrorists try to bring their liquid bomb through airport security and the screeners catch them — like they caught me with my opaque bottle labelled as “saline” — the terrorists can simply try again. They can keep trying until they succeed. The screeners have to be 100 per cent effective. Even if the screeners slip up only once every hundred times, the plot can succeed.
The same is true for knitting needles, pocket knives, scissors, corkscrews, cigarette lighters, and whatever else the airport screeners are confiscating. If there’s no consequence to getting caught with it, then confiscating it only hurts innocent people. At best, it just mildly annoys the terrorists.
The writer is a security technologist and author.
—The Guardian, London

