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DAWN - the Internet Edition


July 07, 2008 Monday Rajab 3, 1429


Editorial


Iran: welcome moves
Women in the mainstream
Rangers at it again
OTHER VOICES - North American Press
Providing quality education
Spike in oil prices



Iran: welcome moves


WITH Iran handing over a ‘constructive and creative’ response to the six western powers’ letter signed by

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, sanity seems to be dawning on all sides over the Iranian nuclear question. Even conservative circles in Teheran now appear keen on moderating their rigid stance. Last week, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchher Muttaki told a press conference in New York that the proposals by the Security Council’s five permanent members plus Germany (5+1) were ‘respectful’ and could lead to ‘a multifaceted solution’ to the nuclear question. In an even more positive development, 201 of the 287 members of Iran’s conservative-controlled parliament said the 5+1 proposals offered a ‘suitable opportunity’ to the two sides for sorting out what indeed is the main irritant in Iran’s relations with the West. These proposals offer Iran technological incentives as a quid pro quo for Tehran’s acquiescence to put on hold its uranium enrichment programme. The positive Iranian statements follow the visit last month to Tehran by the European Union’s foreign policy chief Javier Solana, who offered the Iranian leadership a ‘freeze for freeze formula’, i.e. the UN will impose no fresh sanctions on Iran if it freezes the uranium enrichment programme. Muttaki said Solana’s proposals were unlike any other proposals in the past.

Even though Iran had reacted angrily to the EU’s decision last month to ban Milli Bank from operating in Europe, the positive response to the EU proposals seems to indicate that Tehran is now inclined towards lowering the level of confrontation with the West. There are also indications that spiritual leader Ali Khamenei does not approve of the hard line adopted by President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad over the nuclear question. In a statement, Ali Akbar Velayeti, who is Khamenei’s foreign policy adviser, has pleaded for restraint on the nuclear issue and chided the government for ‘provocative and illogical sloganeering’. This is surprising, since on all domestic matters President Ahmedinejad enjoys the spiritual leader’s unqualified support.

It now remains to be seen whether the two sides will agree to have an American diplomatic presence in the Iranian capital. The proposal is still in its infancy in the State Department, but Muttaki said Iran might consider accepting an American interests section in Tehran. Rice, too, thinks that there should be greater contact between American and Iranian peoples, and Muttaki welcomed the idea. The establishment of an American interests section in Tehran will mean America’s first diplomatic presence in Iran since the 1979 seizure of the US embassy by students. Coming in the wake of reports that Israel recently rehearsed an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, the latest moves by Iran and the West indicate a welcome realisation on both sides of the need to move away from brinkmanship.

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Women in the mainstream


WOMEN in Pakistan face a gamut of issues from honour killing and domestic violence to illiteracy and health problems. It is widely believed that the status of women can be improved if the government spends adequate funds on the female population. Since this is not being done, women remain backward, or so goes the conventional wisdom. At a meeting on the ‘Provincial Budget Analysis from a Gender Perspective’ organised by the Aurat Foundation, many members of civil society termed the allocation in the budget for women development insufficient. They termed the allocation of women-specific funds as being an integral part of the process of female empowerment. While the government has failed to meet the financial requirements of this sector and women-specific allocations for health, education and economic empowerment are insufficient, policymakers have not focused on women either to draw them into the mainstream while drawing up plans and budgeting for the socio-economic development of the people. That is in fact what is needed to bring about systemic changes as opposed to ad hoc policies with only short-term benefits. A structural change is more desirable to overhaul a system that perpetuates a form of social organisation which is detrimental to the progress of women.

Tariq Shah, an official of the provincial finance department, made a valid point at the meeting: as women make up almost 50 per cent of the population, they should equally benefit from all the funds spent on the development sector and socio-economic schemes. This line of reasoning carries weight but only in theory. The sad fact is that women don’t really share half of what is allocated to a given sector, in view of our social and cultural set-up which discriminates blatantly against women. It is therefore essential to promote gender equality within the mainstream. Thus alone will the risk of marginalisation of women from national life be minimised. Development schemes for the benefit of women should be formulated within the broader framework. The planning process should adapt to the needs of women rather than setting aside some funds for them and relegating them to the sidelines. Women’s issues should be integrated into mainstream policy-making if equality is to be truly achieved.

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Rangers at it again


THE lackadaisical approach adopted by the paramilitary Rangers towards returning more than a hundred vehicles to their rightful owner, the Sindh government, is the latest indication that the law-enforcers ostensibly consider themselves above the law. According to a report carried by this paper, the government has already released Rs150m to the force against its request for acquiring 120 new vehicles. More than a month after the release from the exchequer, the government has yet to have the old ones back. That the process could take a little longer is understandable, but the problem lies in the complete silence that the Rangers have chosen to adopt in response to any correspondence on the matter. In simple terms, they have the money and they have kept the vehicles too. It is not surprising that in the eyes of many, the Rangers are fast becoming the fabled Bedouin’s camel. It is an irony of sorts that the vehicles recovered from the Rangers — when and if at all — will actually be auctioned off by the government to raise funds that would in part cover the budgetary allocations for the paramilitary force itself. When invited 19 years ago, the Rangers had a job to do which they did well. But they seem to have overstayed their welcome and their budgetary apportionments are now more of a burden on the balance sheet. Last year, they overshot the budget by as much as 55 per cent. The latest release of Rs150m is also not part of the enhanced budget either which now stands at Rs430m.

It’s time the government started working on a phased withdrawal of Rangers and diverting funds towards making the police a truly effective force. When given a chance, the police force did a wonderful job all through the Asia Cup that was held amid international concerns about security in the city. With so much at stake — from its own image to that of the city and the country — the police did itself proud by earning appreciation from global actors. It was the first time in several years that the police were assigned such a task and one hopes that more such assignments will come their way, allowing the government to let the Rangers do their primary task of protecting the borders.

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OTHER VOICES - North American Press


No rush, please

The New York Times

THREE years ago, President Bush offered India a far-too-generous nuclear deal. India’s illicit pursuit of nuclear weapons would effectively be forgiven. And for the first time in 30 years, it would be allowed to buy nuclear fuel and equipment for its civilian energy programme from the United States and other nations.

Instead of celebrating a big political win, the deal quickly turned into a political nightmare for Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, nearly toppling his government. India’s Communist Party, his junior coalition partner, is dead set against the agreement and any broader strategic relationship with the United States.

President Bush, who is eager for any foreign policy win before he goes back to Crawford, Tex, is pressing Mr Singh hard to finally work this out. Mr Singh is now looking for new allies.

As far as we’re concerned, there is no reason at all to rush. President Bush gave away far too much and got far too little for this deal. No promise from India to stop producing bomb-making material. No promise not to expand its arsenal. And no promise not to resume nuclear testing.

Mr Bush may be running out of time, but Congress, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the Nuclear Suppliers Group (the 45 nations that set the rules for nuclear trade) will need plenty of it to review the agreement before deciding whether to grant their respective approvals. At a minimum, they must insist that international suppliers halt nuclear trade if India tests another nuclear weapon, as it last did in 1998. And they must insist that India accept the fullest possible monitoring of its civilian nuclear facilities by IAEA inspectors.

The United States must ensure that any rule the suppliers’ group adopts for selling technology to India is not weaker than anything already in American law. Otherwise, New Delhi will be able to end run Washington and buy technology and fuel from states — like Russia and France — that are even more eager for the business and even less punctilious than this country.

Mr Bush was right to build on the Clinton administration legacy and forge stronger ties with India, a burgeoning power whose democratic values provide a unique basis for cooperation. But it was a mistake to let India and industry lobbyists persuade him to make the nuclear deal the centrepiece.

If Mr Singh finds a way to push the deal forward, it would be a mistake for the United States to try and ram through the remaining approvals — by the IAEA board, the Nuclear Suppliers Group and Congress — just to meet the artificial deadline of Mr Bush’s presidency. — (July 5)

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Providing quality education


By Shahid Kardar

THE nostrum that the government should not be in the business of business, i.e. be engaged in economic and commercial activities like running cement and ghee manufacturing companies, banks, etc started to gain acceptance in the early nineties in Pakistan.

But government pervasiveness in some sectors of the economy, particularly oil and gas, continues unabated. At that time it was argued, rather persuasively, that the government should vacate these areas for the private sector and instead focus its energies and limited financial and human resources on the delivery of neglected social services like education and health.

The plea for a new vigorous role for the state was simply lapped up as an obvious truth without a shred of evidence that it could perform these functions; to deliver decent quality social services, effectively and cost efficiently. To assess the potency of this proposition, the strategy embraced for its implementation and the outcome of its execution, this article focuses on the education sector.

Despite abundant proof of mismanagement — non-existing schools and teachers, referred to as ‘ghost schools’ and ‘ghost teachers’, of tutors playing truant or not fulfilling their responsibilities, the many who are not recruited on merit and payments for ghost buildings or staff landing in the pockets of corrupt government personnel — the government and donors alike decided to pour more resources into this leaking education bucket. The mega governance issues of teachers not hired on merit and protected by politicians because of their role as polling agents during elections and once appointed they become members of powerful unions that blackmail governments, remain unaddressed.

This writer has argued in these columns before, that it is easier to dismiss elected governments than civil servants in Pakistan. Especially teachers who do not turn up for duty, let alone those who do turn up and fail to perform their services!

In the meantime, parents of children who are meant to be educated in these government-managed institutions simply gave up on the public sector and in despair chose private schools for their children. The private sector responded to these opportunities and set up schools that catered to these demands. Contrary to popular perception, as reflected in debates in the media about exploitative private schools, the competitive private sector services all segments of the population with a vast majority charging less than Rs150 per month and accommodates children from less prosperous households.

It has understandably been active where the environment is more lucrative, in terms of a large and buoyant market such as the relatively more affluent Punjab, Peshawar, Quetta and the main cities of Sindh such as Karachi, Hyderabad and Sukkur. As a result, the poorest households in the less developed parts of the country like rural localities have no choice other than the almost non-functional government schools.

The fact that parents have rejected the services provided by the government is emphatically reflected in these figures: there are 62,000 government schools in Punjab and more than 40,000 private schools. The government and donors simply ignored this overwhelming proof and after what was touted as a careful and dispassionate analysis of the situation, arrived at the bizarre conclusion that parents were not enrolling their children in government schools because these institutions did not offer adequate facilities in the shape of toilets and boundary walls. So they built this infrastructure, but to their utter surprise, additional children did not come to these schools. The inference they drew from this experience was that perhaps what was missing was additional classrooms. Lo and behold, these were added but the attendance remained poor, while the population of students in private schools grew in leaps and bounds.

Next came the argument that what was needed was (a) more qualified teachers, although the comparable private schools had less academically qualified teachers who were being paid a quarter of the salary of a government school teacher, (b) recruitment on contracts that could be terminated if the teacher was frequently absent or did not perform his/her duties diligently and (c) tied to a school so as to make them accountable for service delivery.

But to their horror these changes still made little difference to the enrolment in government schools with pressure starting to build to regularise the contractual staff that began to imbibe the culture and work ethics of their more recalcitrant counterparts enjoying a permanent status. In other words, despite the customer rebuff, and which should have been acknowledged as a devastating testimony to the failure of government service delivery, donors and well-intentioned philanthropists continued to press for more dedicated resources. And more money got poured into a dysfunctional system, which was akin to throwing good money after bad. The sad reality was that no one wanted to hear the message from the consumers; they did not like the quality of schooling on offer from the government. They were not willing to accept that even teachers of government schools where additional infrastructure had been provided were sending their children to private schools.

Unless we accept that the objective of providing effective and cost efficient education cannot be met through the public schooling system we will continue to flounder, wasting scarce resources, chasing a mirage. In this writer’s view the best way forward for the government is to make sure that children get free schooling using the private sector for service provision instead of providing the service itself. Study after study has demonstrated conclusively that better quality education is being provided by private schools at half of what it costs the government to educate a child in its own schools.

The Punjab Education Foundation, which has been working for just over two years in seven districts with mostly out-of-school children, has adopted this approach and in the process is educating more than 475,000 children.

It has tried to show the government that better quality education can be imparted by (a) providing funding at the rate of Rs300 per child, which is 40 per cent less than what it costs the government — making the partner school free for enrolled children, thereby enabling even the poorest households to send their wards to these private schools; and (b) by making this financial assistance subject to a child’s performance in six-monthly tests in languages, mathematics and sciences.

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Spike in oil prices


By Dr Akhtar Hasan Khan

THE hefty increase in gas prices will lead to serious consequences for the middle class and trade and industry sectors. It will aggravate inflation and depress GDP growth and employment. The universally acclaimed principle of economic policy-making is that changes should be gradual and phased. A shocking jump of 31 per cent in the price of a vital commodity like gas, which supplies 50 per cent of national energy, is bound to make a profound impact

A gradual increase in oil prices would have been justified because the international price of this commodity has surged beyond all expectations. With our domestic production being only 18 per cent of our national requirements, the government cannot subsidise oil beyond a limit. However gas production is cent per cent indigenous. There is no reason why its price should follow the trend in oil prices and not be determined by the cost of production of gas and positive returns for gas producers and distributors.

The government has failed to explain this sudden jump in domestically produced gas. If the objective is to encourage foreign firms to increase gas exploration, this objective can be met by assuring that gas from new wells dug in 2008 and beyond will get higher prices. Even today, major gas producers like Oil and Gas Development Company (OGDC), Pak Petroleum and Pak Oilfields are very profitable firms and they do not have to be pushed into greater profitability.

The shoddy manner in which the gas price policy was announced is deplorable. The first day saw an increase in CNG prices which was corrected the following day when the error was realised. Trade and industry, which is already suffering on account of acute load shedding, will get another blow from the surge in gas rates. If independent power plants that remit their huge profits abroad and are run by foreigners have been exempted from taxes, all power plants including captive power plants should have been exempted as well.

There is no justification or explanation for this ill conceived measure. In all oil producing countries, the commodity’s domestic sale is far below the international price. Their governments care for the welfare of their citizens. Unfortunately our economic policy-makers do not realise the repercussions of such a sudden and gigantic hike in oil price on the economy and on the welfare of citizens.

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