New PM’s 100-day honeymoon
By S.M. Naseem
NOBODY can possibly envy the task facing the new prime minister, Syed Yusuf Raza Gilani, notwithstanding the unprecedented unanimous endorsement he received in parliament in perhaps the most difficult times for Pakistan since 1971.
The complex web of alliances that Mr Zardari and Mr Nawaz Sharif have weaved for the new prime minister in order to ward off any conceivable ambush by those still chafing under their election defeat leave him with little room to manoeuvre in pulling together a team not entirely his own.
While a cabinet minister holds his office at the pleasure of the prime minister, Mr Gilani’s fate will be in the hands of two masters, neither of whom is a member of parliament. While it is cynical even to entertain such thoughts so soon after the avoidance of far worse scenarios — although some are still lurking in the realm of possibility — Mr Gilani must be wishing he was a bit of his own man.
Perhaps he will be given unstinted support during the next 100 days which will test his mettle and the efficacy of the programme he has proposed, with only small-scale sniping from any side. The firm, if somewhat divergent, stance the coalition partners articulated on the Taliban issue in their meetings with Negroponte and Boucher who came on a fishing trip in Pakistan’s troubled waters has been impressive and should dissipate fears about an early derailment of the train of democracy now moving jerkily forward.
The only serious landmine Mr Gilani may encounter during the next 100 days is the implementation of the Bhurban declaration on the restoration of the judiciary and the resistance, in covert or overt form, from the dissipating if recalcitrant Musharraf presidency. April could be the do-or-die month for Pakistan’s democratic forces and the presidential camp. Once that hurdle is crossed — and its importance can hardly be underestimated — Mr Gilani is likely to have relatively smooth sailing well beyond the 100 days and possibly the completion of the five-year term, which at present reckoning looks like a pie in the sky.
It must be said that Mr Gilani has already earned a good deal of respect and goodwill from his coalition partners and has instilled some hope in the general public, despite the bitter experience of such promises made on such occasions in the past. His 100-day programme covering a large number of political and economic measures may not be inspiring but it has been welcomed, with varying degree of endorsement on different issues and from different quarters. The programme has obviously been hurriedly put together with many half-baked ideas which need further homework by the backroom advisers of the coalition.
For the poor, the promised relief, if delivered with due diligence, honesty and avoidance of leakages to the non-poor, could ease the burden from which they suffer due to the steep increase in food and energy prices in the last few months. The immediate problem is to ensure that the entitlement to essential commodities at fair prices is extended to all families earning less than Rs10,000 per month (on the basis of a dollar-a-day poverty line for a five-person-one-earner household).
However, there is likely to be a huge administrative problem in ensuring that the deserving poor get the protection they need. Hence innovative measures, such as associating NGOs to ensure transparency, equity and minimisation of hassles to the deserving, should be given urgent consideration. The Utility Stores department is ridden with an inefficient and unimaginative bureaucracy and the creation of more of them in a short period may accentuate the problems unless supplemented by other proactive efforts.
The belated initial steps towards an employment guarantee scheme for at least one member of the poorest families covering half of the country’s villages is greatly to be welcomed, although it needs to be fleshed out in greater detail. It is, however, regrettable that the programme does not address the deplorable state of the earthquake victims who seem to have receded from the national consciousness.
The more significant parts of the PM’s programme are likely to take well beyond 100 days to yield significant results. But a journey to correct the errors and omissions of the past six decades must begin somewhere. The prime minister’s emphasis on strengthening the country’s institutions is most timely and of the essence.
‘Getting the institutions right’ is the latest mantra in the discourse on the sustainability of the development process. Unfortunately, the institution-building agenda in Pakistan has been hijacked by the international donors/lenders who are obsessed with making one-size-fits-all institutions that primarily promote their own global interests. It is, therefore, refreshing to note that the current government is trying to take a more holistic view of institution-building by calling for a ‘change of the system’. However, ‘the system’ needs to be defined more clearly.
The first among its ingredients requiring change is the flip-flopping between civilian and military rule which has occurred with predictable regularity in the past six decades and on which the nation has given its verdict. The expediting of the return of military officers from civilian jobs, earlier announced by the COAS, is also a welcome indicator. However, more comprehensive legislation and strong complementary measures need to be undertaken to prevent its recurrence.While the need for balance among different pillars of the state has consensus, there is also need for the executive to be more responsive to public fora, civil society including the lawyers, academia, the media, think tanks and the activist NGOs, making them an integral part of the collective process of policymaking rather than a means for letting off steam.
Rhetoric alone, however, will not ‘change the system’. If the government is serious, it must set up an institutional reforms commission which should review the entire structure and sequencing of institutions in the country and recommend how it can be reformed to meet the major challenges of economic development, dignified livelihood, human rights and other national goals.
Piecemeal creation of institutions and ‘second-generation reforms’ at the behest of international organisations — like the creation of regulatory bodies and ‘world class’ educational institutions dreamt up by the HEC bureaucrats — without due regard to prerequisites and to ensuring their transparency, sequencing, robustness and autonomy will only serve to promote vested interests and elite groups in the society.Nevertheless, the creation of some ad hoc institutions such as the employment commission (which could also include poverty reduction in its mandate) and the madressah reforms commission, whose opposition by Maulana Fazlur Rehman could be softened by including in its mandate the problem of access to education and the dualism of the educational system, are to be welcomed.
Also worthy of acclaim are the proposals to abolish NAB and Pemra and to lift the ban on student and trade unions after almost three decades. The ban on these bodies had stalled our democratic development.
It would indeed be a pity if the first-100-days transition does not become the precursor of the hoped for basic transformation in the political, economic and social structure of Pakistan.
smnaseem@gmail.com

