View from a halfway point
By Tanvir Ahmad Khan
A YEAR ago the people of Pakistan were jolted out of a strange state of passivity and hopelessness by an event the unintended consequences of which had not been foreseen by the powers that caused it. The great outrage at the sudden removal of the Chief Justice of Pakistan became a national quest for the Holy Grail of democracy.
Human beings compulsively calibrate their journeys and erect milestones to map them. They also look down to find reassurance in the progress made and look up to summon requisite reserves of energy for what is often the most arduous part of the ascent.
Pakistani society is visibly taxed by the effort made in climbing out of the abyss of unbridled authoritarianism on to a base camp and then getting halfway through to the top of the magic mountain of democracy. It is breathless with excitement at what it has achieved and also a trifle short of breath because of the perils that lie ahead. If the people are heady because of the extraordinary spurt of energy that has brought them so far, they are also haunted by the Sisyphean disasters of the past.
Viewed from this mid-point of hope and fear, what has already been traversed bears testimony to the indomitable spirit of man. It was not a propitious time for our people to resume their oft-aborted quest for democracy. Larry Diamond, whose work on democratisation is widely known, has a thought-provoking but pessimistic essay in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs that argues that the “democratic wave has been slowed by a powerful authoritarian undertow, and the world has slipped into a democratic recession.”
He cites a number of examples to show how democracy has either been overthrown or gradually stifled. Like many other western analysts, he evades an upfront comment on how the global war on terror was exploited to suppress institutions of democracy, free speech, and law and social organisation in Pakistan though he does concede that western leaders “tend to speak out only when democratic norms are violated by unfriendly governments (as in Russia and Venezuela or in Bolivia) and soft-pedal abuses when allies (such
as Ethiopia, Iraq, or Pakistan) are involved.”
In Pakistan the political parties had been decimated, the people told repeatedly that there was no power in the world that could bring their exiled leaders back and more than 50 judges removed through an unlawful fiat of military power. There was no organisation similar to the ones that launched the ‘colour revolutions’ of Ukraine and Georgia. What the people of Pakistan achieved on Feb 18 has few parallels in the case histories of ‘waves of democracy’ since the eventful 1970s.
It was beyond the capacity of the people to stage a classical revolution on their own. So they did the next best thing by re-energising the battered political parties while making them responsible — and accountable — for changing the status quo. One cannot blame the political parties for not being quite ready for this awesome responsibility. In fact it is a tribute to their skills that the National Assembly did not take more than 28 days after the election to take oath and elect a speaker and no more than 35 days to appoint the new prime minister.
In both cases the outcome vindicated the unusual delay with decisive majorities that could not even be contemplated a few months back. Pakistan became the first Muslim country to have a woman parliamentarian as the speaker and the scion of a family active in Muslim politics since the early 1920s was elected prime minister.
Many long years ago I accompanied Syed Yusuf Raza Gilani to represent Pakistan at the 25th anniversary celebrations of the independence of Maldives and was struck by the effortless manner in which he used the inimitable courtesy and friendliness of Pakistan’s Seraiki belt to charm other leaders, especially from the smaller states of South Asia. One was to discover later the grit, steadfastness and courage with which he stood up to his tormentors after the coup d’etat of Oct 12, 1999. It was that kind of resilience that has kept the flame of democracy alive in Pakistan.
The onward view to the summit is daunting and the terrain treacherous. Like Milosevic’s Serbia and Pinochet’s Chile earlier, the regime in Pakistan relied heavily on creating a make-believe world of achievements by exploiting the power of the new ubiquitous media. It unravelled rapidly once the independent media broke ranks. The process has left behind huge problems and much impatience for quick results.
The new government will not lack talent or experience but it has no more than the proverbial one hundred days to convince the people that it has made a credible beginning in restoring a lawful state, a viable constitutional order, democratic governance, a civic life free of terrorist attacks and, above all, an economic policy that does not further exacerbate disparities in incomes and opportunities.
PPP co-chairman Asif Zardari has taken the right strategic approach in creating a broad-based coalition. The depth of the national crisis demands it and its aggregate power provides a hedge against our hitherto unreformed predatory state. So far only the inner core — the PPP, PML-N and ANP — can be considered to be reasonably bound by trust which, in turn, should enable them to adopt a common minimum programme. Beyond this core lies an uncertain landscape of convenience and opportunism.
Endless expansion may force critical dilution of the common programme, a process likely to sow doubts and dissensions. In fact a Trojan horse or two may open up fault lines in the coalition.
The new prime minister should make a comprehensive statement — a veritable state of the federation message — on behalf of the entire coalition to reassure the electorate with a clear road map. The people will follow it only if the right signs are put up well before disillusionment begins to set in to the delight of the anti-democratic forces that are down but not out.
tanvir.a.khan@gmail.com

