US elections knee-deep in religion
By Jehangir Khattak
POLITICAL commentator Robert Novak correctly states that Republicans are “staring into a 2008 election abyss”, having “lost credibility as upholders of lean government by sponsoring profligate pork barrel spending during 12 years in the congressional majority, and have not reformed” since the Democrats took over the US Congress in 2006.
America’s ruling Grand Old Party (GOP) is indeed being haunted by a lethal, political threat to credibility. With America’s costliest presidential and congressional elections about 10 months away, the Republican Party is demoralised, rudderless and divided.
The price tag for this year’s presidential and congressional election is expected to cross the five billion dollar mark. The combined spending of the Republican and Democratic parties’ presidential candidates is projected to be in excess of a whopping billion dollars. The amount is outrageously high, even by American standards. It is almost double the sum that George W. Bush and his challenger John Kerry pumped into their campaigns in 2004.
Although the Republican leadership is plagued with contradictions on contentious issues, it seems to play to the conservative Americans’ galleries rather than concentrating on serious challenges that the country faces today.
With the US almost on the brink of economic recession, exacerbating costs of wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the plummeting housing and stock markets, GOP candidates have done little to devise some viable and popular programmes to pull America’s ailing economy out of its abysmal state and restore the dwindling confidence of the voters. Virtually non-players on the issues that matter most to voters, the Republicans have largely clung to illegal immigration as domestic crisis number one, to no particular point beyond alienating Hispanic voters.
Instead of showing a worried and weary nation the way forward in key areas, the Republicans are increasingly focused on social issues. The so-called ‘moral majority’ wields a huge influence on voters in the US. Liberalism still has a few admirers; thus, social and religious conservatives have wide appeal. They invoke Reagan’s political philosophy instead of citing the political vision of the incumbent Republican President George W. Bush. The GOP is running on empty, with no ideas beyond the incessant repetition of Reagan’s name.
The results of the primaries and caucuses held so far have unmistakable imprints of the religious right playing a decisive role. For example, Mitt Romney won many more evangelical votes in Michigan than Huckabee. In Nevada, he won because the state has a fairly large Mormon population. Romney also received votes from born-again evangelicals. In the South Carolina primary too, religion and race shaped the results. Now all eyes are set on the Feb 5 Super Tuesday’s most prized state, California, where race is expected to play a bigger role than religion.
Republicans are not alone in invoking religion in their faith-drenched campaigns. At least one Democratic presidential candidate is also in deep trouble in the Bible belt over a religious controversy. Days before the crucial Jan 26 South Carolina primary, e-mails from unidentified sources were sent to thousands of Barack Obama supporters.
The e-mail claimed that Obama’s real faith was that of his father, a Muslim. It speculated that Obama received his early education in a ‘fundamentalist madressah’ in Indonesia. The 46-year-old Illinois senator debunked the claim, saying he had been going to the same church in Chicago for the past 20 years. He also made special appearances at churches in South Carolina where the majority of the population is African American. Obama scored a convincing victory over Hillary, thanks to overwhelming support from black voters.
Many analysts believe that the religious conservative face is the last frontier of the Republican election strategy. With its image mired by corruption, sex scandals and political and military setbacks in the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the GOP was left with limited options to better project itself and save itself from increasing American public disquiet over the current administration’s failures on the domestic and foreign policy fronts.
Republican strategists know that the best way to counter the Democratic blitz at their failings is to change the focus of the campaign from external to domestic issues. The appeal to its conservative backers is all but obvious, and the GOP has had some success. That is why brown horses like former Arkansas governor and Baptist preacher-turned-politician Mike Huckabee and Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, a Mormon, have made dramatic gains.
A stranger to many among the electorate, especially in the northeastern states, Huckabee is known as a pragmatist who mollified social conservatives by opposing abortion and supporting traditional notions of marriage. A political backbencher till early November, Huckabee emerged as a frontrunner, leaving behind in some key states powerful candidates such as John McCain and Mitt Romney.
Despite the Republicans’ move to shift the focus of the campaign, the proverbial ‘Reagan sense of optimism’ of an inclusionary GOP is still missing, leaving the party in virtual disarray with its supporters, dazed, distraught and frustrated. Latest opinion polls say Republican voters are still finding it hard to choose a candidate. The Republicans’ real political power base — a conservative clergy of varying faiths, shades, and colours — is also falling apart and waning. It is expected that Democrats will get many of the Republican swing votes and make fresh inroads into the Republican heartland of the Bible belt as well, where religious groups wield the unique power of courting votes in favour of or against any candidate.
US law allows religious groups to support or oppose political positions but not the candidates who hold them. Political endorsement would invalidate a religious group’s tax exemption status. Religious groups have improvised to give unofficial endorsements. Each year, powerful religious groups, such as the Protestant Christian Coalition of America, the Southern Baptist Convention and the National Council of Churches issue separate ‘voter guides’ that present documented and well-reasoned perspectives on issues voters ‘must understand’ before they choose a candidate. These voter guides are thinly veiled recommendations but are technically not endorsements. As in the past, Republicans are seeking full blessings of these groups.
Four years ago in 2004, the present incumbent of the White House was successful in making ‘security’ the main campaign issue. Many Americans still believe that George Bush won in 2004, not because he was a powerful candidate, but because John Kerry was a weak challenger. History might repeat itself, but this time in reverse fashion. A weak Democrat might beat the meek Republicans in 2008.
The writer is a US-based journalist.
mjehangir@aol.com

