Waiting for a deliverer
By Anwar Syed
CONVERSATIONS on contemporary politics in my younger days often concluded with one of the participants offering the optimistic observation that God might one day send a great and righteous man who would set all things right. The awaited one has not arrived to date. Some of us believe that he will appear shortly before the Last Day, but we have no way of knowing when that will be.
This longing for a ‘deliverer’ has existed in ages and cultures other than our own. Let us begin with the Judaic tradition. The Jews had suffered unrelieved subordination, anguish, and even torment for many centuries, except when David and Solomon ruled.
Shortly after the beginning of his rule in 606 BC, Nebuchadnezzar, a Babylonian king, wiped out Judea and Israel, destroyed Jerusalem, and took the Jews away to his own country where they remained in captivity until 539 BC, when Cyrus, the Persian king, subdued Babylonia and allowed them to return to their own land on the condition that they would not form a state.
At some point God is believed to have promised them relief.
According to the Old Testament, He said: ‘I will save my people from the countries of the east and west. I will bring them back to live in Jerusalem.’ This was to be accomplished through a deliverer. But none, who would give the Jews independence and the pre-eminence they thought they deserved, came. The orthodox among them are still waiting for him.
The Christians entertain the same hope. They believe the promised one will come in the person of Jesus. That will be the ‘second coming of Christ’. His mission of mercy and reformation will extend to all mankind. Muslims have slightly amended the Christian doctrine.
Some of their theologians teach that Jesus will indeed return one day, as the Messiah, but that he will be accompanied by Mehdi, They will be co-deliverers, so to speak, and they will work together to cleanse this world and mankind of all evil with which it is currently afflicted. It is possible that the notion of a deliverer forms part of some of non-Semitic belief systems as well.
We do not know when the deliverer will come, if ever he does, but in the meantime the belief in his coming has kept the people concerned from taking their destiny in their own hands.
Akin to the longing for a deliverer is the quest for a ‘strong’ leader. Experience with ‘strong’ leaders in recent history has, for the most part, been exceedingly disquieting. The man we are talking about normally has high self-esteem, willfulness, determination, communication skills and a clear vision of what he wants for himself and the people he wants to lead. But he cannot attain and keep ruling authority only because of these and suchlike personal qualifications. He needs the support of external agencies.
In the context of authoritarianism, it may be a disciplined party that can be relied upon to do his bidding, or a military establishment that, being loyal to him, will do the same, or a combination of the two.
An ideologically committed strong leader will most likely end up being a tyrant. Stalin, Hitler, Mussolini, Franco, Salazar and, in our own neighbourhood, Saddam Hussein and Hafez al-Assad belonged to this class. They may have delivered satisfaction to their people on some counts, but they inflicted long terms of imprisonment, torture and death on citizens of whom they did not approve for one reason or another. They also botched up whole segments of their country’s social and economic life.
Even the ‘benevolent’ ones among the strong leaders in authoritarian or quasi-democratic societies, such as Mustafa Kemal in Turkey and Gamal Abdel Nasser in Egypt, were bad news for dissidents. Kemal also sought forcibly to transform his society along European lines, which the masses in his country did not want, and which thus created an unnecessary polarisation.
Democracies do quite well with leaders of moderate capabilities. Here a strong leader, not only decisive but also brilliant, is more of an exception than the rule. Theodore Roosevelt and Franklin Roosevelt in the 20th century America, Winston Churchill in England, Charles de Gaulle in France, Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi in India were strong leaders.
Each one of them served his/her country well in some ways but each also left a baggage of difficult problems for his/her successors to contend with.
With the exception of the Quaid-i-Azam (when he was still living), and barring the generals who seized power, I cannot think of any politician other than Zulfikar Ali Bhutto who headed the government in Pakistan, and who may be regarded as having been a strong leader.
He was strong in terms of some relevant personal qualifications, and strong in that he was well grounded in the affections of a large number of Pakistanis, and led a vital political party. But while one might learn the techniques of mobilising the people and building effective leadership from his experience, he would have nothing to tell us about the art of good governance. His rule was disastrous for the country in more ways than one.
Institutions are systems of constraint that keep governments in check. Leaders in established democracies cannot act arbitrarily because here countervailing institutions, capable of restraining them, are in place in good working order. But in developing societies, where democracy is desired but not yet fully functional, strong leaders tend to bypass institutions if these do exist. It is often their design to stifle institutions and keep them from growing to maturity. Qadhafi in Libya, Nasser in Egypt, and Zulfikar Ali Bhutto in Pakistan did not let even their own political parties become well-integrated and viable.
The quest for a strong leader is essentially an expression of a people’s political apathy, lethargy and want of self-confidence. Friends ask me who is out there to replace Musharraf if he were to go away. My answer is that there must be hundreds, perhaps thousands, of persons in a nation of 160 million people who are as capable as Musharraf and more public-friendly than he is. Some of them might even be found among our politicians.
This quest for a strong leader also reflects the absence of viable political and governmental institutions. If the parliament, bureaucracy, judiciary and political parties are all doing their assigned work, it doesn’t really matter how ‘strong’ the president or the prime minister is. Unless he is grossly incompetent or indecisive (in which case he will probably be replaced) the government will keep going reasonably well.
Even with rather weak political institutions, Mohammad Khan Junejo, who was in no way a man of exceptional abilities, did quite well as prime minister. In a parliamentary system, the prime minister has to carry his cabinet colleagues with him. If he is overbearing and domineering, which he will be if he is a ‘strong’ leader, he will not have their willing cooperation.
To have good governance in Pakistan, we need working institutions, active organs of civil society and a politically aware and demanding public much more than we need a strong leader.
The writer is professor emeritus of political science at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst
Email: anwarsyed@cox.net

