Merkel to prove her diplomatic skills at G8
By Shadaba Islam
EVER since she became the first female chancellor of Germany 18 months ago, Angela Merkel has slowly but steadily built up a formidable reputation as a tough and savvy negotiator.
The German leader has successfully repaired Berlin’s relationship with Washington following her predecessor, Gerhard Schroeder’s opposition to invasion of Iraq. She is critical of Russian President Vladimir Putin, but believes the West must stay engaged with Moscow. And within the European Union, having clinched a seemingly intractable budget deal in December 2005, most officials believe that when things need mending, “Angie can fix it.”
Merkel’s diplomatic skills will be severely tested, however, at next week’s meeting of the world’s leading industrialised nations in Heiligendamm on Germany’s Baltic coast.
The Group of Eight (G8) summit on June 6-8, which Merkel will host, was initially planned to clinch agreement on tough new targets for combating global warming, increasing financial market transparency and earmarking fresh aid for Africa.
Officials in Berlin waxed lyrical that given the declining standing of US President George Bush and Britain’s outgoing premier Tony Blair — as well as the international inexperience of new French President
Nicolas Sarkozy — the summit would crown the perky but determined Merkel as the undisputed star of the impressive G8 line-up.
Things don’t seem to be going the way Ms Merkel anticipated, however.
The Heiligendamm meeting appears likely to be dominated by increasingly acrimonious East-West exchanges and US tough talking on climate change. In addition, while leaders squabble over global politics inside, an equally fierce showdown is expected outside the summit venue between angry anti-globalisation protesters and security forces.
Dealing with an increasingly bad-tempered President Putin will be Merkel’s most daunting challenge. The German chancellor has taken a more critical approach towards Moscow than Schroeder, who now heads a Russian-German pipeline joint venture that he had championed while in office.
Unlike Schroeder, who continues to describe Putin as a “great democrat,” Merkel used an EU-Russia summit last month to criticise Moscow’s human rights record and repression of dissent. The Russian leader, however, comes to the G8 meeting in increasingly combative mood.
In recent days, Putin has responded to US plans to station elements of an anti-missile defence system in Poland and the Czech Republic by testing a new intercontinental missile. He has also threatened to withdraw from the treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE), a key post-Cold War security pact, and recently appeared to compare the US to Nazi Germany.
In addition, Russia’s ties with the EU are at an all-time low, with Moscow refusing to lift an import ban on Polish beef, raging against Estonia’s decision to remove a Soviet-era war memorial from the centre of Tallinn and opposing supervised-independence for the breakaway Serbian province of Kosovo.
‘We are not the initiators of this new round of the arms race,’ Putin said at a recent news conference in Moscow, adding: “Our partners are stuffing Eastern Europe with new weapons...What are we supposed to do? We cannot just observe all this.”
President George Bush has so far kept his cool, arguing that he wants to deal with Russia as “not an enemy regime but a friend.” Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has described the difficult US-Russia relationship as a “mix of cooperation and competition, friendship and friction.”
However, while Merkel and Bush may see eye to eye on the need to tone down Putin’s confrontational Cold War-style rhetoric, the German chancellor and the US leader have to overcome their own stark differences over climate change.
Merkel has cautiously welcomed Bush’s call for a new strategy on tackling global warming through joint action by the world’s top polluters — including China and India — as a “positive” step in the right direction.
But the EU believes that the US plan focus on allowing countries to set their own targets for cutting emissions, based on their economic circumstances, is not good enough. Europeans also point out that the US continues to oppose mandatory caps on emissions, or a carbon trading regime, like that operating in Europe.As such, the German leader has made clear she will still press G8 leaders to commit to cutting global greenhouse gas emissions to 50 per cent below 1990 levels by 2050 and limiting the worldwide temperature rise this century to two degrees Celsius.
TOUGHER LINE: Other Europeans have taken a tougher line. European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso insisted recently that he wanted Washington to adopt a more ambitious position, including backing for binding emission targets.
Both Merkel and Barroso have also said they hope the US will see the need to bring the United Nations into the process, adding that the G8 summit should provide a launching pad for the UN climate protection meeting in Bali in December.
German environment minister Sigmar Gabriel has warned that Bush’s plan might prove to be a “Trojan horse,” impeding her efforts to get an agreement on deep emissions-reduction targets in Germany while defusing criticism that the US is a hurdle to the broader climate effort.
“Bush torpedoes Merkel’s climate plans,” said a typically sceptical headline in the German financial newspaper Handelsblatt.
Germany is also expected to face resistance to its strategy from the leaders of China and India who will attend parts of the summit. Other non-G8 members at the meeting include the leaders of South Africa, Mexico, Brazil, Algeria, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria and Senegal.
Meanwhile, newly-elected French President Nicolas Sarkozy, attending his first international gathering, could sour G8 discussions on world trade by denouncing globalisation and demanding more protection for French farmers.
World Trade Organisation chief Pascal Lamy has shrugged off such comments as unhelpful in the drive to clinch a new trade liberalisation deal by end-2007. Lamy said he had a simple message for the G8 summit: Instead of bickering over breaking down trade barriers, leaders from the world’s richest countries should “Just do it!”
While she struggles to cool passions at the summit, Merkel’s security forces are gearing up for the arrival of up to 100,000 anti-globalisation demonstrators in Rostock, a city close to the G8 summit venue.
At least 13,000 police are on duty in Rostock to keep an eye on protesters who have travelled to the city from all over Europe and say they want to stage a peaceful demonstration to vent their anger at G8 leaders. But police authorities say they are seriously worried that far-left groups are planning violent attacks.
G8 members include Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Japan, the US, Canada and Russia. The European Commission is also represented at all meetings.

