The downside of our India policy
By Javid Husain
THE ultimate test of a policy lies in the results it produces. Judged by this standard, it is difficult to visualise a greater failure than that of our India policy practised for more than half a century in utter disregard of the rules of a sound foreign policy.
In the process, the country was dismembered in 1971. Besides, the nation had to go through other painful experiences including the 1965 Pakistan-India war, which caused incalculable damage to Pakistan’s economy and sowed the seeds of the 1971 crisis, the loss of Siachen and the debacle of Kargil.
Most of our policy initiatives concerning India were taken in the name of Kashmir. The net result after half a century of a confused policy, however, is that we are farther away from a satisfactory settlement of the Kashmir dispute than we were in 1948. Taking advantage of our current internal instability, the Indian government is going for a settlement on its terms by maintaining sustained diplomatic and political pressure on Islamabad.
The tone and the content of the pronouncements by the Indian leaders on relations with Pakistan lead one to no other conclusion. In an interview given to a Finnish magazine recently, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh once again ruled out any change of borders for a settlement of the Kashmir dispute.
After the much trumpeted Havana meeting between Musharraf and Manmohan Singh on the resumption of the composite dialogue and a day after the announcement of the dates for the next foreign secretaries’ meeting, the Indian prime minister stressed on October 18 that New Delhi had “put Pakistan on notice that any democratic government of India would find it difficult to continue on the present path of addressing all outstanding issues unless the government of Pakistan clearly deals with the issue of terrorism.” The statement needs to be seen against the background of the oft-repeated Indian accusations that Pakistan is abetting and supporting terrorism in Indian-held Kashmir and in parts of India.
The comments by the Indian defence minister (now foreign minister) on the same occasion went even further and were tantamount to gross interference in Pakistan’s internal affairs. Mr Mukherjee expressed concern at the “marked deterioration in the internal situation of Pakistan, which has serious implications on overall stability and peace in the region”. What has gone wrong and why has our India policy produced such disappointing results? The answers to these questions lie not only in the substance of the policy pursued by us but also in the way the policy is formulated and implemented as well as the manner of internal governance of the country. After all, the foreign policy is closely linked with the internal policies and conditions of a country.
The most fundamental flaw of our India policy has been that it has never been part of a grand strategy incorporating in a coherent fashion the aspirations and objectives of the people of Pakistan and a well-coordinated employment of the nation’s resources towards the attainment of those objectives. Our India policy during most of our history has been a hostage to our military establishment which has controlled it directly or indirectly.
The net result was that the military dimension of the India policy dominated in operational terms at the expense of the political, economic and diplomatic dimensions. The 1965 Pakistan-India war and the Kargil misadventure are prime examples of the neglect of the principle of optimum integration of the political, economic, military and diplomatic dimensions into a creative policy to achieve the country’s short-term and long-term objectives. In modern times, this function of integration must be performed ideally by a democratic government which is responsive to the will of the people and to which the armed forces are subordinate. Needless to say, the present situation in Pakistan is far from that ideal.
The militarisation of the India policy has also been largely responsible for the high levels of our military budgets and the resultant low allocation of resources to the critically important task of accelerating the economic development of the country. Consequently, India has pulled much ahead of us in the economic field. According to the latest issue of the weekly Economist, India has recorded a GDP growth rate of 8.9 per cent while ours remains at the level of 6.6 per cent. A better mix of the political, economic, diplomatic and military dimensions of our India policy could have safeguarded our national security while attaining higher economic growth rates.
Another failing of our India policy, specially since 1990, has been its preoccupation with short-term considerations leading to the neglect of a long-term strategy. Our leaders have generally failed to provide a long-term vision of the place of our country in the regional and international context and to lay down policies for its realisation. The chronic political instability because of the ineptitude of the politicians and frequent military takeovers did not allow the leadership to focus on the long-term direction of policies. Our India policy could not but be a victim of this tendency. The negative consequences of the short-term approach have been three-fold. The inability of our rulers to look beyond what is current has robbed the India policy of the qualities of stability and steadiness of purpose. The short-term approach has also led to desperate attempts by our rulers to achieve an immediate settlement of the Kashmir dispute. The Indian side has naturally taken advantage of this desperation to extract unilateral concessions from Pakistan.
These negative consequences have been specially prominent under the Musharraf government. It would suffice to refer to Kargil, the Agra summit and then the climbdown of the January 2004 Pakistan-India joint statement to highlight the somersaults in our India policy. The series of proposals made by General Musharraf for the settlement of the Kashmir dispute from time to time give the impression of desperation which has been duly exploited by the Indians resulting in a number of unilateral concessions by Pakistan, starting with the January 2004 joint statement.
Our India policy also suffers from a lack of balance and moderation in its formulation and implementation. There have been times when we consider India as our main enemy posing a serious threat to our national security. This position is specially projected when the military establishment wants to justify its high level of military expenditure.
Then there are times when we go overboard in our enthusiasm to improve relations with India and start advocating such proposals as the establishment of a South Asia Economic Union on the lines of the EU, which would ultimately lead to the economic domination of Pakistan by India and the loss of our economic independence. Some of our leaders have even tried to prove that culturally Pakistan and India are the same, thus forgetting the very rationale for the establishment of Pakistan.
What we need is a more rational and balanced policy in handling our relations with India. Such a policy should be based on the recognition of a number of important considerations. The first and foremost consideration, of course, is the realisation that while there may be some similarities between the peoples of Pakistan and India, what divides them culturally, socially and historically is more important than these superficial similarities. That is why the Muslims of South Asia struggled for and established a separate homeland for themselves. Thus, Pakistan and India are destined to remain two separate nations and countries.
Secondly, the two countries can and must have good neighbourly and even friendly relations on the basis of sovereign equality, non-interference in each other’s internal affairs and mutual respect for each other’s independence and territorial integrity. Such a relationship would be in the mutual interest of the two countries. It would include normal trade and economic relations on a level playing field but would exclude such quixotic schemes as an economic union between the two countries.
Thirdly, the desired good neighbourly relations between Pakistan and India cannot come about unless a serious attempt is made by both parties to resolve outstanding disputes peacefully. This would require a two-track approach: reduction of tensions and establishment of a climate of mutual trust on the one hand, and progress towards the resolution of outstanding disputes, on the other. (The former would include CBMs and a strategic restraint regime) There will have to be forward movement on both the tracks to make the process of improvement of bilateral relations sustainable.
Fourthly, a beginning may be made by resolving the relatively simpler disputes/issues since it would be easier to settle them. However, that does not mean we should ignore the Kashmir dispute. But instead of rushing into a settlement now when ground realities favour India, it would be advisable for Pakistan to adopt a two-stage approach in dealing with this issue.
In the short term, we should work for an interim solution which would improve the human rights situation in Indian-held Kashmir, result in the demilitarisation of the territory or at least the withdrawal of the bulk of the Indian forces as the militancy goes down, autonomy for Indian-held Kashmir and increased contacts between the Kashmiris on either side of the Line of Control.
Fifthly, Pakistan should redefine its security doctrine. Instead of defining our security almost exclusively in military terms as we have done in the past, we should aim at a new mix of political, economic, diplomatic and military dimensions of security so as to refrain from adventurism and allocate a much higher level of our GDP to economic development to accelerate our economic growth.
The writer is a former ambassador


